College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Jayden Maiava QB

USC vs Penn State ·

249.5 Pass Yds O -120U —
Hit rate · Last 20 84%16/19 Odds imply —
Season avg
290.7
Graph avg
287.1
Graph median
282.0135–412
Over the close
58%11/19
2026 per game
Pass Yds290.7â–²+5.2
Att31.8â–²+0.8
Cmp%68.6%â–²+2.8
Pass TD2.5â–²+0.7
INT0.5â–¼-0.3
Rush Yds-0.7â–¼-12.7
Jayden Maiava passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 249.5.
  1. 2025
    295
  2. 412
  3. 282
  4. 234
  5. 364
  6. 265
  7. 328
  8. 135
  9. 299
  10. 254
  11. 306
  12. 257
  13. 280
  14. 2026
    286
  15. 349
  16. 261
  17. 277
  18. 326
  19. 245
  20. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 249.5

  • Home 83% 10/12 · avg 290.2
  • Away 86% 6/7 · avg 281.7
  • vs Penn State No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 229.5 95% 18/19
  • O 239.5 90% 17/19
  • O 249.5 Today 84% 16/19
  • O 259.5 74% 14/19
  • O 269.5 63% 12/19

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Penn State

What Penn State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds166.2#177
  • Yds/Att5.9#175
  • Cmp%58.5%#155
  • Pass TD0.6#178
  • Pass Att28.2#104

QBs vs Penn State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Penn State this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-97.0
Avg diff %-49%
Beat their average20% (1/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 02 Aidan Chiles93269.0-65%
Sep 26 Colton Joseph235224.2+5%
Sep 19 Jason Wright60165.0-64%
Sep 12 Ajani Sheppard48145.8-67%
Sep 05 Carlos Del Rio-Wilson102218.8-53%

Game log · 19 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 249.5Close
2026-10-035vs Washington245Under269.5
2026-09-264vs Oregon326Over263.5
2026-09-193@ Rutgers277Over287.5
2026-09-122vs Louisiana261Over299.5
2026-09-041vs Fresno State349Over254.5
2026-08-291vs San José State286Over284.5
2025-12-301 (P)@ TCU280Over256.5
2025-11-2914vs UCLA257Over280.5
2025-11-2213@ Oregon306Over250.5
2025-11-1512vs Iowa254Over231.5
2025-11-0711vs Northwestern299Over259.5
2025-11-0110@ Nebraska135Under268.5
2025-10-188@ Notre Dame328Over275.5
2025-10-117vs Michigan265Over275.5
2025-09-275@ Illinois364Over271.5
2025-09-204vs Michigan State234Under277.5
2025-09-133@ Purdue282Over279.5
2025-09-062vs Georgia Southern412Over269.5
2025-08-301vs Missouri State295Over309.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 253.5Underdog 253.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 4m ago.