College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 234 players

Ashton Daniels QB

Florida State vs Miami ·

0.5 Pass TDs O -166U +124
Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 58.3% Over
Season avg
1.3
Graph avg
1.1
Graph median
1.00–2
Over the close
67%4/6
2026 per game
Pass Yds220.0â–²+20.8
Att25.5â–¼-4.2
Cmp%59.5%â–²+2.3
Pass TD1.3â–²+0.6
INT1.2â–²+0.7
Rush Yds53.8â–¼-16.2
Ashton Daniels passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 0.5.
  1. 2025
    0
  2. 0
  3. 2
  4. 1
  5. 2026
    1
  6. 1
  7. 2
  8. 2
  9. 0
  10. 2
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

  • Home 67% 4/6 · avg 0.8
  • Away 75% 3/4 · avg 1.5
  • vs Miami No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 Today 70% 7/10
  • O 1.5 40% 4/10
  • O 2.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Miami

What Miami allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds232.8#64
  • Yds/Att6.6#149
  • Cmp%61.4%#123
  • Pass TD0.6#179
  • Pass Att35.5#7

QBs vs Miami · 2026

Each main QB who faced Miami this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.1
Avg diff %-50%
Beat their average33% (1/3)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Tait Reynolds00.2-100%
Sep 18 Giovanni Lopez32.0+50%
Sep 04 Davis Warren01.2-100%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 0.5Close
2026-10-096@ Louisville2Over1.5
2026-10-035vs Virginia0Under1.5
2026-09-264vs Central Arkansas2Over—
2026-09-193@ Alabama2Over0.5
2026-09-071vs SMU1Over—
2026-08-291vs New Mexico State1Over—
2025-11-2914vs Alabama1Over0.5
2025-11-0811@ Vanderbilt2Over0.5
2025-11-0110vs Kentucky0Under1.5
2025-10-259@ Arkansas0Under—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.