College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 246 players

Maddux Madsen QB

Boise State vs Fresno State ·

218.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 20 56%9/16 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
211.6
Graph avg
211.9
Graph median
223.0-4–321
Over the close
27%3/11
2026 per game
Pass Yds211.6â–¼-0.5
Att26.4â–¼-1.1
Cmp%65.9%â–²+7.6
Pass TD2.2â–²+0.6
INT0.0â–¼-0.8
Rush Yds21.0â–²+13.6
Maddux Madsen passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 218.5.
  1. 2025
    225
  2. 307
  3. 276
  4. 321
  5. 215
  6. 226
  7. 253
  8. 174
  9. -4
  10. 289
  11. 51
  12. 2026
    181
  13. 221
  14. 208
  15. 204
  16. 244
  17. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 218.5

  • Home 78% 7/9 · avg 229.4
  • Away 29% 2/7 · avg 189.4
  • vs Fresno State 0% 0/1 · avg -4.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 198.5 75% 12/16
  • O 208.5 62% 10/16
  • O 218.5 Today 56% 9/16
  • O 228.5 38% 6/16
  • O 238.5 38% 6/16

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Fresno State

What Fresno State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds157.2#179
  • Yds/Att5.5#180
  • Cmp%51.6%#181
  • Pass TD0.6#179
  • Pass Att28.5#100

QBs vs Fresno State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Fresno State this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+23.6
Avg diff %+20%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Caden Pinnick152161.0-6%
Sep 26 Jacurri Brown11971.0+68%
Sep 19 Luke Weaver244258.5-6%
Sep 04 Jayden Maiava349279.0+25%

Game log · 16 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 218.5Close
2026-10-035vs Utah State244Over234.5
2026-09-264@ Western Michigan204Under207.5
2026-09-193vs South Dakota208Under—
2026-09-122vs Memphis221Over236.5
2026-09-051@ Oregon181Under177.5
2025-12-131 (P)@ Washington51Under200.5
2025-12-0515vs UNLV289Over223.5
2025-11-0110vs Fresno State-4Under—
2025-10-249@ Nevada174Under235.5
2025-10-188vs UNLV253Over262.5
2025-10-117vs New Mexico226Over240.5
2025-10-046@ Notre Dame215Under215.5
2025-09-275vs App State321Over—
2025-09-204@ Air Force276Over—
2025-09-052vs Eastern Washington307Over—
2025-08-281@ South Florida225Over234.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 218.5Underdog 218.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.