College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 14, 2026 · 319 players

Jackson Arnold QB

UNLV vs Air Force ·

200.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · This season 33%2/6 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
190.8
Graph avg
190.8
Graph median
185.577–291
Over the close
0%0/1
2026 per game
Pass Yds190.8â–²+59.9
Att24.8â–²+3.3
Cmp%58.4%â–¼-4.9
Pass TD1.3â–²+0.7
INT0.2-0.0
Rush Yds55.0â–²+23.9
Under 200.5 in 2 straight
Jackson Arnold passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 200.5.
200.5
  1. 2026
    291
  2. 116
  3. 194
  4. 290
  5. 177
  6. 77
  7. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 200.5

  • Home 33% 3/9 · avg 147.6
  • Away 29% 2/7 · avg 160.9
  • vs Air Force No games

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 180.5 50% 3/6
  • O 190.5 50% 3/6
  • O 200.5 Today 33% 2/6
  • O 210.5 33% 2/6
  • O 220.5 33% 2/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Air Force

What Air Force allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds219.0#96
  • Yds/Att8.4#46
  • Cmp%66.8%#52
  • Pass TD0.7#174
  • Pass Att26.2#137

QBs vs Air Force · 2026

Each main QB who faced Air Force this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+20.4
Avg diff %+17%
Beat their average67% (2/3)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 10 Taron Dickens140209.2-33%
Sep 26 Carter Jones224143.3+56%
Sep 12 Nathan Hayes228178.2+28%

Game log · 6 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 200.5Close
2026-10-106vs North Dakota State77Under—
2026-10-035vs California177Under204.5
2026-09-264@ Akron290Over—
2026-09-122@ North Texas194Under—
2026-09-051@ Hawai'i116Under—
2026-08-291vs Memphis291Over—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 200.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.