CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Anthony Carrie RB

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee · Tue Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET

39.5 Rush Yds O +120U —

Hit rate · This season 50%3/6 Odds imply —

Season avg: 43.0
Graph avg: 43.0
Graph median: 40.526–71
Over the close: 0%0/2

2026 per game

Carries13.7▲+5.7

Rush Yds43.0▲+6.9

Rush TD0.2▼-0.2

Rec1.2▲+0.4

Rec Yds8.0▲+3.8

39.5

2026

31

Sep 05
49

Sep 12
44

Sep 19
71

Sep 26
37

Oct 07
26

Oct 13
?

Oct 20

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 39.5

Home 67% 6/9 · avg 44.0
Away 50% 5/10 · avg 33.1
vs Middle Tennessee 100% 1/1 · avg 42.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

O 29.5 83% 5/6
O 34.5 67% 4/6
O 39.5 Today 50% 3/6
O 44.5 33% 2/6
O 49.5 17% 1/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Middle Tennessee

What Middle Tennessee allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds138.3#95
Yds/Carry5.4#74
Rush TD1.4#74
Carries25.8#106
Rec Yds35.8#27

RBs vs Middle Tennessee · 2026

Each main RB who faced Middle Tennessee this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-3.2

Avg diff %-1%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 13	Jo'Nathan Silver	19	42.2	-55%
Oct 03	Isaiah Marshall	110	52.4	+110%
Sep 26	Jalen Likely	32	42.2	-24%
Sep 19	Dominic Kelley	45	91.0	-51%
Sep 12	Joshon Barbie	43	37.4	+15%

Game log · 6 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 39.5	Close
2026-10-13	7	@ Jacksonville State	26	Under	44.5
2026-10-07	6	vs New Mexico State	37	Under	50.5
2026-09-26	4	vs Long Island University	71	Over	—
2026-09-19	3	@ Florida Atlantic	44	Over	—
2026-09-12	2	vs Buffalo	49	Over	—
2026-09-05	1	@ South Florida	31	Under	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Fanatics, updated 35m ago.