College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 14, 2026 · 319 players

Jackson Arnold QB

UNLV vs Air Force ·

200.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
190.8
Graph avg
147.1
Graph median
146.515–291
Over the close
33%1/3
2026 per game
Pass Yds190.8â–²+59.9
Att24.8â–²+3.3
Cmp%58.4%â–¼-4.9
Pass TD1.3â–²+0.7
INT0.2-0.0
Rush Yds55.0â–²+23.9
Under 200.5 in 2 straight
Jackson Arnold passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 200.5.
200.5
  1. 2025
    207
  2. 73
  3. 15
  4. 31
  5. 2026
    291
  6. 116
  7. 194
  8. 290
  9. 177
  10. 77
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 200.5

  • Home 33% 3/9 · avg 147.6
  • Away 29% 2/7 · avg 160.9
  • vs Air Force No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 180.5 40% 4/10
  • O 190.5 40% 4/10
  • O 200.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 210.5 20% 2/10
  • O 220.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Air Force

What Air Force allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds219.0#96
  • Yds/Att8.4#46
  • Cmp%66.8%#52
  • Pass TD0.7#174
  • Pass Att26.2#137

QBs vs Air Force · 2026

Each main QB who faced Air Force this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+20.4
Avg diff %+17%
Beat their average67% (2/3)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 10 Taron Dickens140209.2-33%
Sep 26 Carter Jones224143.3+56%
Sep 12 Nathan Hayes228178.2+28%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 200.5Close
2026-10-106vs North Dakota State77Under—
2026-10-035vs California177Under204.5
2026-09-264@ Akron290Over—
2026-09-122@ North Texas194Under—
2026-09-051@ Hawai'i116Under—
2026-08-291vs Memphis291Over—
2025-11-2213vs Mercer31Under—
2025-11-0110vs Kentucky15Under—
2025-10-259@ Arkansas73Under214.5
2025-10-188vs Missouri207Over167.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 200.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.