College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Drew Wagner WR

Northwestern vs Ball State ·

2.5 Receptions O -180U +135
Hit rate · This season 75%3/4 Odds imply 60.2% Over
Season avg
3.0
Graph avg
3.0
Graph median
3.02–4
Over the close
67%2/3
2026 per game
Rec3.0â–²+0.6
Rec Yds24.2â–²+5.1
Rec TD0.0â–¼-0.2
Drew Wagner receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
  1. 2026
    3
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 44% 4/9 · avg 2.7
  • Away 50% 2/4 · avg 2.5
  • vs Ball State No games

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 100% 4/4
  • O 1.5 100% 4/4
  • O 2.5 Today 75% 3/4
  • O 3.5 25% 1/4
  • O 4.5 0% 0/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Ball State

What Ball State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds214.4#63
  • Receptions14.8#116
  • Yds/Rec14.5#28
  • Rec TD2.1#32

WRs vs Ball State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Ball State this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.8
Avg diff %+38%
Beat their average75% (6/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Adjatay Dabbs64.8+26%
Oct 03 Bryson Hammer13.8-73%
Sep 26 Da'Realyst Clark63.5+71%
Sep 26 Wayne Harris32.8+9%
Sep 19 Makai Jackson43.6+11%
Sep 19 Jamari Person41.6+150%
Sep 05 Jeremiah Smith89.0-11%
Sep 05 Devin Mccuin62.8+118%

Game log · 4 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 2.5Close
2026-10-025vs Penn State4Over3.5
2026-09-254@ Indiana3Over2.5
2026-09-193vs Colorado2Under2.5
2026-09-051vs South Dakota State3Over—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 8m ago.