College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 222 players

Jayce Brown WR

LSU vs Mississippi State ·

19.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 5 60%3/5 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
22.2
Graph avg
34.2
Graph median
23.00–82
Over the close
33%1/3
2026 per game
Rec2.0â–¼-2.6
Rec Yds22.2â–¼-56.9
Rec TD0.0â–¼-0.6
Jayce Brown receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 19.5.
  1. 2025
    82
  2. 2026
    14
  3. 23
  4. 0
  5. 52
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 19.5

  • Home 75% 6/8 · avg 45.2
  • Away 100% 5/5 · avg 87.8
  • vs Mississippi State No games

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 9.5 80% 4/5
  • O 14.5 60% 3/5
  • O 19.5 Today 60% 3/5
  • O 24.5 40% 2/5
  • O 29.5 40% 2/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Mississippi State

What Mississippi State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds215.7#63
  • Receptions17.0#52
  • Yds/Rec12.7#100
  • Rec TD1.9#47

WRs vs Mississippi State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Mississippi State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.8
Avg diff %-7%
Beat their average30% (3/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Ryan Williams4374.4-42%
Oct 03 Lotzeir Brooks9658.6+64%
Sep 26 Donovan Olugbode5490.5-40%
Sep 26 Cayden Lee15686.8+80%
Sep 19 Nyck Harbor2251.2-57%
Sep 19 Mazeo Bennett3939.4-1%
Sep 12 Javon Tracy5164.8-21%
Sep 12 Noah Jennings8854.4+62%
Sep 05 Marcellus Jackson3749.2-25%
Sep 05 LT Robinson347.8-94%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 19.5Close
2026-10-035vs McNeese52Over—
2026-09-264vs Texas A&M0Under21.5
2026-09-193@ Ole Miss23Over23.5
2026-09-051vs Clemson14Under—
2025-11-1512@ Oklahoma State82Over66.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 19.5Underdog 19.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 9m ago.