College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 234 players

Malachi Toney WR

Miami vs Florida State ·

8.5 Receptions O +116U -154
Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 43.3% Over
Season avg
7.8
Graph avg
7.7
Graph median
5.54–13
Over the close
44%4/9
2026 per game
Rec7.8â–²+1.0
Rec Yds120.8â–²+45.1
Rec TD1.2â–²+0.6
Malachi Toney receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 8.5.
  1. 2025
    13
  2. 5
  3. 5
  4. 5
  5. 10
  6. 2026
    12
  7. 4
  8. 12
  9. 6
  10. 5
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 8.5

  • Home 10% 1/10 · avg 5.3
  • Away 54% 6/11 · avg 8.6
  • vs Florida State 0% 0/1 · avg 7.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 6.5 40% 4/10
  • O 7.5 40% 4/10
  • O 8.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 9.5 40% 4/10
  • O 10.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Florida State

What Florida State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds188.7#120
  • Receptions15.5#86
  • Yds/Rec12.2#126
  • Rec TD1.7#64

WRs vs Florida State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Florida State this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.2
Avg diff %+12%
Beat their average50% (5/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 09 Tre Richardson15.6-82%
Oct 09 Treyshun Hurry53.8+32%
Oct 03 Rico Flores13.7-73%
Oct 03 John Rogers22.0+0%
Sep 19 Ryan Williams34.0-25%
Sep 19 Lotzeir Brooks83.0+167%
Sep 07 Yamir Knight65.8+4%
Sep 07 Jalen Cooper43.8+7%
Aug 29 Tyler King73.2+115%
Aug 29 Josiah Thomas22.6-23%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 8.5Close
2026-10-035@ Clemson5Under7.5
2026-09-264vs Central Michigan6Under7.5
2026-09-183@ Wake Forest12Over7.5
2026-09-102vs Florida A&M4Under—
2026-09-041@ Stanford12Over6.5
2026-01-191 (P)@ Indiana10Over5.5
2026-01-081 (P)@ Ole Miss5Under5.5
2025-12-311 (P)@ Ohio State5Under6.5
2025-12-201 (P)@ Texas A&M5Under7.5
2025-11-2914@ Pittsburgh13Over6.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 7m ago.