NFL Receiving Lab: Target Share, Air Yards & aDOT

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs WR BAL #1 in rec yds allowed to WRs · 192/g Drake London · 27.7% target share Biggest role riser Malik Washington Target share +17.9 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 27.3% Steadiest over Darnell Mooney Over 17.5 in 8 of last 10 Rec Yds Red-zone magnet Darius Cooper 67% of PHI red-zone targets (4 of 6) 3 end-zone targets this season

Player

Rec Yds line

L5 graph

L5 hit

L5 avg · vs line

Target share

Trend

Air yds share

WOPR

aDOT

Catch %

YAC/rec

RACR

Snap %

RZ share

EZ tgts

Deep %

3rd-down share

CROE

YACOE

Opp rec yds

Opp rec

Opp targets

Opp yds/tgt

Opp RZ tgts

Opp aDOT

Pos. vs close

Research flags

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR SEA vs SF

94.5FanDuel

60%3/5

101.6+7.1

49.2%

0.90

9.9

76%

4.5

1.16

83%

12%

48%

+13.7

+0.25

#26124.3

#2210.2

#2416.4

#247.6

#132.2

#2210.5

45%5/11

Role ▲ 7.6 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 94.5

27@ NE28% tgt
122vs NE46% tgt
155@ ARI42% tgt
128@ WAS31% tgt
76vs LAC30% tgt

Target share: 37.3%
Targets / game: 10.5
WOPR: 0.90
aDOT: 9.9
Catch %: 76%
Snap %: 83%
RZ share: 48%
CROE: +13.7

Over 94.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season75%3/4
vs SF40%2/5

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	22.5	47	+109%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	8.5	10	+18%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	39.5	4	-90%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	32.5	40	+23%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	23.5	22	-6%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	34.5	43	+25%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	90.5	74	-18%

Zay FlowersWR BAL vs ATL

68.5FanDuel

80%4/5

104.0+35.5

39.8%

0.75

10.2

82%

9.2

1.57

58%

18%

22%

+12.8

+4.16

#6170.1

#512.9

#122.1

#217.7

#14.8

#513.5

83%10/12

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 68.5

30@ GB25% tgt
138@ PIT35% tgt
150@ IND25% tgt
84@ DAL30% tgt
118vs TEN34% tgt

Target share: 31.2%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.75
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 82%
Snap %: 58%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: +12.8

Over 68.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season100%3/3
vs ATLNo games

WRs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

83% went over (10 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Devaughn Vele NO	45.5	54	+19%
10-05	Chris Olave NO	86.5	116	+34%
09-24	Skyy Moore GB	10.5	31	+195%
09-24	Matthew Golden GB	55.5	100	+80%
09-24	Christian Watson GB	71.5	96	+34%
09-24	Bo Melton GB	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Xavier Legette CAR	16.5	64	+288%
09-20	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	58.5	101	+73%

Carnell TateWR TEN vs HOU

46.5Caesars

50%2/4

67.0+20.5

46.5%

0.77

11.8

69%

2.9

0.71

84%

16%

29%

+6.8

-0.99

#9160.8

#1311.1

#1118.2

#108.8

#83.0

#2110.5

69%9/13

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 46.5

38vs NYJ21% tgt
27vs PHI29% tgt
58@ NYG26% tgt
145@ BAL43% tgt

Target share: 29.9%
Targets / game: 8.0
WOPR: 0.77
aDOT: 11.8
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 84%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: +6.8

Over 46.5 by window

Last 550%2/4
Last 1050%2/4
Last 1550%2/4
This season50%2/4
vs HOUNo games

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	33.5	37	+10%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	69.5	75	+8%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	76.5	189	+147%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	22.5	20	-11%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	32.5	63	+94%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	50.5	77	+52%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	95	+71%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	75	-2%

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR DET vs ARI

79.5Caesars

40%2/5

88.4+8.9

31.8%

0.66

8.1

67%

2.6

0.81

89%

42%

+1.7

-1.59

#15143.1

#269.8

#3015.5

#59.2

#261.5

#913.0

45%5/11

Role ▼ 8.4 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 79.5

139@ CHI42% tgt
67vs NO36% tgt
142@ BUF34% tgt
19vs NYJ26% tgt
75@ CAR22% tgt

Target share: 29.4%
Targets / game: 11.5
WOPR: 0.66
aDOT: 8.1
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 89%
RZ share: 36%
CROE: +1.7

Over 79.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs ARI0%0/1

WRs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Malik Nabers NYG	54.5	112	+106%
10-04	Darnell Mooney NYG	20.5	0	-100%
10-04	Braxton Berrios NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Evans SF	55.5	34	-39%
09-27	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	40.5	80	+98%
09-20	Rashid Shaheed SEA	24.5	35	+43%
09-20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	81.5	155	+90%
09-20	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	20	-15%

Michael WilsonWR ARI vs DET

74.5DraftKings

60%3/5

71.4-3.1

44.7%

0.75

9.5

57%

2.7

0.62

92%

11%

30%

-4.8

-1.59

#2181.9

#313.4

#619.9

#79.1

#291.2

#1811.0

60%6/10

Role ▲ 5.1 ptsSoft matchup #2

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 74.5

99@ LA29% tgt
56@ LAC19% tgt
18vs SEA27% tgt
89@ SF34% tgt
95@ NYG37% tgt

Target share: 29.2%
Targets / game: 11.0
WOPR: 0.75
aDOT: 9.5
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 92%
RZ share: 32%
CROE: -4.8

Over 74.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs DET0%0/1

WRs vs DET this season · against their closing line

60% went over (6 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	72.5	192	+165%
10-04	John Metchie III CAR	20.5	37	+80%
10-04	Brycen Tremayne CAR	33.5	32	-4%
09-27	Isaiah Williams NYJ	33.5	21	-37%
09-27	Garrett Wilson NYJ	77.5	107	+38%
09-17	Khalil Shakir BUF	43.5	38	-13%
09-17	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	63	+334%
09-17	DJ Moore BUF	63.5	0	-100%

Justin JeffersonWR MIN vs NO

76.5BetMGM

40%2/5

62.0-14.5

36.4%

0.69

11.1

76%

4.0

0.95

70%

24%

27%

+10.6

-2.06

#31114.7

#319.4

#2716.1

#297.1

#142.2

#1112.0

46%6/13

Under in 7 of last 10Tough matchup #31

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 76.5

30vs DET36% tgt
101vs GB37% tgt
92vs GB39% tgt
55@ CHI32% tgt
32@ TB8% tgt

Target share: 28.8%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.69
aDOT: 11.1
Catch %: 76%
Snap %: 70%
RZ share: 50%
CROE: +10.6

Over 76.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season33%1/3
vs NONo games

WRs vs NO this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Zachariah Branch ATL	5.5	10	+82%
10-05	Olamide Zaccheaus ATL	8.5	0	-100%
10-05	Jahan Dotson ATL	19.5	54	+177%
10-05	Drake London ATL	80.5	96	+19%
09-27	Tre Tucker LV	39.5	43	+9%
09-27	Jalen Nailor LV	24.5	16	-35%
09-20	Rashod Bateman BAL	39.5	88	+123%
09-20	LaJohntay Wester BAL	21.5	14	-35%

Chris OlaveWR NO vs MIN

80.5DraftKings

100%5/5

122.0+41.5

44.4%

0.74

13.5

73%

3.0

0.76

85%

27%

32%

+11.1

-1.64

#30118.2

#309.5

#2316.4

#277.2

#122.5

#1411.3

54%7/13

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 3.6 ptsTough matchup #30

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 80.5

119@ TEN41% tgt
182@ DET25% tgt
86@ BAL31% tgt
107vs LV32% tgt
116vs ATL26% tgt

Target share: 28.6%
Targets / game: 12.0
WOPR: 0.74
aDOT: 13.5
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 85%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +11.1

Over 80.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season100%4/4
vs MINNo games

WRs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Miller MIA	4.5	0	-100%
10-04	Malik Washington MIA	40.5	67	+65%
10-04	Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA	14.5	3	-79%
09-27	Ted Hurst III TB	24.5	40	+63%
09-27	Jalen McMillan TB	13.5	0	-100%
09-27	Emeka Egbuka TB	49.5	62	+25%
09-27	Chris Godwin Jr. TB	35.5	25	-30%
09-20	Rome Odunze CHI	39.5	43	+9%

Garrett WilsonWR NYJ vs CLE

67.5DraftKings

40%2/5

54.0-13.5

37.5%

0.69

10.2

77%

1.7

0.86

89%

10%

34%

+12.5

-2.60

#28123.1

#279.8

#1817.1

#287.2

#93.0

#116.3

64%9/14

Role ▼ 4.2 ptsTough matchup #28

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 67.5

0vs CLE27% tgt
79@ TEN30% tgt
57vs GB19% tgt
107@ DET36% tgt
27@ CHI27% tgt

Target share: 28.2%
Targets / game: 7.8
WOPR: 0.69
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 77%
Snap %: 89%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: +12.5

Over 67.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%2/4
vs CLE0%0/1

WRs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

64% went over (9 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Roman Wilson PIT	20.5	74	+261%
10-01	Michael Pittman PIT	34.5	15	-57%
10-01	Germie Bernard PIT	8.5	11	+29%
10-01	DK Metcalf PIT	46.5	115	+147%
09-27	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	62.5	17	-73%
09-27	John Metchie III CAR	9.5	19	+100%
09-27	Jalen Coker CAR	58.5	18	-69%
09-27	Brycen Tremayne CAR	16.5	83	+403%

Drake LondonWR ATL vs BAL

80.5FanDuel

40%2/5

89.6+9.1

39.7%

0.69

8.3

80%

9.9

1.78

86%

35%

+9.1

+4.17

#1192.4

#213.8

#321.7

#98.9

#112.8

#269.7

69%9/13

Role ▲ 4.9 ptsSoft matchup #1

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 80.5

78vs NO27% tgt
29@ PIT21% tgt
51vs CAR16% tgt
194@ GB44% tgt
96@ NO30% tgt

Target share: 27.7%
Targets / game: 6.2
WOPR: 0.69
aDOT: 8.3
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 86%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +9.1

Over 80.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs BALNo games

WRs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	19	-49%
10-04	Elic Ayomanor TEN	19.5	22	+13%
10-04	Carnell Tate TEN	43.5	145	+233%
10-04	Calvin Ridley TEN	5.5	13	+136%
09-27	Ryan Flournoy DAL	29.5	22	-25%
09-27	George Pickens DAL	64.5	82	+27%
09-27	CeeDee Lamb DAL	82.5	112	+36%
09-20	Devaughn Vele NO	43.5	64	+47%

Malik WashingtonWR MIA vs CIN

44.5FanDuel

60%3/5

45.0+0.5

28.1%

0.61

11.1

61%

6.9

0.70

86%

32%

18%

-5.0

+0.42

#32104.4

#327.6

#3213.8

#267.6

#231.8

#1211.6

50%7/14

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 17.9 ptsTough matchup #32

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 44.5

6@ NE17% tgt
53@ LV30% tgt
43@ SF22% tgt
56vs KC29% tgt
67@ MIN29% tgt

Target share: 27.3%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.61
aDOT: 11.1
Catch %: 61%
Snap %: 86%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -5.0

Over 44.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season75%3/4
vs CIN0%0/1

WRs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (7 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Parker Washington JAX	75.5	7	-91%
10-04	Jakobi Meyers JAX	41.5	33	-20%
10-04	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Roman Wilson PIT	22.5	60	+167%
09-27	Michael Pittman PIT	27.5	16	-42%
09-27	DK Metcalf PIT	52.5	31	-41%
09-20	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	32.5	37	+14%
09-20	Kayshon Boutte HOU	35.5	37	+4%

Parker WashingtonWR JAX vs PHI

60.5FanDuel

60%3/5

67.0+6.5

38.0%

0.65

14.1

62%

1.2

0.62

76%

23%

41%

+8.7

-2.52

#22128.3

#259.9

#2516.3

#157.9

#43.5

#2010.5

58%7/12

Role ▼ 5.4 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 60.5

107vs BUF40% tgt
83vs CLE29% tgt
98@ DEN43% tgt
40vs NE18% tgt
7@ CIN13% tgt

Target share: 25.7%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.65
aDOT: 14.1
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: +8.7

Over 60.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs PHI0%0/1

WRs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Puka Nacua LA	76.5	125	+63%
10-04	Jordan Whittington LA	11.5	4	-65%
10-04	Davante Adams LA	59.5	32	-46%
09-28	Rome Odunze CHI	26.5	44	+66%
09-28	Luther Burden III CHI	33.5	61	+82%
09-28	Kalif Raymond CHI	22.5	90	+300%
09-20	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	9	-76%
09-20	Elic Ayomanor TEN	9.5	69	+626%

Tee HigginsWR CIN vs MIA

66.5PrizePicks

80%4/5

93.6+27.1

47.1%

0.70

13.4

64%

3.8

0.77

79%

13%

24%

+4.0

-0.31

#17137.0

#1610.9

#3115.2

#89.0

#281.2

#308.9

42%5/12

Role ▲ 5.0 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 66.5

67vs CLE24% tgt
59vs TB18% tgt
95@ HOU32% tgt
90@ PIT19% tgt
157vs JAX30% tgt

Target share: 24.8%
Targets / game: 9.8
WOPR: 0.70
aDOT: 13.4
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +4.0

Over 66.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs MIA0%0/1

WRs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

42% went over (5 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tai Felton MIN	15.5	14	-10%
10-04	Jordan Addison MIN	62.5	52	-17%
10-04	Jauan Jennings MIN	26.5	8	-70%
09-27	Xavier Worthy KC	38.5	20	-48%
09-27	Tyquan Thornton KC	19.5	22	+13%
09-27	Rashee Rice KC	48.5	88	+81%
09-20	Mike Evans SF	49.5	54	+9%
09-20	Demarcus Robinson SF	26.5	34	+28%

Malik NabersWR NYG vs WAS

54.5FanDuel

40%2/5

45.6-8.9

25.6%

0.54

11.5

69%

2.3

0.70

70%

15%

23%

+6.2

-2.65

#10155.9

#413.3

#420.6

#257.6

#162.2

#289.3

46%6/13

Role ▼ 3.0 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 54.5

20vs LAC15% tgt
69vs DAL31% tgt
1@ LA12% tgt
26vs TEN29% tgt
112vs ARI24% tgt

Target share: 24.1%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.54
aDOT: 11.5
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 70%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +6.2

Over 54.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season50%2/4
vs WAS100%3/3

WRs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND	24.5	0	-100%
10-04	Laquon Treadwell IND	24.5	42	+71%
10-04	Josh Downs IND	70.5	16	-77%
09-27	Tory Horton SEA	0.5	48	+9500%
09-27	Rashid Shaheed SEA	28.5	14	-51%
09-27	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	90.5	128	+41%
09-27	Cooper Kupp SEA	19.5	46	+136%
09-20	Ryan Flournoy DAL	30.5	23	-25%

Nico CollinsWR HOU vs TEN

79.5ESPN BET

20%1/5

66.0-13.5

27.3%

0.55

12.9

78%

3.3

0.83

66%

22%

42%

+16.4

-0.69

#8161.7

#1111.5

#2616.3

#19.9

#251.5

#2310.5

82%9/11

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 79.5

59vs LV26% tgt
57@ LAC15% tgt
21@ PIT22% tgt
75vs BUF27% tgt
118vs DAL31% tgt

Target share: 23.8%
Targets / game: 7.2
WOPR: 0.55
aDOT: 12.9
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 50%
CROE: +16.4

Over 79.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%1/2
vs TEN50%2/4

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

82% went over (9 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	72.5	118	+63%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	26.5	46	+74%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	52.5	26	-50%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	17.5	20	+14%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	25.5	14	-45%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	31.5	74	+135%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	60.5	117	+93%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	14.5	30	+107%

Terry McLaurinWR WAS vs NYG

59.5PrizePicks

40%2/5

52.2-7.3

32.7%

0.57

13.0

46%

4.5

0.49

76%

32%

19%

-13.1

+0.34

#20133.8

#2110.4

#2117.0

#167.9

#24.0

#1311.3

40%6/15

Role ▼ 4.3 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 59.5

63vs DAL33% tgt
57@ PHI21% tgt
14@ PHI14% tgt
50@ DAL26% tgt
77vs SEA30% tgt

Target share: 22.8%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.57
aDOT: 13.0
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 15%
CROE: -13.1

Over 59.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season33%1/3
vs NYG25%1/4

WRs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

40% went over (6 of 15)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Michael Wilson ARI	56.5	95	+68%
10-04	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	34.5	12	-65%
09-27	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	30.5	57	+87%
09-27	Elic Ayomanor TEN	13.5	11	-19%
09-27	Chimere Dike TEN	9.5	3	-68%
09-27	Carnell Tate TEN	38.5	58	+51%
09-27	Calvin Ridley TEN	13.5	0	-100%
09-21	Xavier Smith LA	14.5	0	-100%

DK MetcalfWR PIT vs IND

53.5FanDuel

20%1/5

51.0-2.5

33.5%

0.57

15.0

48%

3.4

0.43

96%

36%

31%

-8.3

-2.03

#3179.9

#712.3

#719.6

#69.2

#202.0

#314.0

54%7/13

Under in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #3

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 53.5

42vs HOU16% tgt
40vs ATL27% tgt
27@ NE24% tgt
31vs CIN16% tgt
115@ CLE23% tgt

Target share: 22.6%
Targets / game: 8.2
WOPR: 0.57
aDOT: 15.0
Catch %: 48%
Snap %: 96%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: -8.3

Over 53.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs IND0%0/1

WRs vs IND this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Treylon Burks WAS	18.5	47	+154%
10-04	Stefon Diggs WAS	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Dyami Brown WAS	12.5	65	+420%
09-27	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	38.5	51	+32%
09-27	Kayshon Boutte HOU	36.5	21	-42%
09-27	Jaylin Noel HOU	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Jared Wayne HOU	15.5	20	+29%
09-20	Xavier Worthy KC	39.5	25	-37%

Keenan AllenWR IND vs PIT

30.5FanDuel

60%3/5

32.2+1.7

19.7%

0.47

6.2

65%

2.2

0.81

63%

35%

-5.6

-2.20

#11154.0

#2010.4

#2915.9

#29.7

#311.0

#2510.2

64%7/11

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 30.5

36@ DEN34% tgt
25@ NE27% tgt
32vs BAL21% tgt
5@ KC17% tgt
63vs HOU26% tgt

Target share: 22.4%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.47
aDOT: 6.2
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: -5.6

Over 30.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season67%2/3
vs PIT0%0/1

WRs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Jerry Jeudy CLE	14.5	36	+148%
10-01	Denzel Boston CLE	38.5	89	+131%
09-27	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	90	+62%
09-27	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	98	+28%
09-20	Romeo Doubs NE	39.5	96	+143%
09-20	Mack Hollins NE	36.5	18	-51%
09-20	Kyle Williams NE	6.5	10	+54%
09-20	DeMario Douglas NE	34.5	9	-74%

Jordan AddisonWR MIN vs NO

40.5DraftKings

40%2/5

34.2-6.3

32.8%

0.56

12.4

50%

5.1

0.60

91%

23%

26%

-11.7

-1.91

#31114.7

#319.4

#2716.1

#297.1

#142.2

#1112.0

46%6/13

Role ▲ 12.7 ptsTough matchup #31

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 40.5

8vs GB10% tgt
0vs GB9% tgt
21@ CHI26% tgt
90@ TB36% tgt
52vs MIA18% tgt

Target share: 22.3%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.56
aDOT: 12.4
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 91%
RZ share: 9%
CROE: -11.7

Over 40.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs NONo games

WRs vs NO this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Zachariah Branch ATL	5.5	10	+82%
10-05	Olamide Zaccheaus ATL	8.5	0	-100%
10-05	Jahan Dotson ATL	19.5	54	+177%
10-05	Drake London ATL	80.5	96	+19%
09-27	Tre Tucker LV	39.5	43	+9%
09-27	Jalen Nailor LV	24.5	16	-35%
09-20	Rashod Bateman BAL	39.5	88	+123%
09-20	LaJohntay Wester BAL	21.5	14	-35%

Josh DownsWR IND vs PIT

55.5BetMGM

60%3/5

52.6-2.9

30.7%

0.55

10.0

61%

4.9

0.72

79%

18%

37%

-1.8

+0.42

#11154.0

#2010.4

#2915.9

#29.7

#311.0

#2510.2

64%7/11

Role ▲ 3.9 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 55.5

61@ HOU12% tgt
37vs BAL14% tgt
72@ KC30% tgt
77vs HOU31% tgt
16@ WAS14% tgt

Target share: 22.3%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.55
aDOT: 10.0
Catch %: 61%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: -1.8

Over 55.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs PIT100%2/2

WRs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Jerry Jeudy CLE	14.5	36	+148%
10-01	Denzel Boston CLE	38.5	89	+131%
09-27	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	90	+62%
09-27	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	98	+28%
09-20	Romeo Doubs NE	39.5	96	+143%
09-20	Mack Hollins NE	36.5	18	-51%
09-20	Kyle Williams NE	6.5	10	+54%
09-20	DeMario Douglas NE	34.5	9	-74%

Mike EvansWR SF vs SEA

50.5FanDuel

40%2/5

49.4-1.1

35.4%

0.57

13.1

71%

1.7

0.68

55%

17%

46%

+12.9

-2.03

#21129.4

#299.7

#2017.0

#237.6

#320.5

#2410.4

29%4/14

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 3.2 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 50.5

34vs CAR9% tgt
49@ LA21% tgt
54vs MIA14% tgt
34vs ARI23% tgt
76vs DEN28% tgt

Target share: 21.4%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.57
aDOT: 13.1
Catch %: 71%
Snap %: 55%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +12.9

Over 50.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs SEANo games

WRs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

29% went over (4 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tre Harris LAC	36.5	60	+64%
10-04	Quentin Johnston LAC	34.5	44	+28%
10-04	Ladd McConkey LAC	47.5	0	-100%
09-27	Terry McLaurin WAS	42.5	77	+81%
09-27	Stefon Diggs WAS	35.5	33	-7%
09-27	Dyami Brown WAS	8.5	0	-100%
09-20	Michael Wilson ARI	46.5	18	-61%
09-20	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	36.5	0	-100%

Jaylen WaddleWR DEN vs LAC

55.5FanDuel

20%1/5

37.0-18.5

32.8%

0.54

10.7

62%

3.8

0.67

69%

15%

31%

-3.4

-1.99

#13147.7

#1510.9

#1617.2

#118.6

#172.2

#713.1

46%6/13

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 55.5

0vs TB4% tgt
2@ KC11% tgt
138vs JAX34% tgt
10vs LA23% tgt
35@ SF16% tgt

Target share: 21.0%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.54
aDOT: 10.7
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 69%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: -3.4

Over 55.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAC100%1/1

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	7.5	6	-20%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	23.5	20	-15%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	93.5	76	-19%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	13	-45%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	42.5	6	-86%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	37	+155%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	48.5	67	+38%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	36.5	119	+226%

Khalil ShakirWR BUF vs LAR

45.5FanDuel

60%3/5

50.2+4.7

13.9%

0.40

6.6

65%

6.9

1.16

63%

23%

-5.8

+0.05

#19134.4

#2310.0

#1717.2

#187.8

#33.8

#1611.2

58%7/12

Role ▼ 6.3 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 45.5

75@ DEN23% tgt
50@ HOU21% tgt
38vs DET21% tgt
6vs LAC12% tgt
82vs NE27% tgt

Target share: 20.3%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.40
aDOT: 6.6
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: -5.8

Over 45.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs LAR100%1/1

WRs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Makai Lemon PHI	35.5	27	-24%
10-04	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	54.5	18	-67%
10-04	Darius Cooper PHI	20.5	33	+61%
09-27	Troy Franklin DEN	6.5	21	+223%
09-27	Pat Bryant DEN	24.5	44	+80%
09-27	Jaylen Waddle DEN	59.5	10	-83%
09-27	Courtland Sutton DEN	36.5	46	+26%
09-21	Malik Nabers NYG	61.5	1	-98%

Xavier HutchinsonWR HOU vs TEN

14.5DraftKings

100%5/5

42.0+27.5

24.0%

0.46

13.9

46%

5.3

0.46

56%

27%

19%

-16.0

+0.41

#8161.7

#1111.5

#2616.3

#19.9

#251.5

#2310.5

82%9/11

Over in 9 of last 10

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 14.5

44@ NE29% tgt
32vs BUF16% tgt
37vs CIN18% tgt
51@ IND24% tgt
46vs DAL19% tgt

Target share: 19.4%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 13.9
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 56%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -16.0

Over 14.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1090%9/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season100%4/4
vs TEN50%2/4

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

82% went over (9 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	72.5	118	+63%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	26.5	46	+74%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	52.5	26	-50%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	17.5	20	+14%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	25.5	14	-45%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	31.5	74	+135%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	60.5	117	+93%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	14.5	30	+107%

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR TEN vs HOU

32.5DraftKings

60%3/5

47.2+14.7

15.1%

0.39

5.6

70%

4.2

0.95

66%

26%

+1.3

-0.35

#9160.8

#1311.1

#1118.2

#108.8

#83.0

#2110.5

69%9/13

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 19.7 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 32.5

113@ LV48% tgt
38vs NYJ21% tgt
9vs PHI6% tgt
57@ NYG31% tgt
19@ BAL18% tgt

Target share: 19.1%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.39
aDOT: 5.6
Catch %: 70%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: +1.3

Over 32.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season50%2/4
vs HOUNo games

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	33.5	37	+10%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	69.5	75	+8%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	76.5	189	+147%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	22.5	20	-11%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	32.5	63	+94%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	50.5	77	+52%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	95	+71%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	75	-2%

Denzel BostonWR CLE vs NYJ

47.5FanDuel

75%3/4

71.0+23.5

49.5%

0.63

17.4

59%

8.4

0.74

92%

27%

25%

+4.8

+4.92

#23128.1

#1710.9

#2216.5

#197.8

#152.2

#299.0

43%6/14

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 47.5

59@ JAX18% tgt
95@ TB23% tgt
41vs CAR13% tgt
89vs PIT21% tgt

Target share: 19.0%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.63
aDOT: 17.4
Catch %: 59%
Snap %: 92%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +4.8

Over 47.5 by window

Last 575%3/4
Last 1075%3/4
Last 1575%3/4
This season75%3/4
vs NYJNo games

WRs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

43% went over (6 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Rome Odunze CHI	32.5	94	+189%
10-04	Luther Burden III CHI	46.5	63	+35%
10-04	Kalif Raymond CHI	31.5	6	-81%
09-27	Jameson Williams DET	54.5	49	-10%
09-27	Isaac TeSlaa DET	15.5	66	+326%
09-27	Amon-Ra St. Brown DET	75.5	19	-75%
09-20	Matthew Golden GB	49.5	58	+17%
09-20	Jayden Reed GB	37.5	4	-89%

Dontayvion WicksWR PHI vs JAX

43.5BetMGM

40%2/5

40.8-2.7

28.9%

0.49

12.4

60%

4.1

0.79

83%

25%

24%

+3.3

-0.93

#4173.4

#114.1

#222.1

#177.8

#53.5

#613.3

67%8/12

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 8.5 ptsSoft matchup #4

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 43.5

7vs BAL4% tgt
73vs WAS18% tgt
74@ TEN18% tgt
32@ CHI20% tgt
18vs LA20% tgt

Target share: 19.0%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.49
aDOT: 12.4
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 83%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: +3.3

Over 43.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season50%2/4
vs JAX0%0/1

WRs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

67% went over (8 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tee Higgins CIN	62.5	157	+151%
10-04	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	83.5	27	-68%
09-27	Romeo Doubs NE	42.5	49	+15%
09-27	Mack Hollins NE	34.5	87	+152%
09-27	Kyle Williams NE	7.5	34	+353%
09-27	DeMario Douglas NE	28.5	38	+33%
09-20	Troy Franklin DEN	9.5	27	+184%
09-20	Pat Bryant DEN	32.5	0	-100%

Devaughn VeleWR NO vs MIN

40.5DraftKings

80%4/5

59.0+18.5

23.7%

0.44

10.2

68%

2.4

0.72

91%

16%

24%

+4.7

-1.38

#30118.2

#309.5

#2316.4

#277.2

#122.5

#1411.3

54%7/13

Tough matchup #30

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 40.5

69vs CAR19% tgt
69@ DET17% tgt
64@ BAL22% tgt
39vs LV15% tgt
54vs ATL19% tgt

Target share: 18.3%
Targets / game: 7.8
WOPR: 0.44
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 68%
Snap %: 91%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +4.7

Over 40.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs MINNo games

WRs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Miller MIA	4.5	0	-100%
10-04	Malik Washington MIA	40.5	67	+65%
10-04	Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA	14.5	3	-79%
09-27	Ted Hurst III TB	24.5	40	+63%
09-27	Jalen McMillan TB	13.5	0	-100%
09-27	Emeka Egbuka TB	49.5	62	+25%
09-27	Chris Godwin Jr. TB	35.5	25	-30%
09-20	Rome Odunze CHI	39.5	43	+9%

Tre' HarrisWR LAC vs DEN

49.5Underdog

60%3/5

45.8-3.7

24.7%

0.44

12.0

62%

6.0

0.83

77%

19%

16%

+0.3

+1.09

#27123.8

#2410.0

#1018.3

#316.8

#192.0

#413.5

42%5/12

Role ▲ 6.1 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 49.5

20@ NE10% tgt
20vs ARI22% tgt
53vs LV12% tgt
76@ BUF21% tgt
60@ SEA16% tgt

Target share: 17.8%
Targets / game: 5.2
WOPR: 0.44
aDOT: 12.0
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 77%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +0.3

Over 49.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season75%3/4
vs DEN0%0/2

WRs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

42% went over (5 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Mike Evans SF	44.5	76	+71%
10-04	Jacob Cowing SF	5.5	0	-100%
10-04	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	34.5	26	-25%
09-27	Xavier Smith LA	24.5	0	-100%
09-27	Konata Mumpfield LA	9.5	93	+879%
09-27	Davante Adams LA	71.5	137	+92%
09-20	Parker Washington JAX	59.5	98	+65%
09-20	Jakobi Meyers JAX	37.5	28	-25%

Courtland SuttonWR DEN vs LAC

36.5DraftKings

20%1/5

20.6-15.9

38.1%

0.53

11.5

41%

2.2

0.34

77%

18%

20%

-17.1

-1.78

#13147.7

#1510.9

#1617.2

#118.6

#172.2

#713.1

46%6/13

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 36.5

17vs NE18% tgt
11@ KC18% tgt
25vs JAX14% tgt
46vs LA23% tgt
4@ SF16% tgt

Target share: 17.7%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.53
aDOT: 11.5
Catch %: 41%
Snap %: 77%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: -17.1

Over 36.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAC75%3/4

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	7.5	6	-20%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	23.5	20	-15%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	93.5	76	-19%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	13	-45%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	42.5	6	-86%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	37	+155%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	48.5	67	+38%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	36.5	119	+226%

Tre TuckerWR LV vs NE

40.5FanDuel

60%3/5

52.6+12.1

28.4%

0.45

15.5

65%

1.4

0.65

64%

30%

15%

+4.9

-3.23

#29119.1

#1011.7

#520.5

#325.8

#73.2

#318.8

50%6/12

Tough matchup #29

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 40.5

30vs KC23% tgt
27vs MIA14% tgt
119@ LAC24% tgt
43@ NO13% tgt
44vs KC17% tgt

Target share: 17.0%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.45
aDOT: 15.5
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 64%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +4.9

Over 40.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs NE100%1/1

WRs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (6 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Khalil Shakir BUF	38.5	82	+113%
10-04	Keon Coleman BUF	12.5	116	+828%
10-04	DJ Moore BUF	50.5	11	-78%
09-27	Parker Washington JAX	70.5	40	-43%
09-27	Jakobi Meyers JAX	35.5	64	+80%
09-27	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	34.5	8	-77%
09-20	Roman Wilson PIT	33.5	28	-16%
09-20	Germie Bernard PIT	15.5	35	+126%

Roman WilsonWR PIT vs IND

41.5DraftKings

40%2/5

37.6-3.9

23.7%

0.42

15.3

58%

6.0

0.51

51%

33%

22%

+1.1

+0.47

#3179.9

#712.3

#719.6

#69.2

#202.0

#314.0

54%7/13

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 8.8 ptsSoft matchup #3

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 41.5

0vs BUF4% tgt
26vs ATL16% tgt
28@ NE16% tgt
60vs CIN19% tgt
74@ CLE15% tgt

Target share: 16.8%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.42
aDOT: 15.3
Catch %: 58%
Snap %: 51%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +1.1

Over 41.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1523%3/13
This season50%2/4
vs IND0%0/1

WRs vs IND this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Treylon Burks WAS	18.5	47	+154%
10-04	Stefon Diggs WAS	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Dyami Brown WAS	12.5	65	+420%
09-27	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	38.5	51	+32%
09-27	Kayshon Boutte HOU	36.5	21	-42%
09-27	Jaylin Noel HOU	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Jared Wayne HOU	15.5	20	+29%
09-20	Xavier Worthy KC	39.5	25	-37%

Romeo DoubsWR NE vs LV

50.5Caesars

60%3/5

65.4+14.9

29.9%

0.46

16.1

60%

3.2

0.63

65%

25%

18%

+7.8

-1.71

#18136.0

#1810.4

#1917.0

#148.0

#271.5

#214.9

56%5/9

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 50.5

124@ CHI29% tgt
0@ SEA10% tgt
96vs PIT19% tgt
49@ JAX13% tgt
58@ BUF25% tgt

Target share: 16.8%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 16.1
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: +7.8

Over 50.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs LVNo games

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	33.5	70	+109%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	22.5	111	+393%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	48.5	39	-20%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	76.5	107	+40%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	30.5	53	+74%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	46.5	7	-85%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	45.5	35	-23%

Jameson WilliamsWR DET vs ARI

50.5Fanatics

40%2/5

60.6+10.1

32.1%

0.46

14.4

64%

1.4

0.63

90%

20%

17%

+4.6

-2.47

#15143.1

#269.8

#3015.5

#59.2

#261.5

#913.0

45%5/11

Role ▼ 3.5 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 50.5

74@ CHI22% tgt
45vs NO23% tgt
33@ BUF10% tgt
49vs NYJ13% tgt
102@ CAR16% tgt

Target share: 15.5%
Targets / game: 6.2
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 14.4
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 90%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +4.6

Over 50.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season25%1/4
vs ARI0%0/1

WRs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Malik Nabers NYG	54.5	112	+106%
10-04	Darnell Mooney NYG	20.5	0	-100%
10-04	Braxton Berrios NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Evans SF	55.5	34	-39%
09-27	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	40.5	80	+98%
09-20	Rashid Shaheed SEA	24.5	35	+43%
09-20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	81.5	155	+90%
09-20	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	20	-15%

Makai LemonWR PHI vs JAX

35.5DraftKings

0%0/4

16.2-19.2

12.1%

0.31

6.0

67%

2.3

0.72

68%

-3.3

-3.98

#4173.4

#114.1

#222.1

#177.8

#53.5

#613.3

67%8/12

Soft matchup #4

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 35.5

-5vs WAS18% tgt
14@ TEN3% tgt
29@ CHI16% tgt
27vs LA24% tgt

Target share: 15.3%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.31
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -3.3

Over 35.5 by window

Last 50%0/4
Last 100%0/4
Last 150%0/4
This season0%0/4
vs JAXNo games

WRs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

67% went over (8 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tee Higgins CIN	62.5	157	+151%
10-04	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	83.5	27	-68%
09-27	Romeo Doubs NE	42.5	49	+15%
09-27	Mack Hollins NE	34.5	87	+152%
09-27	Kyle Williams NE	7.5	34	+353%
09-27	DeMario Douglas NE	28.5	38	+33%
09-20	Troy Franklin DEN	9.5	27	+184%
09-20	Pat Bryant DEN	32.5	0	-100%

Deebo Samuel Sr.WR SF vs SEA

34.5FanDuel

40%2/5

41.0+6.5

6.9%

0.27

2.9

82%

10.7

3.70

61%

10%

+7.1

-0.43

#21129.4

#299.7

#2017.0

#237.6

#320.5

#2410.4

29%4/14

Role ▼ 9.1 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 34.5

20@ PHI26% tgt
48@ LA21% tgt
31vs MIA19% tgt
80vs ARI0% tgt
26vs DEN21% tgt

Target share: 15.1%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.27
aDOT: 2.9
Catch %: 82%
Snap %: 61%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: +7.1

Over 34.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs SEA67%2/3

WRs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

29% went over (4 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tre Harris LAC	36.5	60	+64%
10-04	Quentin Johnston LAC	34.5	44	+28%
10-04	Ladd McConkey LAC	47.5	0	-100%
09-27	Terry McLaurin WAS	42.5	77	+81%
09-27	Stefon Diggs WAS	35.5	33	-7%
09-27	Dyami Brown WAS	8.5	0	-100%
09-20	Michael Wilson ARI	46.5	18	-61%
09-20	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	36.5	0	-100%

Jakobi MeyersWR JAX vs PHI

41.5FanDuel

20%1/5

35.4-6.1

19.0%

0.36

9.9

87%

2.8

1.11

80%

13%

27%

+30.0

-1.93

#22128.3

#259.9

#2516.3

#157.9

#43.5

#2010.5

58%7/12

Role ▼ 4.9 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 41.5

12vs BUF13% tgt
40vs CLE10% tgt
28@ DEN4% tgt
64vs NE30% tgt
33@ CIN17% tgt

Target share: 15.0%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.36
aDOT: 9.9
Catch %: 87%
Snap %: 80%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +30.0

Over 41.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs PHINo games

WRs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Puka Nacua LA	76.5	125	+63%
10-04	Jordan Whittington LA	11.5	4	-65%
10-04	Davante Adams LA	59.5	32	-46%
09-28	Rome Odunze CHI	26.5	44	+66%
09-28	Luther Burden III CHI	33.5	61	+82%
09-28	Kalif Raymond CHI	22.5	90	+300%
09-20	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	9	-76%
09-20	Elic Ayomanor TEN	9.5	69	+626%

Jerry JeudyWR CLE vs NYJ

14.5DraftKings

80%4/5

26.6+12.1

19.7%

0.36

9.1

62%

4.4

0.85

62%

-5.7

-0.12

#23128.1

#1710.9

#2216.5

#197.8

#152.2

#299.0

43%6/14

Over in 8 of last 10Role ▼ 3.0 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 14.5

54vs PIT30% tgt
17@ CIN29% tgt
26@ JAX18% tgt
0@ TB3% tgt
36vs PIT9% tgt

Target share: 14.8%
Targets / game: 3.5
WOPR: 0.36
aDOT: 9.1
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -5.7

Over 14.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season67%2/3
vs NYJ100%1/1

WRs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

43% went over (6 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Rome Odunze CHI	32.5	94	+189%
10-04	Luther Burden III CHI	46.5	63	+35%
10-04	Kalif Raymond CHI	31.5	6	-81%
09-27	Jameson Williams DET	54.5	49	-10%
09-27	Isaac TeSlaa DET	15.5	66	+326%
09-27	Amon-Ra St. Brown DET	75.5	19	-75%
09-20	Matthew Golden GB	49.5	58	+17%
09-20	Jayden Reed GB	37.5	4	-89%

DeMario DouglasWR NE vs LV

25.5FanDuel

40%2/5

25.4-0.1

14.3%

0.31

10.6

53%

3.4

0.46

54%

29%

18%

-6.5

-2.52

#18136.0

#1810.4

#1917.0

#148.0

#271.5

#214.9

56%5/9

Role ▲ 5.0 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 25.5

45vs SEA17% tgt
20@ SEA23% tgt
9vs PIT10% tgt
38@ JAX17% tgt
15@ BUF8% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.31
aDOT: 10.6
Catch %: 53%
Snap %: 54%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: -6.5

Over 25.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs LV0%0/1

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	33.5	70	+109%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	22.5	111	+393%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	48.5	39	-20%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	76.5	107	+40%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	30.5	53	+74%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	46.5	7	-85%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	45.5	35	-23%

Rashid ShaheedWR SEA vs SF

20.5DraftKings

40%2/5

20.0-0.5

22.1%

0.37

11.1

47%

5.1

0.44

57%

20%

26%

-15.3

-1.49

#26124.3

#2210.2

#2416.4

#247.6

#132.2

#2210.5

45%5/11

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 4.5 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 20.5

27@ NE14% tgt
4vs NE12% tgt
35@ ARI23% tgt
14@ WAS7% tgt
20vs LAC15% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.37
aDOT: 11.1
Catch %: 47%
Snap %: 57%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -15.3

Over 20.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF33%1/3

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	22.5	47	+109%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	8.5	10	+18%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	39.5	4	-90%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	32.5	40	+23%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	23.5	22	-6%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	34.5	43	+25%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	90.5	74	-18%

Rashod BatemanWR BAL vs ATL

17.5DraftKings

60%3/5

35.6+18.1

18.8%

0.35

13.4

73%

3.1

0.85

76%

27%

+13.9

-0.50

#6170.1

#512.9

#122.1

#217.7

#14.8

#513.5

83%10/12

Role ▲ 7.4 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 17.5

7@ GB5% tgt
0@ IND4% tgt
88vs NO31% tgt
37@ DAL15% tgt
46vs TEN7% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.35
aDOT: 13.4
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +13.9

Over 17.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs ATLNo games

WRs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

83% went over (10 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Devaughn Vele NO	45.5	54	+19%
10-05	Chris Olave NO	86.5	116	+34%
09-24	Skyy Moore GB	10.5	31	+195%
09-24	Matthew Golden GB	55.5	100	+80%
09-24	Christian Watson GB	71.5	96	+34%
09-24	Bo Melton GB	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Xavier Legette CAR	16.5	64	+288%
09-20	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	58.5	101	+73%

Jahan DotsonWR ATL vs BAL

19.5FanDuel

20%1/5

19.0-0.5

43.7%

0.52

15.8

46%

3.5

0.46

67%

23%

12%

-14.0

-0.61

#1192.4

#213.8

#321.7

#98.9

#112.8

#269.7

69%9/13

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 3.8 ptsSoft matchup #1

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

0vs SF3% tgt
19@ PIT16% tgt
11vs CAR13% tgt
11@ GB13% tgt
54@ NO15% tgt

Target share: 14.2%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.52
aDOT: 15.8
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 67%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -14.0

Over 19.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs BAL0%0/1

WRs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	19	-49%
10-04	Elic Ayomanor TEN	19.5	22	+13%
10-04	Carnell Tate TEN	43.5	145	+233%
10-04	Calvin Ridley TEN	5.5	13	+136%
09-27	Ryan Flournoy DAL	29.5	22	-25%
09-27	George Pickens DAL	64.5	82	+27%
09-27	CeeDee Lamb DAL	82.5	112	+36%
09-20	Devaughn Vele NO	43.5	64	+47%

Kevin ColemanWR MIA vs CIN

18.5FanDuel

0%0/3

2.0-16.5

18.2%

0.34

14.2

20%

1.0

0.04

47%

30%

10%

-35.8

-4.76

#32104.4

#327.6

#3213.8

#267.6

#231.8

#1211.6

50%7/14

Tough matchup #32

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 18.5

0@ LV7% tgt
3vs KC11% tgt
3@ MIN24% tgt

Target share: 14.1%
Targets / game: 3.3
WOPR: 0.34
aDOT: 14.2
Catch %: 20%
Snap %: 47%
RZ share: 33%
CROE: -35.8

Over 18.5 by window

Last 50%0/3
Last 100%0/3
Last 150%0/3
This season0%0/3
vs CINNo games

WRs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (7 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Parker Washington JAX	75.5	7	-91%
10-04	Jakobi Meyers JAX	41.5	33	-20%
10-04	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Roman Wilson PIT	22.5	60	+167%
09-27	Michael Pittman PIT	27.5	16	-42%
09-27	DK Metcalf PIT	52.5	31	-41%
09-20	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	32.5	37	+14%
09-20	Kayshon Boutte HOU	35.5	37	+4%

Keon ColemanWR BUF vs LAR

39.5DraftKings

40%2/5

45.4+5.9

19.3%

0.35

12.8

88%

3.1

1.06

62%

25%

19%

+28.9

-0.92

#19134.4

#2310.0

#1717.2

#187.8

#33.8

#1611.2

58%7/12

Role ▲ 5.0 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 39.5

10@ DEN8% tgt
1@ HOU4% tgt
63vs DET21% tgt
37vs LAC8% tgt
116vs NE23% tgt

Target share: 14.0%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.35
aDOT: 12.8
Catch %: 88%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +28.9

Over 39.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs LARNo games

WRs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Makai Lemon PHI	35.5	27	-24%
10-04	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	54.5	18	-67%
10-04	Darius Cooper PHI	20.5	33	+61%
09-27	Troy Franklin DEN	6.5	21	+223%
09-27	Pat Bryant DEN	24.5	44	+80%
09-27	Jaylen Waddle DEN	59.5	10	-83%
09-27	Courtland Sutton DEN	36.5	46	+26%
09-21	Malik Nabers NYG	61.5	1	-98%

Brian ThomasWR JAX vs PHI

24.5DraftKings

40%2/5

25.2+0.7

14.5%

0.31

10.5

64%

0.8

0.71

47%

+6.6

-2.54

#22128.3

#259.9

#2516.3

#157.9

#43.5

#2010.5

58%7/12

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 24.5

21vs BUF7% tgt
40vs CLE14% tgt
40@ DEN29% tgt
8vs NE4% tgt
17@ CIN9% tgt

Target share: 13.8%
Targets / game: 3.5
WOPR: 0.31
aDOT: 10.5
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 47%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +6.6

Over 24.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season50%2/4
vs PHI0%0/1

WRs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Puka Nacua LA	76.5	125	+63%
10-04	Jordan Whittington LA	11.5	4	-65%
10-04	Davante Adams LA	59.5	32	-46%
09-28	Rome Odunze CHI	26.5	44	+66%
09-28	Luther Burden III CHI	33.5	61	+82%
09-28	Kalif Raymond CHI	22.5	90	+300%
09-20	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	9	-76%
09-20	Elic Ayomanor TEN	9.5	69	+626%

Marvin MimsWR DEN vs LAC

13.5FanDuel

40%2/5

35.0+21.5

16.2%

0.30

6.0

33%

14.0

0.56

44%

33%

15%

-30.6

+2.89

#13147.7

#1510.9

#1617.2

#118.6

#172.2

#713.1

46%6/13

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 13.5

10vs LAC13% tgt
93vs BUF19% tgt
62vs NE22% tgt
0@ KC0% tgt
10@ SF8% tgt

Target share: 12.3%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 33%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -30.6

Over 13.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season0%0/2
vs LAC25%1/4

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	7.5	6	-20%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	23.5	20	-15%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	93.5	76	-19%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	13	-45%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	42.5	6	-86%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	37	+155%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	48.5	67	+38%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	36.5	119	+226%

Isaiah WilliamsWR NYJ vs CLE

21.5DraftKings

60%3/5

31.8+10.3

16.0%

0.29

7.0

83%

6.0

1.61

81%

17%

14%

+13.0

-0.26

#28123.1

#279.8

#1817.1

#287.2

#93.0

#116.3

64%9/14

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 8.6 ptsTough matchup #28

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 21.5

24@ BUF32% tgt
7@ TEN4% tgt
34vs GB17% tgt
21@ DET6% tgt
73@ CHI20% tgt

Target share: 11.6%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.29
aDOT: 7.0
Catch %: 83%
Snap %: 81%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: +13.0

Over 21.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs CLE0%0/2

WRs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

64% went over (9 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Roman Wilson PIT	20.5	74	+261%
10-01	Michael Pittman PIT	34.5	15	-57%
10-01	Germie Bernard PIT	8.5	11	+29%
10-01	DK Metcalf PIT	46.5	115	+147%
09-27	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	62.5	17	-73%
09-27	John Metchie III CAR	9.5	19	+100%
09-27	Jalen Coker CAR	58.5	18	-69%
09-27	Brycen Tremayne CAR	16.5	83	+403%

Kendrick BourneWR ARI vs DET

23.5FanDuel

20%1/5

21.6-1.9

9.8%

0.24

4.0

86%

4.9

1.93

56%

18%

+10.9

+0.34

#2181.9

#313.4

#619.9

#79.1

#291.2

#1811.0

60%6/10

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 3.5 ptsSoft matchup #2

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 23.5

0vs SEA4% tgt
0@ SEA7% tgt
75@ LAC22% tgt
11vs SEA12% tgt
22@ SF6% tgt

Target share: 11.6%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.24
aDOT: 4.0
Catch %: 86%
Snap %: 56%
RZ share: 10%
CROE: +10.9

Over 23.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season33%1/3
vs DETNo games

WRs vs DET this season · against their closing line

60% went over (6 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	72.5	192	+165%
10-04	John Metchie III CAR	20.5	37	+80%
10-04	Brycen Tremayne CAR	33.5	32	-4%
09-27	Isaiah Williams NYJ	33.5	21	-37%
09-27	Garrett Wilson NYJ	77.5	107	+38%
09-17	Khalil Shakir BUF	43.5	38	-13%
09-17	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	63	+334%
09-17	DJ Moore BUF	63.5	0	-100%

Cooper KuppWR SEA vs SF

23.5DraftKings

60%3/5

35.0+11.5

15.2%

0.26

9.6

75%

4.3

0.99

61%

16%

+12.9

+0.02

#26124.3

#2210.2

#2416.4

#247.6

#132.2

#2210.5

45%5/11

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 13.1 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 23.5

61@ NE33% tgt
35vs NE12% tgt
20@ ARI8% tgt
46@ WAS11% tgt
13vs LAC10% tgt

Target share: 10.3%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 9.6
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 61%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +12.9

Over 23.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season50%2/4
vs SF50%2/4

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	22.5	47	+109%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	8.5	10	+18%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	39.5	4	-90%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	32.5	40	+23%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	23.5	22	-6%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	34.5	43	+25%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	90.5	74	-18%

Isaac TeSlaaWR DET vs ARI

25.5FanDuel

60%3/5

41.0+15.5

15.3%

0.26

12.8

53%

6.1

0.86

68%

24%

-9.4

+1.86

#15143.1

#269.8

#3015.5

#59.2

#261.5

#913.0

45%5/11

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 25.5

18@ CHI3% tgt
0vs NO3% tgt
26@ BUF13% tgt
66vs NYJ10% tgt
95@ CAR16% tgt

Target share: 10.3%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 12.8
Catch %: 53%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 9%
CROE: -9.4

Over 25.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs ARINo games

WRs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Malik Nabers NYG	54.5	112	+106%
10-04	Darnell Mooney NYG	20.5	0	-100%
10-04	Braxton Berrios NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Evans SF	55.5	34	-39%
09-27	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	40.5	80	+98%
09-20	Rashid Shaheed SEA	24.5	35	+43%
09-20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	81.5	155	+90%
09-20	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	20	-15%

Elic AyomanorWR TEN vs HOU

16.5DraftKings

60%3/5

32.6+16.1

16.0%

0.26

11.7

50%

8.6

0.97

62%

20%

10%

+0.8

+7.30

#9160.8

#1311.1

#1118.2

#108.8

#83.0

#2110.5

69%9/13

Role ▼ 7.1 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 16.5

50@ JAX30% tgt
11vs NYJ11% tgt
69vs PHI18% tgt
11@ NYG9% tgt
22@ BAL4% tgt

Target share: 10.1%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 11.7
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 38%
CROE: +0.8

Over 16.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%2/4
vs HOU50%1/2

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	33.5	37	+10%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	69.5	75	+8%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	76.5	189	+147%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	22.5	20	-11%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	32.5	63	+94%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	50.5	77	+52%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	95	+71%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	75	-2%

Germie BernardWR PIT vs IND

19.5FanDuel

33%1/3

20.0+0.5

12.7%

0.24

8.5

64%

2.0

0.65

49%

-3.1

-2.77

#3179.9

#712.3

#719.6

#69.2

#202.0

#314.0

54%7/13

Soft matchup #3

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

35@ NE22% tgt
14vs CIN3% tgt
11@ CLE5% tgt

Target share: 10.0%
Targets / game: 3.7
WOPR: 0.24
aDOT: 8.5
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 49%
RZ share: 17%
CROE: -3.1

Over 19.5 by window

Last 533%1/3
Last 1033%1/3
Last 1533%1/3
This season33%1/3
vs INDNo games

WRs vs IND this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Treylon Burks WAS	18.5	47	+154%
10-04	Stefon Diggs WAS	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Dyami Brown WAS	12.5	65	+420%
09-27	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	38.5	51	+32%
09-27	Kayshon Boutte HOU	36.5	21	-42%
09-27	Jaylin Noel HOU	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Jared Wayne HOU	15.5	20	+29%
09-20	Xavier Worthy KC	39.5	25	-37%

Kayshon BoutteWR HOU vs TEN

25.5FanDuel

40%2/5

27.2+1.7

10.1%

0.22

12.3

69%

1.8

0.72

62%

15%

+4.2

-2.91

#8161.7

#1111.5

#2616.3

#19.9

#251.5

#2310.5

82%9/11

Role ▼ 9.4 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 25.5

21vs SEA12% tgt
21vs BUF5% tgt
37vs CIN10% tgt
21@ IND8% tgt
36vs DAL15% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.22
aDOT: 12.3
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +4.2

Over 25.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs TEN50%1/2

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

82% went over (9 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	72.5	118	+63%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	26.5	46	+74%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	52.5	26	-50%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	17.5	20	+14%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	25.5	14	-45%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	31.5	74	+135%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	60.5	117	+93%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	14.5	30	+107%

Tory HortonWR SEA vs SF

11.5DraftKings

40%2/5

20.4+8.9

15.0%

0.25

12.0

100%

1.5

1.12

38%

+40.0

-1.63

#26124.3

#2210.2

#2416.4

#247.6

#132.2

#2210.5

45%5/11

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 11.5

0@ JAX4% tgt
0vs HOU10% tgt
48@ WAS17% tgt
48@ WAS7% tgt
6vs LAC5% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 12.0
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 38%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: +40.0

Over 11.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1550%5/10
This season50%1/2
vs SF0%0/1

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	22.5	47	+109%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	8.5	10	+18%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	39.5	4	-90%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	32.5	40	+23%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	23.5	22	-6%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	34.5	43	+25%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	90.5	74	-18%

Darnell MooneyWR NYG vs WAS

17.5FanDuel

80%4/5

23.0+5.5

12.7%

0.23

11.6

60%

3.3

0.82

57%

10%

13%

-2.7

-0.73

#10155.9

#413.3

#420.6

#257.6

#162.2

#289.3

46%6/13

Over in 8 of last 10Role ▼ 5.3 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 17.5

20vs NO23% tgt
27vs DAL7% tgt
48@ LA9% tgt
20vs TEN14% tgt
0vs ARI7% tgt

Target share: 9.4%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.23
aDOT: 11.6
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 57%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -2.7

Over 17.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs WAS50%1/2

WRs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND	24.5	0	-100%
10-04	Laquon Treadwell IND	24.5	42	+71%
10-04	Josh Downs IND	70.5	16	-77%
09-27	Tory Horton SEA	0.5	48	+9500%
09-27	Rashid Shaheed SEA	28.5	14	-51%
09-27	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	90.5	128	+41%
09-27	Cooper Kupp SEA	19.5	46	+136%
09-20	Ryan Flournoy DAL	30.5	23	-25%

Darius CooperWR PHI vs JAX

20.5DraftKings

40%2/5

13.6-6.9

13.4%

0.23

12.3

50%

4.2

0.48

39%

10%

12%

-7.8

+5.03

#4173.4

#114.1

#222.1

#177.8

#53.5

#613.3

67%8/12

Soft matchup #4

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 20.5

9vs SF3% tgt
0vs WAS0% tgt
26@ TEN9% tgt
0@ CHI0% tgt
33vs LA28% tgt

Target share: 9.2%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.23
aDOT: 12.3
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 39%
RZ share: 67%
CROE: -7.8

Over 20.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1536%4/11
This season50%2/4
vs JAXNo games

WRs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

67% went over (8 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tee Higgins CIN	62.5	157	+151%
10-04	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	83.5	27	-68%
09-27	Romeo Doubs NE	42.5	49	+15%
09-27	Mack Hollins NE	34.5	87	+152%
09-27	Kyle Williams NE	7.5	34	+353%
09-27	DeMario Douglas NE	28.5	38	+33%
09-20	Troy Franklin DEN	9.5	27	+184%
09-20	Pat Bryant DEN	32.5	0	-100%

Laquon TreadwellWR IND vs PIT

16.5DraftKings

60%3/5

24.6+8.1

19.6%

0.28

11.2

82%

3.0

1.00

68%

18%

+15.4

-1.61

#11154.0

#2010.4

#2915.9

#29.7

#311.0

#2510.2

64%7/11

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 9.2 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 16.5

0vs JAX0% tgt
0vs BAL3% tgt
61@ KC10% tgt
20vs HOU3% tgt
42@ WAS21% tgt

Target share: 9.2%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.28
aDOT: 11.2
Catch %: 82%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +15.4

Over 16.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1530%3/10
This season75%3/4
vs PITNo games

WRs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Jerry Jeudy CLE	14.5	36	+148%
10-01	Denzel Boston CLE	38.5	89	+131%
09-27	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	90	+62%
09-27	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	98	+28%
09-20	Romeo Doubs NE	39.5	96	+143%
09-20	Mack Hollins NE	36.5	18	-51%
09-20	Kyle Williams NE	6.5	10	+54%
09-20	DeMario Douglas NE	34.5	9	-74%

Jaylin NoelWR HOU vs TEN

18.5DraftKings

60%3/5

37.2+18.7

9.8%

0.20

12.6

67%

5.4

1.23

44%

25%

+0.6

-0.86

#8161.7

#1111.5

#2616.3

#19.9

#251.5

#2310.5

82%9/11

—

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 18.5

0@ NE2% tgt
53vs BUF5% tgt
31vs CIN10% tgt
17@ IND8% tgt
85vs DAL12% tgt

Target share: 8.7%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: 12.6
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +0.6

Over 18.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season75%3/4
vs TEN0%0/2

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

82% went over (9 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	72.5	118	+63%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	26.5	46	+74%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	52.5	26	-50%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	17.5	20	+14%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	25.5	14	-45%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	31.5	74	+135%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	60.5	117	+93%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	14.5	30	+107%

Marvin HarrisonWR ARI vs DET

34.5FanDuel

20%1/5

17.0-17.5

18.2%

0.25

15.5

38%

1.6

0.42

74%

31%

-13.3

-3.04

#2181.9

#313.4

#619.9

#79.1

#291.2

#1811.0

60%6/10

Role ▼ 6.5 ptsSoft matchup #2

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 34.5

0@ CIN3% tgt
33@ LAC8% tgt
0vs SEA4% tgt
40@ SF10% tgt
12@ NYG11% tgt

Target share: 8.3%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 15.5
Catch %: 38%
Snap %: 74%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -13.3

Over 34.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs DET100%1/1

WRs vs DET this season · against their closing line

60% went over (6 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	72.5	192	+165%
10-04	John Metchie III CAR	20.5	37	+80%
10-04	Brycen Tremayne CAR	33.5	32	-4%
09-27	Isaiah Williams NYJ	33.5	21	-37%
09-27	Garrett Wilson NYJ	77.5	107	+38%
09-17	Khalil Shakir BUF	43.5	38	-13%
09-17	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	63	+334%
09-17	DJ Moore BUF	63.5	0	-100%

Devontez WalkerWR BAL vs ATL

8.5DraftKings

60%3/5

22.4+13.9

19.8%

0.25

29.6

40%

3.5

0.45

50%

60%

-6.5

-5.85

#6170.1

#512.9

#122.1

#217.7

#14.8

#513.5

83%10/12

Role ▲ 4.7 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

0vs NE0% tgt
46@ PIT12% tgt
47vs NO7% tgt
0@ DAL5% tgt
19vs TEN7% tgt

Target share: 7.6%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 29.6
Catch %: 40%
Snap %: 50%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -6.5

Over 8.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1550%7/14
This season67%2/3
vs ATLNo games

WRs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

83% went over (10 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Devaughn Vele NO	45.5	54	+19%
10-05	Chris Olave NO	86.5	116	+34%
09-24	Skyy Moore GB	10.5	31	+195%
09-24	Matthew Golden GB	55.5	100	+80%
09-24	Christian Watson GB	71.5	96	+34%
09-24	Bo Melton GB	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Xavier Legette CAR	16.5	64	+288%
09-20	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	58.5	101	+73%

Cody WhiteWR LV vs NE

18.5FanDuel

40%2/5

12.8-5.7

6.7%

0.15

9.6

50%

1.4

0.67

28%

10%

-9.8

-0.90

#29119.1

#1011.7

#520.5

#325.8

#73.2

#318.8

50%6/12

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 5.2 ptsTough matchup #29

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 18.5

0vs LA0% tgt
0vs MIA3% tgt
24@ LAC7% tgt
4@ NO10% tgt
36vs KC8% tgt

Target share: 7.2%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 9.6
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 28%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -9.8

Over 18.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1536%5/14
This season50%2/4
vs NENo games

WRs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (6 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Khalil Shakir BUF	38.5	82	+113%
10-04	Keon Coleman BUF	12.5	116	+828%
10-04	DJ Moore BUF	50.5	11	-78%
09-27	Parker Washington JAX	70.5	40	-43%
09-27	Jakobi Meyers JAX	35.5	64	+80%
09-27	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	34.5	8	-77%
09-20	Roman Wilson PIT	33.5	28	-16%
09-20	Germie Bernard PIT	15.5	35	+126%

Olamide ZaccheausWR ATL vs BAL

7.5DraftKings

40%2/5

5.2-2.3

3.3%

0.13

2.1

57%

2.5

1.13

36%

12%

-21.9

-3.69

#1192.4

#213.8

#321.7

#98.9

#112.8

#269.7

69%9/13

Soft matchup #1

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 7.5

9vs LA5% tgt
5@ PIT5% tgt
3vs CAR10% tgt
9@ GB9% tgt
0@ NO5% tgt

Target share: 7.2%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 2.1
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -21.9

Over 7.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs BAL100%2/2

WRs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	19	-49%
10-04	Elic Ayomanor TEN	19.5	22	+13%
10-04	Carnell Tate TEN	43.5	145	+233%
10-04	Calvin Ridley TEN	5.5	13	+136%
09-27	Ryan Flournoy DAL	29.5	22	-25%
09-27	George Pickens DAL	64.5	82	+27%
09-27	CeeDee Lamb DAL	82.5	112	+36%
09-20	Devaughn Vele NO	43.5	64	+47%

Kyle WilliamsWR NE vs LV

24.5Underdog

20%1/5

10.2-14.3

7.8%

0.15

13.4

29%

7.5

0.47

24%

43%

-25.1

+2.28

#18136.0

#1810.4

#1917.0

#148.0

#271.5

#214.9

56%5/9

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 24.5

7vs SEA5% tgt
0@ SEA0% tgt
10vs PIT10% tgt
34@ JAX10% tgt
0@ BUF6% tgt

Target share: 6.3%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 13.4
Catch %: 29%
Snap %: 24%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -25.1

Over 24.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs LV0%0/1

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	33.5	70	+109%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	22.5	111	+393%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	48.5	39	-20%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	76.5	107	+40%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	30.5	53	+74%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	46.5	7	-85%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	45.5	35	-23%

Calvin RidleyWR TEN vs HOU

8.5DraftKings

80%4/5

15.8+7.3

7.4%

0.14

8.8

60%

5.7

1.09

36%

-6.4

+1.91

#9160.8

#1311.1

#1118.2

#108.8

#83.0

#2110.5

69%9/13

Over in 9 of last 10Role ▼ 9.8 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

18@ LV3% tgt
13vs HOU3% tgt
35vs PHI12% tgt
0@ NYG3% tgt
13@ BAL7% tgt

Target share: 6.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.14
aDOT: 8.8
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -6.4

Over 8.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1090%9/10
Last 1593%14/15
This season67%2/3
vs HOU100%4/4

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	33.5	37	+10%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	69.5	75	+8%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	76.5	189	+147%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	22.5	20	-11%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	32.5	63	+94%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	50.5	77	+52%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	95	+71%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	75	-2%

Efton Chism IIIWR NE vs LV

24.5Caesars

20%1/5

12.2-12.3

3.2%

0.11

6.9

57%

0.0

0.85

30%

14%

-0.9

-6.22

#18136.0

#1810.4

#1917.0

#148.0

#271.5

#214.9

56%5/9

Under in 7 of last 10

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 24.5

20vs LAC4% tgt
0vs HOU0% tgt
-2vs PIT5% tgt
1@ JAX7% tgt
42@ BUF11% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: 6.9
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 30%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: -0.9

Over 24.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1523%3/13
This season33%1/3
vs LVNo games

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	33.5	70	+109%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	22.5	111	+393%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	48.5	39	-20%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	76.5	107	+40%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	30.5	53	+74%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	46.5	7	-85%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	45.5	35	-23%

Troy FranklinWR DEN vs LAC

18.5DraftKings

40%2/5

13.0-5.5

20.3%

0.21

18.0

50%

7.0

0.67

28%

50%

+9.0

+2.80

#13147.7

#1510.9

#1617.2

#118.6

#172.2

#713.1

46%6/13

Role ▼ 8.3 pts

Last 5 games · receiving yards vs 18.5

17@ KC11% tgt
0vs LAC4% tgt
0@ KC4% tgt
27vs JAX7% tgt
21vs LA3% tgt

Target share: 4.5%
Targets / game: 1.2
WOPR: 0.21
aDOT: 18.0
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 28%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +9.0

Over 18.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season67%2/3
vs LAC50%2/4

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	7.5	6	-20%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	23.5	20	-15%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	93.5	76	-19%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	13	-45%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	42.5	6	-86%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	37	+155%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	48.5	67	+38%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	36.5	119	+226%

Joshua PalmerWR BUF vs LAR

21.5DraftKings

—

#19134.4

#2310.0

#1717.2

#187.8

#33.8

#1611.2

58%7/12

—

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 21.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: —
Targets / game: —
WOPR: —
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: —
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 21.5 by window

Last 5No games
Last 10No games
Last 15No games
This seasonNo games
vs LARNo games

WRs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Makai Lemon PHI	35.5	27	-24%
10-04	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	54.5	18	-67%
10-04	Darius Cooper PHI	20.5	33	+61%
09-27	Troy Franklin DEN	6.5	21	+223%
09-27	Pat Bryant DEN	24.5	44	+80%
09-27	Jaylen Waddle DEN	59.5	10	-83%
09-27	Courtland Sutton DEN	36.5	46	+26%
09-21	Malik Nabers NYG	61.5	1	-98%

How to read this

L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role ▲/▼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.