NFL Receiving Lab: Target Share, Air Yards & aDOT

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs RB NYJ #1 in rec yds allowed to RBs · 46/g Quinshon Judkins · 13.4% target share Biggest role riser Jaylen Warren Target share +8.9 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 13.8% Steadiest over Rhamondre Stevenson Over 15.5 in 7 of last 10 Rec Yds Red-zone magnet Braelon Allen 33% of NYJ red-zone targets (3 of 9) 0 end-zone targets this season

Player

Rec Yds line

vs Opp hit

Opp rec yds

Opp rec

Opp targets

Opp yds/tgt

Opp RZ tgts

Opp aDOT

Pos. vs close

RJ HarveyRB DEN vs LAC ▲ Role +6.8 pts

27.5FanDuel

0%0/2

#1729.6

—

#214.9

—

#230.5

#15-0.1

33%2/6

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 27.5

14@ LAC13% tgt
5vs LAC17% tgt

Target share: 21.5%
Targets / game: 6.8
WOPR: 0.27
aDOT: -2.8
Catch %: 95%
Snap %: 46%
RZ share: 17%
CROE: +11.5

Over 27.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season67%2/3
vs LAC0%0/2

RBs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	George Holani SEA	10.5	2	-81%
10-04	Emanuel Wilson SEA	6.5	39	+500%
09-27	James Cook BUF	11.5	0	-100%
09-20	Ashton Jeanty LV	26.5	15	-43%
09-13	Tyler Allgeier ARI	2.5	9	+260%
09-13	Jeremiyah Love ARI	15.5	9	-42%

Bijan RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL ▼ Role -6.2 pts

26.5DraftKings

—

#1035.6

—

#27.2

—

#290.2

#30-1.6

17%1/6

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 26.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 21.1%
Targets / game: 4.5
WOPR: 0.24
aDOT: -1.8
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -4.4

Over 26.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs BALNo games

RBs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyjae Spears TEN	12.5	-1	-108%
10-04	Tony Pollard TEN	8.5	2	-76%
09-27	Javonte Williams DAL	14.5	5	-66%
09-20	Travis Etienne NO	11.5	6	-48%
09-20	Alvin Kamara NO	12.5	7	-44%
09-13	Jonathan Taylor IND	18.5	23	+24%

Christian McCaffreyRB SF vs SEA ▼ Role -3.5 pts

35.5FanDuel

50%2/4

#638.3

—

#17.4

—

#250.5

#20-0.6

71%5/7

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 35.5

27vs SEA18% tgt
73@ SEA29% tgt
34vs SEA26% tgt
39@ SEA22% tgt

Target share: 19.8%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.33
aDOT: 2.5
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: -6.1

Over 35.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season50%2/4
vs SEA50%2/4

RBs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Omarion Hampton LAC	5.5	8	+45%
10-04	Keaton Mitchell LAC	10.5	24	+129%
09-27	Rachaad White WAS	15.5	6	-61%
09-27	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS	0.5	7	+1300%
09-20	Tyler Allgeier ARI	7.5	9	+20%
09-20	Jeremiyah Love ARI	17.5	16	-9%
09-09	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	24.5	44	+80%

Jahmyr GibbsRB DET vs ARI

37.5FanDuel

0%0/1

#1134.9

—

#155.3

—

#31.3

#13.9

25%2/8

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 37.5

20@ ARI0% tgt

Target share: 18.4%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 2.0
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 78%
RZ share: 18%
CROE: +1.0

Over 37.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs ARI0%0/1

RBs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

25% went over (2 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Najee Harris NYG	2.5	0	-100%
10-04	Cam Skattebo NYG	18.5	8	-57%
09-27	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	0	-100%
09-27	Christian McCaffrey SF	38.5	41	+6%
09-20	Jadarian Price SEA	7.5	8	+7%
09-20	George Holani SEA	8.5	2	-76%
09-13	Omarion Hampton LAC	13.5	0	-100%
09-13	Keaton Mitchell LAC	7.5	0	-100%

Ashton JeantyRB LV vs NE ▲ Role +3.0 pts

—

#2227.4

—

#205.1

—

#170.5

#22-0.7

50%5/10

Last 1 games · receiving yards

2@ NE6% tgt

Target share: 17.9%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 1.8
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 30%
CROE: +3.5

RBs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (5 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ty Johnson BUF	11.5	9	-22%
10-04	James Cook BUF	7.5	8	+7%
09-27	LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	0.5	9	+1700%
09-27	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	10.5	17	+62%
09-20	Rico Dowdle PIT	14.5	22	+52%
09-20	Jaylen Warren PIT	18.5	34	+84%
09-09	Jadarian Price SEA	7.5	6	-20%

Chase BrownRB CIN vs MIA

19.5PrizePicks

100%1/1

#836.8

—

#105.7

—

#13.0

#32.0

80%4/5

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

43@ MIA13% tgt

Target share: 15.0%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 88%
Snap %: 73%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +9.2

Over 19.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%2/4
vs MIA100%1/1

RBs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

80% went over (4 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Aaron Jones MIN	19.5	34	+74%
09-27	Kenneth Walker III KC	22.5	3	-87%
09-20	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	27	+218%
09-20	Christian McCaffrey SF	39.5	43	+9%
09-13	Ashton Jeanty LV	17.5	45	+157%

Jaylen WarrenRB PIT vs IND ▲ Role +8.9 pts

17.5DraftKings

0%0/1

#2624.9

—

#244.8

—

#100.8

#110.7

57%4/7

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 17.5

-2vs IND6% tgt

Target share: 13.8%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 74%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: -13.9

Over 17.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season100%4/4
vs IND0%0/1

RBs vs IND this season · against their closing line

57% went over (4 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kaytron Allen WAS	9.5	0	-100%
10-04	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS	5.5	35	+536%
09-27	Woody Marks HOU	11.5	6	-48%
09-27	David Montgomery HOU	9.5	15	+58%
09-20	Kenneth Walker III KC	20.5	61	+198%
09-13	Justice Hill BAL	11.5	10	-13%
09-13	Derrick Henry BAL	7.5	19	+153%

Quinshon JudkinsRB CLE vs NYJ

15.5DraftKings

0%0/1

#146.5

—

#125.6

—

#61.2

#140.1

50%4/8

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 15.5

10@ NYJ9% tgt

Target share: 13.4%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.17
aDOT: -1.8
Catch %: 94%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +11.5

Over 15.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs NYJ0%0/1

RBs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Monangai CHI	5.5	4	-27%
10-04	D'Andre Swift CHI	14.5	16	+10%
09-27	Sione Vaki DET	2.5	11	+340%
09-27	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	34.5	65	+88%
09-20	MarShawn Lloyd GB	6.5	6	-8%
09-20	Chris Brooks GB	9.5	15	+58%
09-13	Tyjae Spears TEN	16.5	12	-27%
09-13	Tony Pollard TEN	9.5	-1	-111%

Rhamondre StevensonRB NE vs LV

15.5FanDuel

0%0/1

#2724.7

—

#195.2

—

#320.0

#24-1.1

67%4/6

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 15.5

12vs LV7% tgt

Target share: 13.2%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.19
aDOT: -0.4
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 60%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -4.9

Over 15.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs LV0%0/1

RBs vs LV this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kenneth Walker III KC	22.5	2	-91%
09-27	Travis Etienne NO	10.5	13	+24%
09-27	Alvin Kamara NO	13.5	5	-63%
09-20	Omarion Hampton LAC	11.5	21	+83%
09-20	Keaton Mitchell LAC	8.5	15	+76%
09-13	De'Von Achane MIA	27.5	30	+9%

Aaron Jones Sr.RB MIN vs NO

18.5FanDuel

—

#2824.1

—

#314.1

—

#180.5

#27-1.2

40%2/5

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 18.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 13.1%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: -0.1
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 70%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -17.6

Over 18.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%2/4
vs NONo games

RBs vs NO this season · against their closing line

40% went over (2 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Bijan Robinson ATL	36.5	2	-95%
09-27	Ashton Jeanty LV	22.5	37	+64%
09-20	Justice Hill BAL	13.5	12	-11%
09-20	Derrick Henry BAL	6.5	19	+192%
09-13	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	30.5	30	-2%

Jonathan TaylorRB IND vs PIT

15.5DraftKings

50%1/2

#1334.3

—

#86.3

—

#210.5

#31-1.7

29%2/7

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 15.5

20vs PIT14% tgt
12@ PIT4% tgt

Target share: 12.4%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.16
aDOT: -1.7
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 85%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -13.9

Over 15.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs PIT50%1/2

RBs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

29% went over (2 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Raheim Sanders CLE	11.5	7	-39%
10-01	Quinshon Judkins CLE	10.5	43	+310%
09-27	Samaje Perine CIN	8.5	5	-41%
09-27	Chase Brown CIN	21.5	8	-63%
09-20	TreVeyon Henderson NE	10.5	0	-100%
09-20	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	19.5	3	-85%
09-13	Bijan Robinson ATL	33.5	90	+169%

Ty JohnsonRB BUF vs LAR

11.5DraftKings

100%1/1

#241.8

—

#56.7

—

#110.8

#23-0.9

38%3/8

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 11.5

55@ LA8% tgt

Target share: 10.3%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 0.0
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 32%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +26.7

Over 11.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%1/2
vs LAR100%1/1

RBs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Will Shipley PHI	3.5	0	-100%
10-04	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Saquon Barkley PHI	15.5	2	-87%
09-27	RJ Harvey DEN	16.5	41	+148%
09-27	J.K. Dobbins DEN	1.5	4	+167%
09-21	Devin Singletary NYG	7.5	0	-100%
09-21	Cam Skattebo NYG	11.5	19	+65%
09-10	Christian McCaffrey SF	40.5	20	-51%

Alvin KamaraRB NO vs MIN

13.5FanDuel

—

#3218.9

—

#323.9

—

#21.5

#100.8

38%3/8

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 13.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 10.2%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 0.4
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 28%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +0.7

Over 13.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season33%1/3
vs MINNo games

RBs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ollie Gordon II MIA	7.5	0	-100%
10-04	Jaylen Wright MIA	5.5	0	-100%
09-27	Kenny Gainwell TB	9.5	14	+47%
09-27	Bucky Irving TB	15.5	12	-23%
09-20	Kyle Monangai CHI	9.5	11	+16%
09-20	D'Andre Swift CHI	10.5	54	+414%
09-13	MarShawn Lloyd GB	10.5	0	-100%
09-13	Chris Brooks GB	5.5	0	-100%

Raheim SandersRB CLE vs NYJ ▲ Role +5.6 pts

12.5FanDuel

—

#146.5

—

#125.6

—

#61.2

#140.1

50%4/8

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 12.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 9.9%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: -1.5
Catch %: 91%
Snap %: 33%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +8.5

Over 12.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1025%2/8
Last 1525%2/8
This season50%2/4
vs NYJNo games

RBs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Monangai CHI	5.5	4	-27%
10-04	D'Andre Swift CHI	14.5	16	+10%
09-27	Sione Vaki DET	2.5	11	+340%
09-27	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	34.5	65	+88%
09-20	MarShawn Lloyd GB	6.5	6	-8%
09-20	Chris Brooks GB	9.5	15	+58%
09-13	Tyjae Spears TEN	16.5	12	-27%
09-13	Tony Pollard TEN	9.5	-1	-111%

Tony PollardRB TEN vs HOU ▲ Role +4.1 pts

8.5DraftKings

50%2/4

#2526.5

—

#145.5

—

#200.5

#26-1.1

40%2/5

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

10@ HOU20% tgt
0vs HOU0% tgt
12@ HOU13% tgt
4vs HOU8% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.16
aDOT: 1.5
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 53%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -3.0

Over 8.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs HOU50%2/4

RBs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

40% went over (2 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Javonte Williams DAL	13.5	21	+56%
09-27	Jonathan Taylor IND	21.5	4	-81%
09-20	Samaje Perine CIN	7.5	16	+113%
09-20	Chase Brown CIN	19.5	2	-90%
09-13	James Cook BUF	19.5	12	-38%

Rachaad WhiteRB WAS vs NYG ▲ Role +3.5 pts

9.5DraftKings

100%1/1

#2326.6

—

#234.8

—

#120.8

#29-1.5

43%3/7

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

10@ NYG3% tgt

Target share: 9.2%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 0.4
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 42%
RZ share: 15%
CROE: +24.2

Over 9.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season33%1/3
vs NYG100%1/1

RBs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Allgeier ARI	8.5	7	-18%
10-04	Jeremiyah Love ARI	17.5	-8	-146%
09-27	Tyjae Spears TEN	12.5	0	-100%
09-27	Tony Pollard TEN	6.5	22	+238%
09-21	Kyren Williams LA	16.5	12	-27%
09-21	Blake Corum LA	2.5	13	+420%
09-13	Javonte Williams DAL	10.5	31	+195%

James Cook IIIRB BUF vs LAR

11.5DraftKings

0%0/1

#241.8

—

#56.7

—

#110.8

#23-0.9

38%3/8

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 11.5

9@ LA5% tgt

Target share: 8.9%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: -16.1

Over 11.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAR0%0/1

RBs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Will Shipley PHI	3.5	0	-100%
10-04	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Saquon Barkley PHI	15.5	2	-87%
09-27	RJ Harvey DEN	16.5	41	+148%
09-27	J.K. Dobbins DEN	1.5	4	+167%
09-21	Devin Singletary NYG	7.5	0	-100%
09-21	Cam Skattebo NYG	11.5	19	+65%
09-10	Christian McCaffrey SF	40.5	20	-51%

Jeremiyah LoveRB ARI vs DET

11.5DraftKings

—

#3121.8

—

#254.7

—

#91.0

#130.3

67%4/6

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 11.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 8.8%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 0.5
Catch %: 85%
Snap %: 48%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: +6.8

Over 11.5 by window

Last 550%2/4
Last 1050%2/4
Last 1550%2/4
This season50%2/4
vs DETNo games

RBs vs DET this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chuba Hubbard CAR	18.5	7	-62%
10-04	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	5	+900%
09-27	Breece Hall NYJ	21.5	23	+7%
09-27	Braelon Allen NYJ	2.5	3	+20%
09-17	James Cook BUF	18.5	4	-78%
09-13	Travis Etienne NO	16.5	32	+94%

Cam SkatteboRB NYG vs WAS ▼ Role -4.5 pts

12.5FanDuel

0%0/1

#2426.6

—

#165.3

—

#300.2

#120.7

25%2/8

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 12.5

12@ WAS6% tgt

Target share: 8.7%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.17
aDOT: 3.6
Catch %: 89%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +14.4

Over 12.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1558%7/12
This season50%2/4
vs WAS0%0/1

RBs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

25% went over (2 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Jonathan Taylor IND	19.5	2	-90%
09-27	Jadarian Price SEA	8.5	7	-18%
09-27	George Holani SEA	5.5	48	+773%
09-27	Emanuel Wilson SEA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Javonte Williams DAL	13.5	20	+48%
09-20	Hunter Luepke DAL	24.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Saquon Barkley PHI	15.5	-3	-119%

Keaton MitchellRB LAC vs DEN ▲ Role +3.5 pts

14.5Underdog

—

#2028.6

—

#135.6

—

#71.0

#41.8

29%2/7

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 14.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 8.1%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: -1.5
Catch %: 90%
Snap %: 33%
RZ share: 10%
CROE: +5.7

Over 14.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season50%2/4
vs DENNo games

RBs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

29% went over (2 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	28	+229%
10-04	Christian McCaffrey SF	41.5	18	-57%
09-27	Kyren Williams LA	12.5	70	+460%
09-27	Blake Corum LA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	8.5	-3	-135%
09-14	Kenneth Walker III KC	21.5	18	-16%

Tyjae SpearsRB TEN vs HOU ▼ Role -5.8 pts

9.5FanDuel

100%1/1

#2526.5

—

#145.5

—

#200.5

#26-1.1

40%2/5

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

31vs HOU14% tgt

Target share: 7.4%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: -2.0
Catch %: 71%
Snap %: 42%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -7.7

Over 9.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%2/4
vs HOU100%1/1

RBs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

40% went over (2 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Javonte Williams DAL	13.5	21	+56%
09-27	Jonathan Taylor IND	21.5	4	-81%
09-20	Samaje Perine CIN	7.5	16	+113%
09-20	Chase Brown CIN	19.5	2	-90%
09-13	James Cook BUF	19.5	12	-38%

Braelon AllenRB NYJ vs CLE ▲ Role +4.6 pts

13.5DraftKings

—

#2923.8

—

#185.2

—

#81.0

#32-3.0

38%3/8

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 13.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 7.2%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: -0.3
Catch %: 86%
Snap %: 54%
RZ share: 33%
CROE: +8.1

Over 13.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season0%0/4
vs CLENo games

RBs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Travis Homer PIT	9.5	0	-100%
10-01	Jaylen Warren PIT	25.5	33	+29%
09-27	Chuba Hubbard CAR	14.5	28	+93%
09-27	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	-2	-500%
09-20	Kenny Gainwell TB	12.5	5	-60%
09-20	Bucky Irving TB	17.5	1	-94%
09-13	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	11.5	22	+91%

Bhayshul TutenRB JAX vs PHI ▲ Role +6.1 pts

9.5DraftKings

—

#539.0

—

#76.3

—

#220.5

#81.1

33%2/6

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 7.0%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: -3.1
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 52%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +18.1

Over 9.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season75%3/4
vs PHINo games

RBs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyren Williams LA	13.5	67	+396%
09-28	Kyle Monangai CHI	8.5	0	-100%
09-28	D'Andre Swift CHI	13.5	4	-70%
09-20	Tyjae Spears TEN	15.5	29	+87%
09-20	Tony Pollard TEN	7.5	1	-87%
09-13	Rachaad White WAS	14.5	5	-66%

Tyler AllgeierRB ARI vs DET ▲ Role +4.3 pts

9.5FanDuel

—

#3121.8

—

#254.7

—

#91.0

#130.3

67%4/6

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 6.7%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.08
aDOT: -3.6
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 54%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +23.8

Over 9.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs DETNo games

RBs vs DET this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chuba Hubbard CAR	18.5	7	-62%
10-04	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	5	+900%
09-27	Breece Hall NYJ	21.5	23	+7%
09-27	Braelon Allen NYJ	2.5	3	+20%
09-17	James Cook BUF	18.5	4	-78%
09-13	Travis Etienne NO	16.5	32	+94%

Derrick HenryRB BAL vs ATL ▲ Role +5.1 pts

4.5FanDuel

—

#3023.5

—

#115.7

—

#41.2

#17-0.2

56%5/9

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 4.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 6.6%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.08
aDOT: -4.3
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 59%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +24.8

Over 4.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season75%3/4
vs ATLNo games

RBs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Kendre Miller NO	5.5	10	+82%
10-05	Alvin Kamara NO	15.5	35	+126%
09-24	MarShawn Lloyd GB	5.5	7	+27%
09-24	Kaleb Johnson GB	0.5	10	+1900%
09-24	Chris Brooks GB	6.5	4	-38%
09-20	Jonathon Brooks CAR	6.5	-5	-177%
09-20	Chuba Hubbard CAR	12.5	11	-12%
09-13	Rico Dowdle PIT	10.5	6	-43%

Ollie Gordon IIRB MIA vs CIN ▲ Role +6.1 pts

9.5DraftKings

0%0/1

#738.3

—

#175.3

—

#130.8

#21-0.6

71%5/7

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

0vs CIN0% tgt

Target share: 6.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: -3.2
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 49%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +20.2

Over 9.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season33%1/3
vs CIN0%0/1

RBs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	10.5	18	+71%
09-27	Travis Homer PIT	5.5	0	-100%
09-27	Jaylen Warren PIT	25.5	49	+92%
09-20	Woody Marks HOU	10.5	27	+157%
09-20	David Montgomery HOU	11.5	14	+22%
09-13	Bucky Irving TB	13.5	48	+256%

Emanuel WilsonRB SEA vs SF

10.5BetMGM

0%0/1

#340.7

—

#47.0

—

#140.8

#71.1

75%6/8

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 10.5

0vs SF0% tgt

Target share: 6.0%
Targets / game: 1.2
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: -2.6
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: -19.5

Over 10.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF0%0/1

RBs vs SF this season · against their closing line

75% went over (6 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Badie DEN	3.5	32	+814%
10-04	RJ Harvey DEN	21.5	68	+216%
10-04	J.K. Dobbins DEN	2.5	12	+380%
09-27	Tyler Allgeier ARI	7.5	10	+33%
09-27	Jeremiyah Love ARI	14.5	19	+31%
09-20	De'Von Achane MIA	27.5	19	-31%
09-10	Kyren Williams LA	10.5	24	+129%
09-10	Blake Corum LA	2.5	0	-100%

George HolaniRB SEA vs SF

9.5DraftKings

0%0/1

#340.7

—

#47.0

—

#140.8

#71.1

75%6/8

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

0vs SF0% tgt

Target share: 6.0%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 88%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +8.9

Over 9.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF0%0/1

RBs vs SF this season · against their closing line

75% went over (6 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Badie DEN	3.5	32	+814%
10-04	RJ Harvey DEN	21.5	68	+216%
10-04	J.K. Dobbins DEN	2.5	12	+380%
09-27	Tyler Allgeier ARI	7.5	10	+33%
09-27	Jeremiyah Love ARI	14.5	19	+31%
09-20	De'Von Achane MIA	27.5	19	-31%
09-10	Kyren Williams LA	10.5	24	+129%
09-10	Blake Corum LA	2.5	0	-100%

Will ShipleyRB PHI vs JAX

15.5FanDuel

0%0/1

#1234.7

—

#66.5

—

#280.2

#16-0.1

43%3/7

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 15.5

0vs JAX0% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: 2.2
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -8.5

Over 15.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 100%0/10
Last 157%1/15
This season0%0/4
vs JAX0%0/1

RBs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Samaje Perine CIN	8.5	0	-100%
10-04	Chase Brown CIN	19.5	71	+264%
09-27	TreVeyon Henderson NE	9.5	6	-37%
09-27	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	14.5	16	+10%
09-20	J.K. Dobbins DEN	7.5	0	-100%
09-13	Quinshon Judkins CLE	9.5	17	+79%
09-13	Dylan Sampson CLE	8.5	0	-100%

Woody MarksRB HOU vs TEN

8.5DraftKings

50%1/2

#1432.8

—

#294.4

—

#270.2

#90.9

50%5/10

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

50vs TEN18% tgt
7@ TEN2% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 2.2
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 45%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: -0.3

Over 8.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season25%1/4
vs TEN50%1/2

RBs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (5 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Justice Hill BAL	10.5	22	+110%
10-04	Derrick Henry BAL	7.5	6	-20%
09-27	Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG	24.5	0	-100%
09-27	Najee Harris NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Cam Skattebo NYG	14.5	40	+176%
09-20	Will Shipley PHI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	5	+900%
09-20	Saquon Barkley PHI	10.5	11	+5%

Samaje PerineRB CIN vs MIA

6.5PrizePicks

100%1/1

#836.8

—

#105.7

—

#13.0

#32.0

80%4/5

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 6.5

16@ MIA10% tgt

Target share: 5.5%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: 2.0
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 34%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -4.9

Over 6.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs MIA100%1/1

RBs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

80% went over (4 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Aaron Jones MIN	19.5	34	+74%
09-27	Kenneth Walker III KC	22.5	3	-87%
09-20	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	27	+218%
09-20	Christian McCaffrey SF	39.5	43	+9%
09-13	Ashton Jeanty LV	17.5	45	+157%

Justice HillRB BAL vs ATL

8.5DraftKings

—

#3023.5

—

#115.7

—

#41.2

#17-0.2

56%5/9

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 5.4%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: -2.5
Catch %: 83%
Snap %: 41%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +1.2

Over 8.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs ATLNo games

RBs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Kendre Miller NO	5.5	10	+82%
10-05	Alvin Kamara NO	15.5	35	+126%
09-24	MarShawn Lloyd GB	5.5	7	+27%
09-24	Kaleb Johnson GB	0.5	10	+1900%
09-24	Chris Brooks GB	6.5	4	-38%
09-20	Jonathon Brooks CAR	6.5	-5	-177%
09-20	Chuba Hubbard CAR	12.5	11	-12%
09-13	Rico Dowdle PIT	10.5	6	-43%

Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB WAS vs NYG ▲ Role +5.2 pts

5.5PrizePicks

0%0/2

#2326.6

—

#234.8

—

#120.8

#29-1.5

43%3/7

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 5.5

0vs NYG3% tgt
0@ NYG0% tgt

Target share: 5.2%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.08
aDOT: 0.6
Catch %: 71%
Snap %: 47%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +1.1

Over 5.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season50%2/4
vs NYG0%0/2

RBs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Allgeier ARI	8.5	7	-18%
10-04	Jeremiyah Love ARI	17.5	-8	-146%
09-27	Tyjae Spears TEN	12.5	0	-100%
09-27	Tony Pollard TEN	6.5	22	+238%
09-21	Kyren Williams LA	16.5	12	-27%
09-21	Blake Corum LA	2.5	13	+420%
09-13	Javonte Williams DAL	10.5	31	+195%

David MontgomeryRB HOU vs TEN

7.5DraftKings

0%0/1

#1432.8

—

#294.4

—

#270.2

#90.9

50%5/10

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 7.5

5vs TEN6% tgt

Target share: 5.0%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 3.6
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 55%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: +22.4

Over 7.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season100%4/4
vs TEN0%0/1

RBs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (5 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Justice Hill BAL	10.5	22	+110%
10-04	Derrick Henry BAL	7.5	6	-20%
09-27	Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG	24.5	0	-100%
09-27	Najee Harris NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Cam Skattebo NYG	14.5	40	+176%
09-20	Will Shipley PHI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	5	+900%
09-20	Saquon Barkley PHI	10.5	11	+5%

Omarion HamptonRB LAC vs DEN ▼ Role -4.9 pts

5.5PrizePicks

100%1/1

#2028.6

—

#135.6

—

#71.0

#41.8

29%2/7

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 5.5

59vs DEN16% tgt

Target share: 4.3%
Targets / game: 1.2
WOPR: 0.06
aDOT: -3.0
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 50%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -3.6

Over 5.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1564%9/14
This season50%2/4
vs DEN100%1/1

RBs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

29% went over (2 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	28	+229%
10-04	Christian McCaffrey SF	41.5	18	-57%
09-27	Kyren Williams LA	12.5	70	+460%
09-27	Blake Corum LA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	8.5	-3	-135%
09-14	Kenneth Walker III KC	21.5	18	-16%

TreVeyon HendersonRB NE vs LV

8.5Underdog

100%1/1

#2724.7

—

#195.2

—

#320.0

#24-1.1

67%4/6

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

24vs LV13% tgt

Target share: 4.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.06
aDOT: 0.0
Catch %: 33%
Snap %: 43%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -51.6

Over 8.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season0%0/3
vs LV100%1/1

RBs vs LV this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kenneth Walker III KC	22.5	2	-91%
09-27	Travis Etienne NO	10.5	13	+24%
09-27	Alvin Kamara NO	13.5	5	-63%
09-20	Omarion Hampton LAC	11.5	21	+83%
09-20	Keaton Mitchell LAC	8.5	15	+76%
09-13	De'Von Achane MIA	27.5	30	+9%

Kendre MillerRB NO vs MIN

4.5PrizePicks

—

#3218.9

—

#323.9

—

#21.5

#100.8

38%3/8

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 4.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 3.5%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.05
aDOT: 0.2
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 20%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -14.2

Over 4.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season67%2/3
vs MINNo games

RBs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ollie Gordon II MIA	7.5	0	-100%
10-04	Jaylen Wright MIA	5.5	0	-100%
09-27	Kenny Gainwell TB	9.5	14	+47%
09-27	Bucky Irving TB	15.5	12	-23%
09-20	Kyle Monangai CHI	9.5	11	+16%
09-20	D'Andre Swift CHI	10.5	54	+414%
09-13	MarShawn Lloyd GB	10.5	0	-100%
09-13	Chris Brooks GB	5.5	0	-100%

Brian RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL

—

#1035.6

—

#27.2

—

#290.2

#30-1.6

17%1/6

Last 0 games · receiving yards

No game history for this player.

Target share: 2.9%
Targets / game: 0.8
WOPR: 0.04
aDOT: -1.3
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: +15.3

RBs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyjae Spears TEN	12.5	-1	-108%
10-04	Tony Pollard TEN	8.5	2	-76%
09-27	Javonte Williams DAL	14.5	5	-66%
09-20	Travis Etienne NO	11.5	6	-48%
09-20	Alvin Kamara NO	12.5	7	-44%
09-13	Jonathan Taylor IND	18.5	23	+24%

J.K. DobbinsRB DEN vs LAC

9.5Underdog

0%0/1

#1729.6

—

#214.9

—

#230.5

#15-0.1

33%2/6

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

0@ LAC9% tgt

Target share: 2.9%
Targets / game: 1.0
WOPR: 0.04
aDOT: 0.0
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 40%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -2.4

Over 9.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAC0%0/1

RBs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	George Holani SEA	10.5	2	-81%
10-04	Emanuel Wilson SEA	6.5	39	+500%
09-27	James Cook BUF	11.5	0	-100%
09-20	Ashton Jeanty LV	26.5	15	-43%
09-13	Tyler Allgeier ARI	2.5	9	+260%
09-13	Jeremiyah Love ARI	15.5	9	-42%

Jaylen WrightRB MIA vs CIN ▼ Role -4.2 pts

1.5PrizePicks

100%1/1

#738.3

—

#175.3

—

#130.8

#21-0.6

71%5/7

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 1.5

18vs CIN7% tgt

Target share: 2.1%
Targets / game: 0.5
WOPR: 0.02
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 22%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season0%0/3
vs CIN100%1/1

RBs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	10.5	18	+71%
09-27	Travis Homer PIT	5.5	0	-100%
09-27	Jaylen Warren PIT	25.5	49	+92%
09-20	Woody Marks HOU	10.5	27	+157%
09-20	David Montgomery HOU	11.5	14	+22%
09-13	Bucky Irving TB	13.5	48	+256%

Isaiah DavisRB NYJ vs CLE ▼ Role -3.7 pts

—

#2923.8

—

#185.2

—

#81.0

#32-3.0

38%3/8

Last 1 games · receiving yards

1vs CLE9% tgt

Target share: 0.8%
Targets / game: 0.2
WOPR: 0.01
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 10%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

RBs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Travis Homer PIT	9.5	0	-100%
10-01	Jaylen Warren PIT	25.5	33	+29%
09-27	Chuba Hubbard CAR	14.5	28	+93%
09-27	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	-2	-500%
09-20	Kenny Gainwell TB	12.5	5	-60%
09-20	Bucky Irving TB	17.5	1	-94%
09-13	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	11.5	22	+91%

Chris RodriguezRB JAX vs PHI ▼ Role -3.1 pts

9.5Underdog

33%1/3

#539.0

—

#76.3

—

#220.5

#81.1

33%2/6

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

0vs PHI0% tgt
6vs PHI5% tgt
18@ PHI5% tgt

Target share: 0.0%
Targets / game: 0.0
WOPR: 0.00
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 27%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 9.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 157%1/15
This season0%0/4
vs PHI33%1/3

RBs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyren Williams LA	13.5	67	+396%
09-28	Kyle Monangai CHI	8.5	0	-100%
09-28	D'Andre Swift CHI	13.5	4	-70%
09-20	Tyjae Spears TEN	15.5	29	+87%
09-20	Tony Pollard TEN	7.5	1	-87%
09-13	Rachaad White WAS	14.5	5	-66%

Dameon PierceRB PHI vs JAX ▼ Role -3.6 pts

14.5Underdog

0%0/2

#1234.7

—

#66.5

—

#280.2

#16-0.1

43%3/7

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 14.5

1@ JAX3% tgt
0vs JAX0% tgt

Target share: 0.0%
Targets / game: 0.0
WOPR: 0.00
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 16%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 14.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 100%0/10
Last 150%0/15
This seasonNo games
vs JAX0%0/2

RBs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Samaje Perine CIN	8.5	0	-100%
10-04	Chase Brown CIN	19.5	71	+264%
09-27	TreVeyon Henderson NE	9.5	6	-37%
09-27	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	14.5	16	+10%
09-20	J.K. Dobbins DEN	7.5	0	-100%
09-13	Quinshon Judkins CLE	9.5	17	+79%
09-13	Dylan Sampson CLE	8.5	0	-100%

Najee HarrisRB NYG vs WAS ▼ Role -9.8 pts

2.5PrizePicks

0%0/1

#2426.6

—

#165.3

—

#300.2

#120.7

25%2/8

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 2.5

0@ WAS0% tgt

Target share: 0.0%
Targets / game: 0.0
WOPR: 0.00
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 17%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 2.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season0%0/3
vs WAS0%0/1

RBs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

25% went over (2 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Jonathan Taylor IND	19.5	2	-90%
09-27	Jadarian Price SEA	8.5	7	-18%
09-27	George Holani SEA	5.5	48	+773%
09-27	Emanuel Wilson SEA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Javonte Williams DAL	13.5	20	+48%
09-20	Hunter Luepke DAL	24.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Saquon Barkley PHI	15.5	-3	-119%

How to read this

L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role ▲/▼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.