College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 10, 2026 · 234 players

Darian Mensah QB

Miami vs Florida State ·

2.5 Pass TDs O -112U -118
Hit rate · Last 20 53%10/19 Odds imply 49.4% Over
Season avg
3.0
Graph avg
2.6
Graph median
3.01–5
Over the close
69%11/16
2026 per game
Pass Yds287.6â–²+3.8
Att26.6â–¼-9.1
Cmp%84.2%â–²+17.4
Pass TD3.0â–²+0.6
INT0.0â–¼-0.4
Rush Yds15.8â–²+18.1
Darian Mensah passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
  1. 2025
    3
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 3
  5. 2
  6. 2
  7. 2
  8. 4
  9. 3
  10. 1
  11. 1
  12. 2
  13. 2
  14. 4
  15. 2026
    5
  16. 3
  17. 3
  18. 3
  19. 1
  20. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 56% 5/9 · avg 2.6
  • Away 50% 5/10 · avg 2.6
  • vs Florida State No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 100% 19/19
  • O 1.5 84% 16/19
  • O 2.5 Today 53% 10/19
  • O 3.5 16% 3/19
  • O 4.5 5% 1/19

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Florida State

What Florida State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds215.8#104
  • Yds/Att7.7#83
  • Cmp%64.6%#84
  • Pass TD1.7#73
  • Pass Att28.0#108

QBs vs Florida State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Florida State this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.1
Avg diff %+17%
Beat their average60% (3/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 09 Lincoln Kienholz01.8-100%
Oct 03 Beau Pribula12.4-58%
Sep 19 Keelon Russell31.8+67%
Sep 07 Kevin Jennings32.8+9%
Aug 29 Trey Hedden20.8+167%

Game log · 19 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 2.5Close
2026-10-035@ Clemson1Under2.5
2026-09-264vs Central Michigan3Over2.5
2026-09-183@ Wake Forest3Over2.5
2026-09-102vs Florida A&M3Over—
2026-09-041@ Stanford5Over—
2025-12-311 (P)vs Arizona State4Over1.5
2025-12-0615@ Virginia2Under1.5
2025-11-2914vs Wake Forest2Under1.5
2025-11-2213@ North Carolina1Under1.5
2025-11-1512vs Virginia1Under2.5
2025-11-0811@ UConn3Over2.5
2025-11-0110@ Clemson4Over1.5
2025-10-188vs Georgia Tech2Under2.5
2025-10-046@ California2Under1.5
2025-09-275@ Syracuse2Under2.5
2025-09-204vs NC State3Over2.5
2025-09-133@ Tulane3Over1.5
2025-09-062vs Illinois2Under1.5
2025-08-281vs Elon3Over—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5PrizePicks 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.