College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 222 players

Malachi Toney WR

Miami vs Florida State ·

99.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · This season 60%3/5 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
120.8
Graph avg
120.8
Graph median
114.040–234
Over the close
60%3/5
2026 per game
Rec7.8â–²+1.0
Rec Yds120.8â–²+45.1
Rec TD1.2â–²+0.6
Malachi Toney receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 99.5.
  1. 2026
    234
  2. 96
  3. 114
  4. 120
  5. 40
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 99.5

  • Home 20% 2/10 · avg 73.7
  • Away 54% 6/11 · avg 98.0
  • vs Florida State 100% 1/1 · avg 107.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 79.5 80% 4/5
  • O 89.5 80% 4/5
  • O 99.5 Today 60% 3/5
  • O 109.5 60% 3/5
  • O 119.5 40% 2/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Florida State

What Florida State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds188.7#120
  • Receptions15.5#86
  • Yds/Rec12.2#126
  • Rec TD1.7#64

WRs vs Florida State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Florida State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-8.9
Avg diff %-11%
Beat their average50% (5/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 09 Tre Richardson089.0-100%
Oct 09 Lawayne McCoy7868.4+14%
Oct 03 Rico Flores1348.3-73%
Oct 03 Dashawn Martin3532.2+9%
Sep 19 Ryan Williams6270.6-12%
Sep 19 Lotzeir Brooks10157.6+75%
Sep 07 Yamir Knight4979.5-38%
Sep 07 Jalen Cooper7154.8+30%
Aug 29 Tyler King7852.0+50%
Aug 29 Josiah Thomas1437.8-63%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 99.5Close
2026-10-035@ Clemson40Under100.5
2026-09-264vs Central Michigan120Over112.5
2026-09-183@ Wake Forest114Over99.5
2026-09-102vs Florida A&M96Under108.5
2026-09-041@ Stanford234Over73.5

Pick’em lines: Underdog 99.5PrizePicks 99.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 9m ago.