Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players
Maddux Madsen QB
Boise State vs Fresno State ·
1.5 Pass TDs
O +132U -178
Hit rate · All
62%10/16
Odds imply 40.2% Over
- Season avg
- 2.2
- Graph avg
- 1.8
- Graph median
- 2.00–4
- Over the close
- 40%4/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds211.6â–¼-0.5
Att26.4â–¼-1.1
Cmp%65.9%â–²+7.6
Pass TD2.2â–²+0.6
INT0.0â–¼-0.8
Rush Yds21.0â–²+13.6
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 1.5
- Home 78% 7/9 · avg 2.2
- Away 43% 3/7 · avg 1.3
- vs Fresno State 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0
Alt lines all · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 75% 12/16
- O 1.5 Today 62% 10/16
- O 2.5 31% 5/16
- O 3.5 12% 2/16
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs Fresno State
What Fresno State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.
- Pass Yds157.2#179
- Yds/Att5.5#180
- Cmp%51.6%#181
- Pass TD0.6#179
- Pass Att28.5#99
QBs vs Fresno State · 2026
Each main QB who faced Fresno State this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.
Avg vs their norm-0.1
Avg diff %+44%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03 | Caden Pinnick | 0 | 0.6 | -100% |
| Sep 26 | Jacurri Brown | 1 | 0.2 | +300% |
| Sep 19 | Luke Weaver | 1 | 2.0 | -50% |
| Sep 04 | Jayden Maiava | 3 | 2.4 | +25% |
Game log · 16 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass TDs | vs 1.5 | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 5 | vs Utah State | 2 | Over | 1.5 |
| 2026-09-26 | 4 | @ Western Michigan | 3 | Over | 1.5 |
| 2026-09-19 | 3 | vs South Dakota | 2 | Over | — |
| 2026-09-12 | 2 | vs Memphis | 1 | Under | 1.5 |
| 2026-09-05 | 1 | @ Oregon | 3 | Over | 0.5 |
| 2025-12-13 | 1 (P) | @ Washington | 0 | Under | 1.5 |
| 2025-12-05 | 15 | vs UNLV | 3 | Over | 3.5 |
| 2025-11-01 | 10 | vs Fresno State | 0 | Under | — |
| 2025-10-24 | 9 | @ Nevada | 0 | Under | 2.5 |
| 2025-10-18 | 8 | vs UNLV | 4 | Over | 1.5 |
| 2025-10-11 | 7 | vs New Mexico | 2 | Over | — |
| 2025-10-04 | 6 | @ Notre Dame | 0 | Under | 1.5 |
| 2025-09-27 | 5 | vs App State | 4 | Over | — |
| 2025-09-20 | 4 | @ Air Force | 2 | Over | — |
| 2025-09-05 | 2 | vs Eastern Washington | 2 | Over | — |
| 2025-08-28 | 1 | @ South Florida | 1 | Under | 1.5 |
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 2m ago.