CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Makhilyn Young RB

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky · Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET

39.5 Rush Yds O -125U —

Hit rate · This season 29%2/7 Odds imply —

Season avg: 30.9
Graph avg: 30.9
Graph median: 37.010–46
Over the close: 50%1/2

2026 per game

Carries7.4▲+4.0

Rush Yds30.9▼-0.8

Rush TD0.3▼-0.2

Rec1.4▲+0.4

Rec Yds10.9▲+0.6

39.5

2026

24

Sep 05
38

Sep 12
16

Sep 19
46

Sep 26
10

Oct 03
37

Oct 10
45

Oct 17
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 39.5

Home 31% 4/13 · avg 34.2
Away 29% 2/7 · avg 26.0
vs Kentucky 0% 0/1 · avg -1.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

O 29.5 57% 4/7
O 34.5 57% 4/7
O 39.5 Today 29% 2/7
O 44.5 29% 2/7
O 49.5 0% 0/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Kentucky

What Kentucky allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds95.0#165
Yds/Carry4.2#162
Rush TD0.8#139
Carries22.7#158
Rec Yds33.6#40

RBs vs Kentucky · 2026

Each main RB who faced Kentucky this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-32.7

Avg diff %-48%

Beat their average0% (0/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Lloyd Avant	31	47.2	-34%
Oct 10	Dilin Jones	56	85.2	-34%
Oct 03	Matthew Fuller	49	87.2	-44%
Sep 26	Keenan Phillips	19	85.0	-78%
Sep 19	KJ Edwards	28	48.2	-42%
Sep 12	Trae'shawn Brown	22	48.5	-55%

Game log · 7 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 39.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs Arkansas	45	Over	—
2026-10-10	6	vs Ole Miss	37	Under	—
2026-10-03	5	@ Georgia	10	Under	—
2026-09-26	4	@ Auburn	46	Over	17.5
2026-09-19	3	vs NC State	16	Under	38.5
2026-09-12	2	vs Delaware	38	Under	—
2026-09-05	1	vs Austin Peay	24	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 40.5Underdog 40.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 7m ago.