College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 14, 2026 · 319 players

Jackson Arnold QB

UNLV vs Air Force ·

53.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
55.0
Graph avg
39.4
Graph median
40.5-12–110
Over the close
33%1/3
2026 per game
Pass Yds190.8â–²+59.9
Att24.8â–²+3.3
Cmp%58.4%â–¼-4.9
Pass TD1.3â–²+0.7
INT0.2-0.0
Rush Yds55.0â–²+23.9
Over 53.5 in 2 straight
Jackson Arnold rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 53.5.
53.5
  1. 2025
    14
  2. 9
  3. -12
  4. 53
  5. 2026
    54
  6. 89
  7. -11
  8. 28
  9. 110
  10. 60
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 53.5

  • Home 44% 4/9 · avg 43.2
  • Away 29% 2/7 · avg 36.0
  • vs Air Force No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 43.5 50% 5/10
  • O 48.5 50% 5/10
  • O 53.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 58.5 30% 3/10
  • O 63.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Air Force

What Air Force allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds219.0#96
  • Yds/Att8.4#46
  • Cmp%66.8%#52
  • Pass TD0.7#174
  • Pass Att26.2#137

QBs vs Air Force · 2026

Each main QB who faced Air Force this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-11.6
Avg diff %-48%
Beat their average0% (0/2)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Sep 26 AJ Bianco921.5-58%
Sep 12 Nathan Hayes1727.6-38%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 53.5Close
2026-10-106vs North Dakota State60Over—
2026-10-035vs California110Over31.5
2026-09-264@ Akron28Under—
2026-09-122@ North Texas-11Under—
2026-09-051@ Hawai'i89Over—
2026-08-291vs Memphis54Over—
2025-11-2213vs Mercer53Under—
2025-11-0110vs Kentucky-12Under—
2025-10-259@ Arkansas9Under46.5
2025-10-188vs Missouri14Under31.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 53.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.