College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Maddux Madsen QB

Boise State vs Fresno State ·

218.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
211.6
Graph avg
211.6
Graph median
208.0181–244
Over the close
50%2/4
2026 per game
Pass Yds211.6â–¼-0.5
Att26.4â–¼-1.1
Cmp%65.9%â–²+7.6
Pass TD2.2â–²+0.6
INT0.0â–¼-0.8
Rush Yds21.0â–²+13.6
Maddux Madsen passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 218.5.
  1. 2026
    181
  2. 221
  3. 208
  4. 204
  5. 244
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 218.5

  • Home 78% 7/9 · avg 229.4
  • Away 29% 2/7 · avg 189.4
  • vs Fresno State 0% 0/1 · avg -4.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 198.5 80% 4/5
  • O 208.5 40% 2/5
  • O 218.5 Today 40% 2/5
  • O 228.5 20% 1/5
  • O 238.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Fresno State

What Fresno State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds157.2#179
  • Yds/Att5.5#180
  • Cmp%51.6%#181
  • Pass TD0.6#179
  • Pass Att28.5#99

QBs vs Fresno State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Fresno State this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+24.2
Avg diff %+21%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Caden Pinnick152160.0-5%
Sep 26 Jacurri Brown11971.0+68%
Sep 19 Luke Weaver244257.0-5%
Sep 04 Jayden Maiava349279.0+25%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 218.5Close
2026-10-035vs Utah State244Over234.5
2026-09-264@ Western Michigan204Under207.5
2026-09-193vs South Dakota208Under—
2026-09-122vs Memphis221Over236.5
2026-09-051@ Oregon181Under177.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 218.5Underdog 218.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 5m ago.