College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Carlos Hernandez WR

Wake Forest vs NC State ·

99.5 Rec Yds O -115U -115
Hit rate · All 24%4/17 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
120.6
Graph avg
71.4
Graph median
69.01–197
Over the close
71%5/7
2026 per game
Rec7.4â–²+4.1
Rec Yds120.6â–²+69.7
Rec TD0.6â–²+0.3
Carlos Hernandez receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 99.5.
  1. 2025
    20
  2. 1
  3. 23
  4. 15
  5. 51
  6. 23
  7. 11
  8. 4
  9. 100
  10. 197
  11. 93
  12. 73
  13. 2026
    165
  14. 88
  15. 69
  16. 194
  17. 87
  18. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 99.5

  • Home 33% 3/9 · avg 75.2
  • Away 12% 1/8 · avg 67.1
  • vs NC State 0% 0/1 · avg 23.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 79.5 41% 7/17
  • O 89.5 29% 5/17
  • O 99.5 Today 24% 4/17
  • O 109.5 18% 3/17
  • O 119.5 18% 3/17

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs NC State

What NC State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds244.2#21
  • Receptions17.4#35
  • Yds/Rec14.0#42
  • Rec TD1.9#43

WRs vs NC State · 2026

Each main WR who faced NC State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-6.2
Avg diff %-7%
Beat their average50% (4/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Lawayne McCoy4175.8-46%
Oct 03 Tre Richardson11765.6+78%
Sep 26 Sam Pickett III9776.3+27%
Sep 26 Chris Lofton2561.5-59%
Sep 19 Junior Sherrill10891.5+18%
Sep 19 Jayvontay Conner958.5-85%
Aug 29 Kameron Courtney1251.3-77%
Aug 29 Dashawn Martin4725.2+86%

Game log · 17 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 99.5Close
2026-10-035vs Stanford87Under100.5
2026-09-264@ Louisville194Over76.5
2026-09-183vs Miami69Under58.5
2026-09-122@ Purdue88Under70.5
2026-09-031vs Akron165Over63.5
2026-01-021 (P)@ Mississippi State73Under52.5
2025-11-2914@ Duke93Under—
2025-11-2213vs Delaware197Over—
2025-11-1512vs North Carolina100Over—
2025-11-0811@ Virginia4Under—
2025-11-0110@ Florida State11Under—
2025-10-117@ Oregon State23Under—
2025-10-046@ Virginia Tech51Under—
2025-09-275vs Georgia Tech15Under—
2025-09-113vs NC State23Under34.5
2025-09-062vs Western Carolina1Under—
2025-08-291vs Kennesaw State20Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 100.5Underdog 100.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Caesars, updated 5m ago.