College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Giovanni Lopez QB

Wake Forest vs NC State ·

34.5 Rush Yds O -117U -113
Hit rate · Last 20 31%5/16 Odds imply 50.4% Over
Season avg
38.6
Graph avg
20.4
Graph median
13.5-10–88
Over the close
67%2/3
2026 per game
Pass Yds275.4â–²+116.6
Att30.2â–²+6.5
Cmp%64.9%â–¼-0.2
Pass TD2.0â–²+1.1
INT0.2â–¼-0.3
Rush Yds38.6â–²+26.5
Giovanni Lopez rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 34.5.
  1. 2025
    -10
  2. 44
  3. 40
  4. -5
  5. 11
  6. 12
  7. 33
  8. -6
  9. 2
  10. 20
  11. -8
  12. 2026
    39
  13. 59
  14. -8
  15. 15
  16. 88
  17. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 34.5

  • Home 38% 3/8 · avg 21.9
  • Away 25% 2/8 · avg 18.9
  • vs NC State 0% 0/1 · avg -8.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 24.5 38% 6/16
  • O 29.5 38% 6/16
  • O 34.5 Today 31% 5/16
  • O 39.5 25% 4/16
  • O 44.5 12% 2/16

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs NC State

What NC State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds270.2#14
  • Yds/Att8.5#45
  • Cmp%63.2%#98
  • Pass TD2.1#39
  • Pass Att31.8#47

QBs vs NC State · 2026

Each main QB who faced NC State this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+15.1
Avg diff %+74%
Beat their average50% (1/2)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Lincoln Kienholz2434.8-31%
Sep 19 Jared Curtis6423.0+178%

Game log · 16 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 34.5Close
2026-10-035vs Stanford88Over27.5
2026-09-264@ Louisville15Under14.5
2026-09-183vs Miami-8Under19.5
2026-09-122@ Purdue59Over—
2026-09-031vs Akron39Over—
2025-11-2914@ NC State-8Under—
2025-11-2213vs Duke20Under—
2025-11-1512@ Wake Forest2Under—
2025-11-0811vs Stanford-6Under—
2025-10-3110@ Syracuse33Under—
2025-10-259vs Virginia12Under—
2025-10-178@ California11Under—
2025-09-204@ UCF-5Under—
2025-09-133vs Richmond40Over—
2025-09-062@ Charlotte44Over—
2025-09-011vs TCU-10Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 31.5Underdog 31.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Caesars, updated 5m ago.