CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Chris Lofton WR

Appalachian State vs James Madison · Thu Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET

1.5 Receptions O -134U —

Hit rate · Last 10 60%3/5 Odds imply —

Season avg: 2.8
Graph avg: 2.8
Graph median: 3.01–6
Over the close: 0%0/1

2026 per game

Rec2.8

Rec Yds34.8

Rec TD0.2

1.5

2026

3

Sep 12
6

Sep 19
3

Sep 26
1

Oct 10
1

Oct 16
?

Oct 22

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

Home 50% 1/2 · avg 3.5
Away 67% 2/3 · avg 2.3
vs James Madison No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 100% 5/5
O 1.5 Today 60% 3/5
O 2.5 60% 3/5
O 3.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs James Madison

What James Madison allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds183.4#130
Receptions14.5#123
Yds/Rec12.6#104
Rec TD1.3#113

WRs vs James Madison · 2026

Each main WR who faced James Madison this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.0

Avg diff %+4%

Beat their average42% (5/12)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Rodshaun Dorsey	3	3.6	-17%
Oct 17	DJ Riles	4	3.4	+18%
Oct 10	Josh Dallas	8	5.5	+45%
Oct 10	River Helms	3	4.0	-25%
Oct 03	Toby Payne	1	4.2	-76%
Oct 03	Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw	4	3.6	+11%
Sep 26	Josh Rodriguez	1	2.7	-62%
Sep 26	Kendall Harris	3	2.2	+36%
Sep 19	Jaylon Hawkins	2	3.3	-40%
Sep 19	Nathan Acevedo	6	2.2	+173%
Sep 05	Makai Jackson	3	3.8	-21%
Sep 05	Jamari Person	2	2.0	+0%

Game log · 5 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 1.5	Close
2026-10-16	7	@ Coastal Carolina	1	Under	—
2026-10-10	6	vs Old Dominion	1	Under	—
2026-09-26	4	@ NC State	3	Over	3.5
2026-09-19	3	vs Charlotte	6	Over	—
2026-09-12	2	@ East Carolina	3	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5PrizePicks 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.