CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Byrd Ficklin RB

Utah vs Houston · Sat Oct 24 · 10:15 PM ET

16.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · This season 67%4/6 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 25.3
Graph avg: 25.3
Graph median: 23.52–70
Over the close: 0%0/2

2026 per game

Carries3.7▼-1.4

Rush Yds25.3▼-17.4

Rush TD0.2▼-0.7

Rec0.8▲+0.8

Rec Yds3.7▲+3.7

16.5

2026

70

Sep 03
24

Sep 12
23

Sep 19
2

Sep 26
31

Oct 10
2

Oct 17
?

Oct 25

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 16.5

Home 64% 7/11 · avg 40.2
Away 29% 2/7 · avg 31.9
vs Houston No games

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

O 6.5 67% 4/6
O 11.5 67% 4/6
O 16.5 Today 67% 4/6
O 21.5 67% 4/6
O 26.5 33% 2/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Houston

What Houston allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds89.2#170
Yds/Carry4.5#144
Rush TD0.8#148
Carries19.9#177
Rec Yds35.0#32

RBs vs Houston · 2026

Each main RB who faced Houston this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-37.4

Avg diff %-47%

Beat their average0% (0/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Caleb Hawkins	68	104.8	-35%
Oct 10	Joe Jackson	6	69.6	-91%
Oct 03	Duke Watson	50	86.6	-42%
Sep 26	David Mbadinga	37	39.2	-6%
Sep 18	J'Koby Williams	62	95.2	-35%
Sep 05	AJ Newberry	17	69.0	-75%

Game log · 6 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 16.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	@ Colorado	2	Under	—
2026-10-10	6	vs Kansas	31	Over	—
2026-09-26	4	@ Iowa State	2	Under	21.5
2026-09-19	3	vs Utah State	23	Over	27.5
2026-09-12	2	vs Arkansas	24	Over	—
2026-09-03	1	vs Idaho	70	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 16.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 5m ago.