CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Cale Hellums QB

Army vs Tulsa · Fri Oct 23 · 8:30 PM ET

0.5 Pass TDs O +152U -205

Hit rate · This season 33%2/6 Odds imply 37.1% Over

Season avg: 0.5
Graph avg: 0.5
Graph median: 0.00–2
Over the close: 50%1/2

2026 per game

Pass Yds59.7▲+6.3

Att9.5▲+2.8

Cmp%56.1%▲+2.1

Pass TD0.5▲+0.2

INT0.2▼-0.1

Rush Yds119.8▲+26.4

0.5

2026

0

Sep 05
2

Sep 12
0

Sep 25
1

Oct 03
0

Oct 10
0

Oct 17
?

Oct 24

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

Home 20% 2/10 · avg 0.3
Away 44% 4/9 · avg 0.4
vs Tulsa 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 Today 33% 2/6
O 1.5 17% 1/6
O 2.5 0% 0/6

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Tulsa

What Tulsa allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass Yds215.3#105
Yds/Att7.6#95
Cmp%63.7%#97
Pass TD1.9#49
Pass Att28.4#97

QBs vs Tulsa · 2026

Each main QB who faced Tulsa this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.1

Avg diff %-15%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 17	Jacurri Brown	0	0.3	-100%
Oct 01	Tayven Jackson	4	2.2	+82%
Sep 26	KJ Jackson	1	1.0	+0%
Sep 12	Landyn Locke	2	1.8	+11%
Sep 05	Drew Mestemaker	1	3.0	-67%

Game log · 6 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass TDs	vs 0.5	Close
2026-10-17	7	vs Florida Atlantic	0	Under	—
2026-10-10	6	vs Tulane	0	Under	—
2026-10-03	5	@ Louisiana Tech	1	Over	—
2026-09-25	4	@ Temple	0	Under	0.5
2026-09-12	2	vs South Florida	2	Over	0.5
2026-09-05	1	vs Bryant	0	Under	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 14m ago.