Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players
Drew Mestemaker QB
Oklahoma State vs UCF ·
Hit rate · Last 5
60%3/5
Odds imply 51.0% Over
- Season avg
- 317.8
- Graph avg
- 304.2
- Graph median
- 317.0241–389
- Over the close
- 50%1/2
2026 per game
Pass Yds317.8â–²+5.7
Att35.2â–²+2.0
Cmp%67.4%â–¼-1.2
Pass TD2.8â–²+0.3
INT1.2â–²+0.6
Rush Yds26.5â–²+20.1
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 284.5
- Home 56% 5/9 · avg 290.9
- Away 56% 5/9 · avg 335.8
- vs UCF No games
Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared
- O 264.5 60% 3/5
- O 274.5 60% 3/5
- O 284.5 Today 60% 3/5
- O 294.5 60% 3/5
- O 304.5 60% 3/5
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF
What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.
- Pass Yds228.7#70
- Yds/Att7.0#133
- Cmp%63.3%#97
- Pass TD1.0#167
- Pass Att32.7#29
QBs vs UCF · 2026
Each main QB who faced UCF this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
Avg vs their norm+10.6
Avg diff %+6%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03 | Conner Weigman | 239 | 236.5 | +1% |
| Sep 26 | Jaden Craig | 310 | 272.5 | +14% |
| Sep 19 | Cameran Brown | 282 | 218.8 | +29% |
| Sep 12 | Mason Heintschel | 212 | 273.0 | -22% |
Game log · 5 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass Yds | vs 284.5 | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | 4 | @ West Virginia | 389 | Over | 274.5 |
| 2026-09-19 | 3 | vs Murray State | 324 | Over | 331.5 |
| 2026-09-12 | 2 | vs Oregon | 317 | Over | — |
| 2026-09-05 | 1 | @ Tulsa | 241 | Under | — |
| 2025-12-27 | 1 (P) | @ San Diego State | 250 | Under | — |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 286.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 3m ago.