College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Drew Mestemaker QB

Oklahoma State vs UCF ·

284.5 Pass Yds O -120U -110
Hit rate · Last 5 60%3/5 Odds imply 51.0% Over
Season avg
317.8
Graph avg
304.2
Graph median
317.0241–389
Over the close
50%1/2
2026 per game
Pass Yds317.8â–²+5.7
Att35.2â–²+2.0
Cmp%67.4%â–¼-1.2
Pass TD2.8â–²+0.3
INT1.2â–²+0.6
Rush Yds26.5â–²+20.1
Drew Mestemaker passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 284.5.
  1. 2025
    250
  2. 2026
    241
  3. 317
  4. 324
  5. 389
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 284.5

  • Home 56% 5/9 · avg 290.9
  • Away 56% 5/9 · avg 335.8
  • vs UCF No games

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 264.5 60% 3/5
  • O 274.5 60% 3/5
  • O 284.5 Today 60% 3/5
  • O 294.5 60% 3/5
  • O 304.5 60% 3/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF

What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds228.7#70
  • Yds/Att7.0#133
  • Cmp%63.3%#97
  • Pass TD1.0#167
  • Pass Att32.7#29

QBs vs UCF · 2026

Each main QB who faced UCF this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+10.6
Avg diff %+6%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Conner Weigman239236.5+1%
Sep 26 Jaden Craig310272.5+14%
Sep 19 Cameran Brown282218.8+29%
Sep 12 Mason Heintschel212273.0-22%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 284.5Close
2026-09-264@ West Virginia389Over274.5
2026-09-193vs Murray State324Over331.5
2026-09-122vs Oregon317Over—
2026-09-051@ Tulsa241Under—
2025-12-271 (P)@ San Diego State250Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 286.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 3m ago.