College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 17, 2026 · 199 players

Elija Lofton WR

Miami vs Pittsburgh ·

2.5 Receptions O -154U +116
Hit rate · All 32%6/19 Odds imply 56.7% Over
Season avg
2.5
Graph avg
2.0
Graph median
2.01–5
Over the close
50%4/8
2026 per game
Rec2.5â–²+0.7
Rec Yds26.7â–²+9.9
Rec TD0.3â–²+0.1
Over 2.5 in 2 straight
Elija Lofton receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
2.5
  1. 2025
    1
  2. 3
  3. 4
  4. 3
  5. 1
  6. 2
  7. 2
  8. 1
  9. 1
  10. 2
  11. 1
  12. 1
  13. 1
  14. 2026
    1
  15. 1
  16. 5
  17. 2
  18. 3
  19. 3
  20. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 30% 3/10 · avg 1.9
  • Away 33% 3/9 · avg 2.1
  • vs Pittsburgh 0% 0/1 · avg 1.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 100% 19/19
  • O 1.5 53% 10/19
  • O 2.5 Today 32% 6/19
  • O 3.5 10% 2/19
  • O 4.5 5% 1/19

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Pittsburgh

What Pittsburgh allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds235.1#29
  • Receptions17.0#47
  • Yds/Rec13.8#52
  • Rec TD1.8#50

WRs vs Pittsburgh · 2026

Each main WR who faced Pittsburgh this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.5
Avg diff %-6%
Beat their average67% (8/12)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 17 Javarius Green53.6+39%
Oct 17 John Montague32.7+13%
Oct 10 Jordan Shipp65.4+11%
Oct 10 Jelani Thurman64.0+50%
Oct 02 Que'Sean Brown76.5+8%
Oct 02 Luke Reynolds76.0+17%
Sep 17 Umari Hatcher39.4-68%
Sep 17 Justus Ross-Simmons12.8-64%
Sep 12 Joshua Derry25.2-62%
Sep 12 Dylan Wade23.0-33%
Sep 05 Lynel Billups-Williams43.6+11%
Sep 05 Maleek Huggins32.8+7%

Game log · 19 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 2.5Close
2026-10-177vs Florida State3Over2.5
2026-10-035@ Clemson3Over2.5
2026-09-264vs Central Michigan2Under—
2026-09-183@ Wake Forest5Over—
2026-09-102vs Florida A&M1Under—
2026-09-041@ Stanford1Under1.5
2026-01-081 (P)@ Ole Miss1Under1.5
2025-12-201 (P)@ Texas A&M1Under—
2025-11-2914@ Pittsburgh1Under1.5
2025-11-2213@ Virginia Tech2Under—
2025-11-1512vs NC State1Under—
2025-11-0811vs Syracuse1Under—
2025-11-0110@ SMU2Under1.5
2025-10-259vs Stanford2Under—
2025-10-178vs Louisville1Under—
2025-10-046@ Florida State3Over2.5
2025-09-204vs Florida4Over—
2025-09-062vs Bethune-Cookman3Over—
2025-08-311vs Notre Dame1Under2.5

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 6m ago.