CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

James Jones RB

New Mexico State vs Sam Houston · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

85.5 Rush Yds O -116U —

Hit rate · All 67%4/6 Odds imply —

Season avg: 99.8
Graph avg: 99.8
Graph median: 100.528–155
Over the close: 100%2/2

2026 per game

Carries15.3

Rush Yds99.8

Rush TD0.5

Rec1.3

Rec Yds8.3

85.5

2026

28

Aug 29
137

Sep 05
78

Sep 12
112

Sep 26
155

Oct 01
89

Oct 07
?

Oct 22

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 85.5

Home 100% 3/3 · avg 134.7
Away 33% 1/3 · avg 65.0
vs Sam Houston No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 65.5 83% 5/6
O 75.5 83% 5/6
O 85.5 Today 67% 4/6
O 95.5 50% 3/6
O 105.5 50% 3/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Sam Houston

What Sam Houston allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds188.2#30
Yds/Carry6.8#9
Rush TD1.9#40
Carries27.8#77
Rec Yds24.3#101

RBs vs Sam Houston · 2026

Each main RB who faced Sam Houston this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-19.6

Avg diff %-22%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 14	Ajay Allen	25	51.2	-51%
Oct 08	Kam Davis	67	91.4	-27%
Sep 26	J'Koby Williams	36	100.4	-64%
Sep 12	Damari Alston	45	53.5	-16%
Sep 05	Gavin Griffin	81	55.6	+46%

Game log · 6 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 85.5	Close
2026-10-07	6	@ Florida International	89	Over	76.5
2026-10-01	5	vs Western Kentucky	155	Over	78.5
2026-09-26	4	vs New Mexico	112	Over	—
2026-09-12	2	@ Hawai'i	78	Under	—
2026-09-05	1	vs Mercyhurst	137	Over	—
2026-08-29	1	@ Florida State	28	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 85.5Underdog 85.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 22m ago.