College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 222 players

JJ Buchanan WR

Michigan vs Penn State ·

66.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · All 31%5/16 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
89.2
Graph avg
54.6
Graph median
45.53–130
Over the close
71%5/7
2026 per game
Rec4.8â–²+2.4
Rec Yds89.2â–²+50.4
Rec TD0.8â–²+0.3
JJ Buchanan receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 66.5.
  1. 2025
    29
  2. 14
  3. 3
  4. 32
  5. 43
  6. 35
  7. 15
  8. 41
  9. 74
  10. 65
  11. 76
  12. 2026
    126
  13. 48
  14. 92
  15. 130
  16. 50
  17. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 66.5

  • Home 56% 5/9 · avg 66.6
  • Away 0% 0/7 · avg 39.1
  • vs Penn State No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 46.5 50% 8/16
  • O 56.5 38% 6/16
  • O 66.5 Today 31% 5/16
  • O 76.5 19% 3/16
  • O 86.5 19% 3/16

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Penn State

What Penn State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds144.7#179
  • Receptions12.8#164
  • Yds/Rec11.3#167
  • Rec TD0.7#173

WRs vs Penn State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Penn State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-34.5
Avg diff %-61%
Beat their average8% (1/12)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 10 Trent Mosley11185.0+31%
Oct 10 Kayden Dixon-Wyatt2862.0-55%
Oct 02 Griffin Wilde3697.2-63%
Oct 02 Alex Honig1842.3-57%
Sep 26 Tyrell Henry1481.2-83%
Sep 26 Chris Brooks Jr.1644.5-64%
Sep 19 Chance Morrow3177.2-60%
Sep 19 Dwayne Early Jr.1041.7-76%
Sep 12 Peter Clarke3155.5-44%
Sep 12 Jovanni Bermudez637.8-84%
Sep 05 Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw1761.4-72%
Sep 05 Adrian Norton045.8-100%

Game log · 16 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 66.5Close
2026-10-035@ Minnesota50Under73.5
2026-09-264vs Iowa130Over58.5
2026-09-193vs UTEP92Over66.5
2026-09-122vs Oklahoma48Under—
2026-09-051vs Western Michigan126Over—
2025-12-311 (P)vs Nebraska76Over32.5
2025-11-2814@ Kansas65Under39.5
2025-11-2213vs Kansas State74Over29.5
2025-11-1512@ Baylor41Under—
2025-11-0110vs Cincinnati15Under34.5
2025-10-259vs Colorado35Under—
2025-10-188@ BYU43Under—
2025-09-275@ West Virginia32Under—
2025-09-204vs Texas Tech3Under—
2025-09-133@ Wyoming14Under—
2025-08-301@ UCLA29Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 66.5Underdog 66.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.