College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Ethan Grunkemeyer QB

Virginia Tech vs California ·

1.5 Pass TDs O -152U +114
Hit rate · This season 80%4/5 Odds imply 56.3% Over
Season avg
2.2
Graph avg
2.2
Graph median
2.01–3
Over the close
67%2/3
2026 per game
Pass Yds289.2â–²+155.3
Att35.4â–²+17.6
Cmp%74.0%â–²+4.9
Pass TD2.2â–²+1.4
INT0.4+0.0
Rush Yds-4.8â–¼-0.2
Ethan Grunkemeyer passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2026
    2
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 1
  5. 3
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 38% 3/8 · avg 1.2
  • Away 43% 3/7 · avg 1.3
  • vs California No games

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 100% 5/5
  • O 1.5 Today 80% 4/5
  • O 2.5 40% 2/5
  • O 3.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs California

What California allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds203.4#130
  • Yds/Att6.5#152
  • Cmp%58.8%#150
  • Pass TD1.4#111
  • Pass Att31.1#57

QBs vs California · 2026

Each main QB who faced California this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.1
Avg diff %-23%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Jackson Arnold31.2+140%
Sep 25 Tait Reynolds00.2-100%
Sep 12 Steven Angeli11.5-33%
Sep 05 Nico Iamaleava01.3-100%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5Close
2026-10-025vs Pittsburgh3Over1.5
2026-09-264@ Boston College1Under1.5
2026-09-193@ Maryland3Over1.5
2026-09-122vs Old Dominion2Over—
2026-09-051vs VMI2Over—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.