Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players
Alessio Milivojevic QB
Michigan State vs Illinois ·
1.5 Pass TDs
O +154U -210
Hit rate · All
21%3/14
Odds imply 36.8% Over
- Season avg
- 0.6
- Graph avg
- 0.9
- Graph median
- 1.00–4
- Over the close
- 33%3/9
2026 per game
Pass Yds170.2â–²+29.4
Att25.8â–²+6.6
Cmp%62.0%â–¼-2.1
Pass TD0.6â–¼-0.5
INT0.6â–²+0.3
Rush Yds-5.6â–²+1.0
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 1.5
- Home 25% 2/8 · avg 1.1
- Away 17% 1/6 · avg 0.7
- vs Illinois No games
Alt lines all · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 57% 8/14
- O 1.5 Today 21% 3/14
- O 2.5 7% 1/14
- O 3.5 7% 1/14
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs Illinois
What Illinois allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.
- Pass Yds219.4#92
- Yds/Att7.1#116
- Cmp%64.3%#85
- Pass TD1.5#96
- Pass Att30.8#64
QBs vs Illinois · 2026
Each main QB who faced Illinois this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.
Avg vs their norm+0.8
Avg diff %+67%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03 | Ryan Browne | 1 | 1.8 | -43% |
| Sep 26 | Julian Sayin | 4 | 2.2 | +78% |
| Sep 12 | Walker Eget | 3 | 1.0 | +200% |
| Sep 03 | Ryder Burton | 1 | 0.8 | +33% |
Game log · 14 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass TDs | vs 1.5 | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 5 | @ Wisconsin | 0 | Under | 0.5 |
| 2026-09-26 | 4 | vs Nebraska | 0 | Under | 1.5 |
| 2026-09-19 | 3 | @ Notre Dame | 0 | Under | 0.5 |
| 2026-09-12 | 2 | vs Eastern Michigan | 2 | Over | 1.5 |
| 2026-09-04 | 1 | vs Toledo | 1 | Under | 1.5 |
| 2025-11-29 | 14 | vs Maryland | 4 | Over | 1.5 |
| 2025-11-22 | 13 | @ Iowa | 2 | Over | 0.5 |
| 2025-11-15 | 12 | vs Penn State | 0 | Under | 1.5 |
| 2025-11-01 | 10 | @ Minnesota | 1 | Under | 1.5 |
| 2025-10-25 | 9 | vs Michigan | 1 | Under | — |
| 2025-10-18 | 8 | @ Indiana | 0 | Under | — |
| 2025-10-11 | 7 | vs UCLA | 1 | Under | — |
| 2025-10-04 | 6 | @ Nebraska | 1 | Under | — |
| 2025-08-29 | 1 | vs Western Michigan | 0 | Under | — |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.