College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 179 players

Willie Rodriguez WR

Kentucky vs LSU ·

3.5 Receptions O +112U -148
Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 44.1% Over
Season avg
4.4
Graph avg
3.3
Graph median
2.51–8
Over the close
43%3/7
2026 per game
Rec4.4â–²+2.3
Rec Yds38.8â–²+10.6
Rec TD0.2â–²+0.1
Willie Rodriguez receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.
  1. 2025
    2
  2. 1
  3. 1
  4. 6
  5. 1
  6. 2026
    4
  7. 8
  8. 3
  9. 2
  10. 5
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

  • Home 22% 2/9 · avg 2.8
  • Away 29% 2/7 · avg 2.9
  • vs LSU No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 70% 7/10
  • O 2.5 50% 5/10
  • O 3.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 4.5 30% 3/10
  • O 5.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs LSU

What LSU allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds192.1#109
  • Receptions16.4#62
  • Yds/Rec11.7#150
  • Rec TD1.1#135

WRs vs LSU · 2026

Each main WR who faced LSU this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.1
Avg diff %-19%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Sep 26 Mario Craver35.0-40%
Sep 26 Isaiah Horton33.5-14%
Sep 19 Deuce Alexander76.7+5%
Sep 19 Caleb Odom54.0+25%
Sep 12 Eli Finley25.3-62%
Sep 12 Jalen Mickens65.0+20%
Sep 05 Bryant Wesco Jr.25.8-65%
Sep 05 T.J. Moore45.2-24%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 3.5Close
2026-10-035@ South Carolina5Over3.5
2026-09-264vs South Alabama2Under3.5
2026-09-193@ Texas A&M3Under4.5
2026-09-122vs Alabama8Over2.5
2026-09-051vs Youngstown State4Over—
2025-11-2914@ Louisville1Under2.5
2025-11-2213@ Vanderbilt6Over—
2025-11-0811vs Florida1Under—
2025-11-0110@ Auburn1Under2.5
2025-10-259vs Tennessee2Under1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.