College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 179 players

Malachi Nelson QB

Syracuse vs Virginia ·

180.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 20 43%3/7 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
0.0
Graph avg
166.1
Graph median
178.00–404
2026 per game
Pass Yds0.0â–¼-193.8
Att2.0â–¼-29.7
Cmp%0.0%â–¼-54.7
Pass TD0.0â–¼-1.3
INT0.0â–¼-1.5
Rush Yds0.0â–²+2.2
Malachi Nelson passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 180.5.
  1. 2025
    178
  2. 278
  3. 209
  4. 404
  5. 73
  6. 21
  7. 2026
    0
  8. ?

Splits all logged games · over 180.5

  • Home 40% 2/5 · avg 155.2
  • Away 50% 1/2 · avg 193.5
  • vs Virginia No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 160.5 57% 4/7
  • O 170.5 57% 4/7
  • O 180.5 Today 43% 3/7
  • O 190.5 43% 3/7
  • O 200.5 43% 3/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Virginia

What Virginia allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds135.5#181
  • Yds/Att5.8#178
  • Cmp%51.7%#180
  • Pass TD0.6#176
  • Pass Att23.4#170

QBs vs Virginia · 2026

Each main QB who faced Virginia this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-118.7
Avg diff %-41%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Ashton Daniels183227.4-20%
Sep 26 Nick Minicucci24271.3-91%
Sep 19 Michael Hawkins Jr.190161.5+18%
Aug 29 CJ Bailey84295.5-72%

Game log · 7 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 180.5Close
2026-09-051vs New Hampshire0Under—
2025-10-087vs Liberty21Under—
2025-09-275vs Louisiana Tech73Under—
2025-09-204vs UL Monroe404Over—
2025-09-133@ Texas209Over—
2025-09-062vs UT Martin278Over—
2025-08-301@ Utah State178Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 180.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.