CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Tait Reynolds QB

Clemson vs Virginia Tech · Sat Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET

229.5 Pass Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 17%1/6 Odds imply —

Season avg: 157.5
Graph avg: 157.5
Graph median: 152.522–295
Over the close: 67%2/3

2026 per game

Pass Yds157.5

Att25.5

Cmp%64.7%

Pass TD0.2

INT0.5

Rush Yds16.8

229.5

2026

22

Sep 05
178

Sep 12
215

Sep 19
108

Sep 25
295

Oct 03
127

Oct 17
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 229.5

Home 25% 1/4 · avg 203.8
Away 0% 0/2 · avg 65.0
vs Virginia Tech No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 209.5 33% 2/6
O 219.5 17% 1/6
O 229.5 Today 17% 1/6
O 239.5 17% 1/6
O 249.5 17% 1/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Virginia Tech

What Virginia Tech allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass Yds233.6#63
Yds/Att7.3#113
Cmp%66.0%#61
Pass TD1.5#93
Pass Att31.8#44

QBs vs Virginia Tech · 2026

Each main QB who faced Virginia Tech this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+43.8

Avg diff %+56%

Beat their average67% (4/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Alberto Mendoza	335	238.6	+40%
Oct 10	Jackson Brousseau	321	95.0	+238%
Oct 02	Mason Heintschel	113	297.8	-62%
Sep 26	Mason McKenzie	111	230.2	-52%
Sep 19	Malik Washington	359	209.3	+71%
Sep 12	Quinn Henicle	187	92.2	+103%

Game log · 6 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	vs 229.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs Charleston Southern	127	Under	—
2026-10-03	5	vs Miami	295	Over	184.5
2026-09-25	4	@ California	108	Under	218.5
2026-09-19	3	vs North Carolina	215	Under	179.5
2026-09-12	2	vs Georgia Southern	178	Under	—
2026-09-05	1	@ LSU	22	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 229.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: current books, updated 5m ago.