College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 249 players

Josiah Freeman WR

Fresno State vs Boise State ·

4.5 Receptions O -110U -120
Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 49.0% Over
Season avg
6.2
Graph avg
5.3
Graph median
6.02–7
Over the close
50%1/2
2026 per game
Rec6.2â–²+1.9
Rec Yds80.5â–²+27.0
Rec TD0.5+0.0
Josiah Freeman receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
  1. 2025
    3
  2. 4
  3. 2
  4. 6
  5. 6
  6. 7
  7. 2026
    6
  8. 6
  9. 6
  10. 7
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 50% 4/8 · avg 4.5
  • Away 62% 5/8 · avg 5.1
  • vs Boise State 0% 0/1 · avg 4.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 90% 9/10
  • O 3.5 80% 8/10
  • O 4.5 Today 70% 7/10
  • O 5.5 70% 7/10
  • O 6.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Boise State

What Boise State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds173.0#152
  • Receptions12.6#168
  • Yds/Rec13.7#54
  • Rec TD1.2#126

WRs vs Boise State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Boise State this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.9
Avg diff %+33%
Beat their average62% (5/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Eli Wood75.8+21%
Oct 03 Javon Robinson03.2-100%
Sep 26 Baylin Brooks32.8+9%
Sep 26 Egypt Nelson12.5-60%
Sep 12 Jermane Hayes25.0-60%
Sep 12 Hunter Tipton92.5+260%
Sep 05 Evan Stewart84.7+71%
Sep 05 Dakorien Moore62.7+125%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5Close
2026-10-035@ Washington State7Over—
2026-09-264vs Rice6Over—
2026-09-193@ San José State6Over4.5
2026-09-122vs Sacramento State6Over—
2025-12-271 (P)vs Miami (OH)7Over7.5
2025-11-2914@ San José State6Over—
2025-11-2213vs Utah State6Over—
2025-11-1512vs Wyoming2Under—
2025-11-0110@ Boise State4Under—
2025-10-259vs San Diego State3Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.