College Football Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 179 players

Malachi Nelson QB

Syracuse vs Virginia ·

0.5 Pass TDs O -230U +168
Hit rate · Last 20 43%3/7 Odds imply 65.1% Over
Season avg
0.0
Graph avg
1.1
Graph median
0.00–4
2026 per game
Pass Yds0.0â–¼-193.8
Att2.0â–¼-29.7
Cmp%0.0%â–¼-54.7
Pass TD0.0â–¼-1.3
INT0.0â–¼-1.5
Rush Yds0.0â–²+2.2
Malachi Nelson passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 0.5.
  1. 2025
    1
  2. 4
  3. 0
  4. 3
  5. 0
  6. 0
  7. 2026
    0
  8. ?

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

  • Home 40% 2/5 · avg 1.4
  • Away 50% 1/2 · avg 0.5
  • vs Virginia No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 Today 43% 3/7
  • O 1.5 29% 2/7
  • O 2.5 29% 2/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Virginia

What Virginia allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds135.5#181
  • Yds/Att5.8#178
  • Cmp%51.7%#180
  • Pass TD0.6#176
  • Pass Att23.4#170

QBs vs Virginia · 2026

Each main QB who faced Virginia this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.1
Avg diff %-60%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Ashton Daniels01.6-100%
Sep 26 Nick Minicucci01.7-100%
Sep 19 Michael Hawkins Jr.21.2+60%
Aug 29 CJ Bailey02.0-100%

Game log · 7 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 0.5Close
2026-09-051vs New Hampshire0Under—
2025-10-087vs Liberty0Under—
2025-09-275vs Louisiana Tech0Under—
2025-09-204vs UL Monroe3Over—
2025-09-133@ Texas0Under—
2025-09-062vs UT Martin4Over—
2025-08-301@ Utah State1Over—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.