College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 14, 2026 · 347 players

Terrence Smith WR

Colorado State vs Texas State ·

3.5 Receptions O -126U -102
Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply 52.5% Over
Season avg
3.4
Graph avg
1.9
Graph median
1.00–6
Over the close
0%0/1
2026 per game
Rec3.4â–²+3.0
Rec Yds49.4â–²+45.6
Rec TD0.6â–²+0.6
Terrence Smith receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.
3.5
  1. 2025
    1
  2. 0
  3. 0
  4. 0
  5. 1
  6. 2026
    4
  7. 4
  8. 1
  9. 6
  10. 2
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

  • Home 22% 2/9 · avg 1.2
  • Away 20% 1/5 · avg 2.0
  • vs Texas State No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 40% 4/10
  • O 2.5 30% 3/10
  • O 3.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 4.5 10% 1/10
  • O 5.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Texas State

What Texas State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds203.6#89
  • Receptions17.7#35
  • Yds/Rec11.5#160
  • Rec TD1.7#65

WRs vs Texas State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Texas State this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.6
Avg diff %+48%
Beat their average75% (6/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Nathan Acevedo43.0+33%
Oct 03 Jordan Napier42.0+100%
Sep 19 Justin Stevenson104.6+117%
Sep 19 Kyle Koch53.3+50%
Sep 12 David Amador35.0-40%
Sep 12 Mekhi Anderson53.6+39%
Sep 05 Emmett Mosley V33.5-14%
Sep 05 Ryan Wingo73.5+100%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 3.5Close
2026-10-035vs Oregon State2Under—
2026-09-264@ UTSA6Over—
2026-09-193vs BYU1Under2.5
2026-09-122vs Southern Utah4Over—
2026-09-051vs Wyoming4Over—
2025-11-2213@ Florida Atlantic1Under—
2025-11-1512vs Air Force0Under—
2025-11-0811vs Duke0Under—
2025-11-0110vs UAB0Under—
2025-10-259@ Rice1Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 3.5Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.