College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Alessio Milivojevic QB

Michigan State vs Illinois ·

1.5 Pass TDs O +154U -210
Hit rate · Last 5 20%1/5 Odds imply 36.8% Over
Season avg
0.6
Graph avg
0.6
Graph median
0.00–2
Over the close
20%1/5
2026 per game
Pass Yds170.2â–²+29.4
Att25.8â–²+6.6
Cmp%62.0%â–¼-2.1
Pass TD0.6â–¼-0.5
INT0.6â–²+0.3
Rush Yds-5.6â–²+1.0
Alessio Milivojevic passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2026
    1
  2. 2
  3. 0
  4. 0
  5. 0
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 25% 2/8 · avg 1.1
  • Away 17% 1/6 · avg 0.7
  • vs Illinois No games

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 40% 2/5
  • O 1.5 Today 20% 1/5
  • O 2.5 0% 0/5
  • O 3.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Illinois

What Illinois allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds219.4#92
  • Yds/Att7.1#116
  • Cmp%64.3%#85
  • Pass TD1.5#96
  • Pass Att30.8#64

QBs vs Illinois · 2026

Each main QB who faced Illinois this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.8
Avg diff %+67%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Ryan Browne11.8-43%
Sep 26 Julian Sayin42.2+78%
Sep 12 Walker Eget31.0+200%
Sep 03 Ryder Burton10.8+33%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5Close
2026-10-035@ Wisconsin0Under0.5
2026-09-264vs Nebraska0Under1.5
2026-09-193@ Notre Dame0Under0.5
2026-09-122vs Eastern Michigan2Over1.5
2026-09-041vs Toledo1Under1.5

Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 2m ago.