College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Maddux Madsen QB

Boise State vs Fresno State ·

1.5 Pass TDs O +132U -178
Hit rate · Last 20 62%10/16 Odds imply 40.2% Over
Season avg
2.2
Graph avg
1.8
Graph median
2.00–4
Over the close
40%4/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds211.6â–¼-0.5
Att26.4â–¼-1.1
Cmp%65.9%â–²+7.6
Pass TD2.2â–²+0.6
INT0.0â–¼-0.8
Rush Yds21.0â–²+13.6
Maddux Madsen passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2025
    1
  2. 2
  3. 2
  4. 4
  5. 0
  6. 2
  7. 4
  8. 0
  9. 0
  10. 3
  11. 0
  12. 2026
    3
  13. 1
  14. 2
  15. 3
  16. 2
  17. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 78% 7/9 · avg 2.2
  • Away 43% 3/7 · avg 1.3
  • vs Fresno State 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 75% 12/16
  • O 1.5 Today 62% 10/16
  • O 2.5 31% 5/16
  • O 3.5 12% 2/16

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Fresno State

What Fresno State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds157.2#179
  • Yds/Att5.5#180
  • Cmp%51.6%#181
  • Pass TD0.6#179
  • Pass Att28.5#99

QBs vs Fresno State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Fresno State this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.1
Avg diff %+44%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Caden Pinnick00.6-100%
Sep 26 Jacurri Brown10.2+300%
Sep 19 Luke Weaver12.0-50%
Sep 04 Jayden Maiava32.4+25%

Game log · 16 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5Close
2026-10-035vs Utah State2Over1.5
2026-09-264@ Western Michigan3Over1.5
2026-09-193vs South Dakota2Over—
2026-09-122vs Memphis1Under1.5
2026-09-051@ Oregon3Over0.5
2025-12-131 (P)@ Washington0Under1.5
2025-12-0515vs UNLV3Over3.5
2025-11-0110vs Fresno State0Under—
2025-10-249@ Nevada0Under2.5
2025-10-188vs UNLV4Over1.5
2025-10-117vs New Mexico2Over—
2025-10-046@ Notre Dame0Under1.5
2025-09-275vs App State4Over—
2025-09-204@ Air Force2Over—
2025-09-052vs Eastern Washington2Over—
2025-08-281@ South Florida1Under1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 2m ago.