NFL Receiving Lab

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Game logs through 2026-10-08 · 44 players

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs RB NYJ #1 in rec yds allowed to RBs · 46/g Quinshon Judkins · 13.4% target share Biggest role riser Jaylen Warren Target share +8.9 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 13.8% Steadiest over Rhamondre Stevenson Over 15.5 in 7 of last 10 Rec Yds Red-zone magnet Braelon Allen 33% of NYJ red-zone targets (3 of 9) 0 end-zone targets this season
Player Rec Yds line L10 graph L10 hit L10 avg · vs line Target share Trend Air yds share WOPR aDOT Catch % YAC/rec RACR Snap % RZ share EZ tgts Deep % 3rd-down share CROE YACOE Opp rec yds Opp rec Opp targets Opp yds/tgt Opp RZ tgts Opp aDOT Pos. vs close Research flags
RJ HarveyRB DEN vs LAC 27.5FanDuel 50%5/10 33.4+5.9 -7.0% 0.27 -2.8 95% 9.7 — 46% 0 0% 14% +11.5 +0.59 #1729.6 — #214.9 — #230.5 #15-0.1 33%2/6 Role ▲ 6.8 pts
Bijan RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL 26.5DraftKings 50%5/10 39.7+13.2 -10.5% 0.24 -1.8 78% 10.6 — 65% 0 0% 15% -4.4 +1.96 #1035.6 — #27.2 — #290.2 #30-1.6 17%1/6 Role ▼ 6.2 pts
Christian McCaffreyRB SF vs SEA 35.5FanDuel 50%5/10 34.5-1.0 5.2% 0.33 2.5 73% 5.8 2.22 66% 0 0% 25% -6.1 -0.11 #638.3 — #17.4 — #250.5 #20-0.6 71%5/7 Role ▼ 3.5 pts
Jahmyr GibbsRB DET vs ARI 37.5FanDuel 40%4/10 42.4+4.9 3.7% 0.30 2.0 79% 6.3 3.34 78% 1 0% 14% +1.0 +0.23 #1134.9 — #155.3 — #31.3 #13.9 25%2/8 —
Ashton JeantyRB LV vs NE — — — 3.9% 0.30 1.8 79% 7.2 3.84 76% 0 0% 15% +3.5 +0.94 #2227.4 — #205.1 — #170.5 #22-0.7 50%5/10 Role ▲ 3.0 pts
Chase BrownRB CIN vs MIA 19.5PrizePicks 60%6/10 28.8+9.3 -3.2% 0.20 -0.8 88% 5.5 — 73% 0 0% 14% +9.2 -2.17 #836.8 — #105.7 — #13.0 #32.0 80%4/5 —
Jaylen WarrenRB PIT vs IND 17.5DraftKings 60%6/10 25.2+7.7 -1.5% 0.20 -0.8 65% 13.2 — 74% 0 0% 6% -13.9 +4.61 #2624.9 — #244.8 — #100.8 #110.7 57%4/7 Role ▲ 8.9 pts
Quinshon JudkinsRB CLE vs NYJ 15.5DraftKings 60%6/10 19.7+4.2 -4.1% 0.17 -1.8 94% 8.1 — 62% 0 0% 4% +11.5 +0.36 #146.5 — #125.6 — #61.2 #140.1 50%4/8 Soft matchup #1
Rhamondre StevensonRB NE vs LV 15.5FanDuel 70%7/10 29.3+13.8 -0.6% 0.19 -0.4 75% 8.3 — 60% 0 0% 12% -4.9 +0.46 #2724.7 — #195.2 — #320.0 #24-1.1 67%4/6 Over in 7 of last 10
Aaron Jones Sr.RB MIN vs NO 18.5FanDuel 40%4/10 15.5-3.0 0.3% 0.20 -0.1 60% 8.0 — 70% 0 0% 12% -17.6 +0.68 #2824.1 — #314.1 — #180.5 #27-1.2 40%2/5 Tough matchup #28
Jonathan TaylorRB IND vs PIT 15.5DraftKings 40%4/10 17.9+2.4 -3.7% 0.16 -1.7 67% 7.9 — 85% 0 0% 3% -13.9 -0.01 #1334.3 — #86.3 — #210.5 #31-1.7 29%2/7 —
Ty JohnsonRB BUF vs LAR 11.5DraftKings 80%8/10 26.7+15.2 -0.2% 0.15 0.0 100% 9.8 — 32% 0 0% 12% +26.7 +2.54 #241.8 — #56.7 — #110.8 #23-0.9 38%3/8 Over in 8 of last 10Soft matchup #2
Alvin KamaraRB NO vs MIN 13.5FanDuel 50%5/10 18.4+4.9 -0.8% 0.15 0.4 79% 5.2 9.40 28% 0 7% 0% +0.7 -2.50 #3218.9 — #323.9 — #21.5 #100.8 38%3/8 Tough matchup #32
Raheim SandersRB CLE vs NYJ 12.5FanDuel 25%2/8 11.8-0.8 -2.0% 0.13 -1.5 91% 8.8 — 33% 0 0% 21% +8.5 +0.37 #146.5 — #125.6 — #61.2 #140.1 50%4/8 Under in 6 of last 8Role ▲ 5.6 ptsSoft matchup #1
Tony PollardRB TEN vs HOU 8.5DraftKings 30%3/10 6.2-2.3 1.8% 0.16 1.5 73% 5.0 1.50 53% 0 9% 3% -3.0 -3.30 #2526.5 — #145.5 — #200.5 #26-1.1 40%2/5 Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 4.1 pts
Rachaad WhiteRB WAS vs NYG 9.5DraftKings 40%4/10 12.5+3.0 -0.7% 0.13 0.4 100% 5.2 12.75 42% 1 0% 19% +24.2 -1.52 #2326.6 — #234.8 — #120.8 #29-1.5 43%3/7 Role ▲ 3.5 pts
James Cook IIIRB BUF vs LAR 11.5DraftKings 30%3/10 7.7-3.8 -0.6% 0.13 -0.8 60% 4.5 — 68% 0 0% 0% -16.1 -2.73 #241.8 — #56.7 — #110.8 #23-0.9 38%3/8 Under in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #2
Jeremiyah LoveRB ARI vs DET 11.5DraftKings 50%2/4 9.0-2.5 0.4% 0.13 0.5 85% 2.7 5.14 48% 0 0% 5% +6.8 -3.26 #3121.8 — #254.7 — #91.0 #130.3 67%4/6 Tough matchup #31
Cam SkatteboRB NYG vs WAS 12.5FanDuel 60%6/10 24.8+12.3 6.1% 0.17 3.6 89% 4.9 2.09 65% 0 11% 9% +14.4 -2.33 #2426.6 — #165.3 — #300.2 #120.7 25%2/8 Role ▼ 4.5 pts
Keaton MitchellRB LAC vs DEN 13.5PrizePicks 20%2/10 5.3-8.2 -1.4% 0.11 -1.5 90% 4.9 — 33% 0 0% 10% +5.7 -2.26 #2028.6 — #135.6 — #71.0 #41.8 29%2/7 Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 3.5 pts
Tyjae SpearsRB TEN vs HOU 9.5FanDuel 50%5/10 15.6+6.1 -1.7% 0.10 -2.0 71% 10.6 — 42% 0 0% 10% -7.7 +1.32 #2526.5 — #145.5 — #200.5 #26-1.1 40%2/5 Role ▼ 5.8 pts
Braelon AllenRB NYJ vs CLE 13.5DraftKings 10%1/10 4.4-9.1 -0.1% 0.11 -0.3 86% 3.5 — 54% 0 0% 7% +8.1 -3.34 #2923.8 — #185.2 — #81.0 #32-3.0 38%3/8 Under in 9 of last 10Role ▲ 4.6 ptsTough matchup #29
Bhayshul TutenRB JAX vs PHI 9.5DraftKings 40%4/10 7.2-2.3 -2.5% 0.09 -3.1 100% 10.9 — 52% 0 0% 0% +18.1 +2.14 #539.0 — #76.3 — #220.5 #81.1 33%2/6 Role ▲ 6.1 ptsSoft matchup #5
Tyler AllgeierRB ARI vs DET 9.5FanDuel 30%3/10 10.0+0.5 -3.5% 0.08 -3.6 100% 7.1 — 54% 0 0% 11% +23.8 -2.14 #3121.8 — #254.7 — #91.0 #130.3 67%4/6 Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 4.3 ptsTough matchup #31
Derrick HenryRB BAL vs ATL 4.5FanDuel 50%5/10 9.6+5.1 -3.1% 0.08 -4.3 100% 10.6 — 59% 0 0% 0% +24.8 +0.39 #3023.5 — #115.7 — #41.2 #17-0.2 56%5/9 Role ▲ 5.1 ptsTough matchup #30
Ollie Gordon IIRB MIA vs CIN 9.5DraftKings 10%1/10 1.6-7.9 -3.6% 0.07 -3.2 100% 6.0 — 49% 0 0% 7% +20.2 -3.31 #738.3 — #175.3 — #130.8 #21-0.6 71%5/7 Under in 9 of last 10Role ▲ 6.1 pts
Emanuel WilsonRB SEA vs SF 11.5FanDuel 10%1/10 5.1-6.4 -2.1% 0.07 -2.6 60% 18.0 — 36% 0 0% 0% -19.5 +7.18 #340.7 — #47.0 — #140.8 #71.1 75%6/8 Under in 9 of last 10Soft matchup #3
George HolaniRB SEA vs SF 9.5DraftKings 20%2/10 8.6-0.9 -0.0% 0.09 -0.8 88% 9.1 — 36% 0 0% 3% +8.9 +1.05 #340.7 — #47.0 — #140.8 #71.1 75%6/8 Under in 8 of last 10Soft matchup #3
Will ShipleyRB PHI vs JAX 15.5FanDuel 0%0/10 4.7-10.8 1.9% 0.10 2.2 67% 3.8 1.85 36% 0 0% 6% -8.5 -1.98 #1234.7 — #66.5 — #280.2 #16-0.1 43%3/7 Under in 10 of last 10
Woody MarksRB HOU vs TEN 8.5DraftKings 20%2/10 7.0-1.5 1.1% 0.09 2.2 78% 4.3 1.55 45% 0 0% 9% -0.3 -2.94 #1432.8 — #294.4 — #270.2 #90.9 50%5/10 Under in 8 of last 10
Samaje PerineRB CIN vs MIA 6.5PrizePicks 70%7/10 10.8+4.3 1.9% 0.10 2.0 62% 7.8 3.19 34% 0 0% 14% -4.9 +2.16 #836.8 — #105.7 — #13.0 #32.0 80%4/5 Over in 7 of last 10
Justice HillRB BAL vs ATL 8.5DraftKings 70%7/10 10.6+2.1 -1.4% 0.07 -2.5 83% 13.0 — 41% 0 0% 10% +1.2 +1.96 #3023.5 — #115.7 — #41.2 #17-0.2 56%5/9 Over in 7 of last 10Tough matchup #30
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB WAS vs NYG 5.5PrizePicks 20%2/10 4.0-1.5 0.3% 0.08 0.6 71% 9.4 10.00 47% 1 0% 3% +1.1 +1.27 #2326.6 — #234.8 — #120.8 #29-1.5 43%3/7 Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 5.2 pts
David MontgomeryRB HOU vs TEN 7.5DraftKings 80%8/10 12.4+4.9 1.7% 0.09 3.6 100% 6.0 2.68 55% 0 0% 4% +22.4 -1.16 #1432.8 — #294.4 — #270.2 #90.9 50%5/10 Over in 8 of last 10
Omarion HamptonRB LAC vs DEN 6.5PrizePicks 60%6/10 11.1+4.6 -1.3% 0.06 -3.0 80% 8.8 — 50% 0 0% 3% -3.6 -0.25 #2028.6 — #135.6 — #71.0 #41.8 29%2/7 Role ▼ 4.9 pts
TreVeyon HendersonRB NE vs LV 8.5PrizePicks 30%3/10 4.8-3.7 -0.4% 0.06 0.0 33% 2.0 — 43% 0 0% 0% -51.6 -2.62 #2724.7 — #195.2 — #320.0 #24-1.1 67%4/6 Under in 7 of last 10
Kendre MillerRB NO vs MIN 4.5PrizePicks 50%5/10 4.5+0.0 -0.1% 0.05 0.2 67% 2.5 15.00 20% 0 0% 0% -14.2 -3.41 #3218.9 — #323.9 — #21.5 #100.8 38%3/8 Tough matchup #32
Brian RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL — — — -0.8% 0.04 -1.3 100% 8.3 — 36% 0 0% 17% +15.3 +0.90 #1035.6 — #27.2 — #290.2 #30-1.6 17%1/6 —
J.K. DobbinsRB DEN vs LAC 2.5PrizePicks 50%5/10 3.5+1.0 -0.0% 0.04 0.0 75% 4.3 — 40% 0 0% 0% -2.4 -2.60 #1729.6 — #214.9 — #230.5 #15-0.1 33%2/6 —
Jaylen WrightRB MIA vs CIN 1.5PrizePicks 30%3/10 4.4+2.9 -1.2% 0.02 — — — — 22% — — — — — #738.3 — #175.3 — #130.8 #21-0.6 71%5/7 Under in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 4.2 pts
Isaiah DavisRB NYJ vs CLE — — — -0.8% 0.01 — — — — 10% — — — — — #2923.8 — #185.2 — #81.0 #32-3.0 38%3/8 Role ▼ 3.7 ptsTough matchup #29
Chris RodriguezRB JAX vs PHI 9.5Underdog 10%1/10 3.0-6.5 0.0% 0.00 — — — — 27% — — — — — #539.0 — #76.3 — #220.5 #81.1 33%2/6 Under in 9 of last 10Role ▼ 3.1 ptsSoft matchup #5
Dameon PierceRB PHI vs JAX 14.5Underdog 0%0/10 0.0-14.5 0.0% 0.00 — — — — 16% — — — — — #1234.7 — #66.5 — #280.2 #16-0.1 43%3/7 Under in 10 of last 10Role ▼ 3.6 pts
Najee HarrisRB NYG vs WAS 2.5PrizePicks 50%5/10 9.3+6.8 0.0% 0.00 — — — — 17% — — — — — #2426.6 — #165.3 — #300.2 #120.7 25%2/8 Role ▼ 9.8 pts

How to read this

  • L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
  • Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role â–²/â–¼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
  • Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
  • RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
  • Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
  • Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.