NFL Receiving Lab: Target Share, Air Yards & aDOT

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs WR BAL #1 in rec yds allowed to WRs · 192/g Drake London · 27.7% target share Softest vs TE CIN #1 in rec yds allowed to TEs · 89/g Greg Dulcich · 14.3% target share Softest vs RB NYJ #1 in rec yds allowed to RBs · 46/g Quinshon Judkins · 13.4% target share Biggest role riser Isaiah Likely Target share +19.8 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 31.0% Steadiest over Jameson Williams Over 3.5 in 8 of last 10 Rec Red-zone magnet Darius Cooper 67% of PHI red-zone targets (4 of 6) 3 end-zone targets this season

Player

Rec line

Season graph

Season hit

Season avg · vs line

Target share

Trend

Air yds share

WOPR

aDOT

Catch %

YAC/rec

RACR

Snap %

RZ share

EZ tgts

Deep %

3rd-down share

CROE

YACOE

Opp rec yds

Opp rec

Opp targets

Opp yds/tgt

Opp RZ tgts

Opp aDOT

Pos. vs close

Research flags

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR SEA vs SF

6.5DraftKings

75%3/4

8.0+1.5

49.2%

0.90

9.9

76%

4.5

1.16

83%

12%

48%

+13.7

+0.25

#26124.3

#2210.2

#2416.4

#247.6

#132.2

#2210.5

45%5/11

Role ▲ 7.6 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 6.5

8vs NE46% tgt
9@ ARI42% tgt
10@ WAS31% tgt
5vs LAC30% tgt

Target share: 37.3%
Targets / game: 10.5
WOPR: 0.90
aDOT: 9.9
Catch %: 76%
Snap %: 83%
RZ share: 48%
CROE: +13.7

Over 6.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs SF40%2/5

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	2.5	3	+20%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	4.5	5	+11%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	2.5	3	+20%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	3.5	4	+14%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	7.5	5	-33%

Trey McBrideTE ARI vs DET

7.5DraftKings

75%3/4

8.2+0.8

28.1%

0.68

5.5

72%

2.5

0.96

89%

32%

+2.8

-2.04

#277.8

#17.5

#110.4

#127.5

#12.2

#77.7

67%6/9

Soft matchup #1

Last 4 games · receptions vs 7.5

9@ LAC35% tgt
8vs SEA38% tgt
9@ SF22% tgt
7@ NYG34% tgt

Target share: 32.5%
Targets / game: 11.5
WOPR: 0.68
aDOT: 5.5
Catch %: 72%
Snap %: 89%
RZ share: 32%
CROE: +2.8

Over 7.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs DET0%0/1

TEs vs DET this season · against their closing line

67% went over (6 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tommy Tremble CAR	1.5	4	+167%
10-04	Mitchell Evans CAR	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Darren Waller CAR	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Kenyon Sadiq NYJ	3.5	7	+100%
09-27	Jeremy Ruckert NYJ	1.5	5	+233%
09-17	Dawson Knox BUF	1.5	2	+33%
09-17	Dalton Kincaid BUF	4.5	7	+56%
09-13	Noah Fant NO	1.5	4	+167%

Zay FlowersWR BAL vs ATL

5.5DraftKings

33%1/3

6.0+0.5

39.8%

0.75

10.2

82%

9.2

1.57

58%

18%

22%

+12.8

+4.16

#6170.1

#512.9

#122.1

#217.7

#14.8

#513.5

83%10/12

Under in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #5

Last 3 games · receptions vs 5.5

5@ IND25% tgt
5@ DAL30% tgt
8vs TEN34% tgt

Target share: 31.2%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.75
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 82%
Snap %: 58%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: +12.8

Over 5.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season33%1/3
vs ATLNo games

WRs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

83% went over (10 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Devaughn Vele NO	3.5	6	+71%
10-05	Chris Olave NO	6.5	8	+23%
09-24	Skyy Moore GB	1.5	3	+100%
09-24	Matthew Golden GB	4.5	5	+11%
09-24	Christian Watson GB	4.5	7	+56%
09-24	Bo Melton GB	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Xavier Legette CAR	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	4.5	5	+11%

Isaiah LikelyTE NYG vs WAS

4.5DraftKings

75%3/4

5.5+1.0

22.3%

0.62

7.0

63%

2.3

0.78

67%

28%

-6.6

-2.33

#765.6

#175.2

#236.9

#19.5

#22.2

#254.7

60%3/5

Role ▲ 19.8 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

8vs DAL28% tgt
5@ LA31% tgt
2vs TEN24% tgt
7vs ARI41% tgt

Target share: 31.0%
Targets / game: 8.8
WOPR: 0.62
aDOT: 7.0
Catch %: 63%
Snap %: 67%
RZ share: 46%
CROE: -6.6

Over 4.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season75%3/4
vs WAS0%0/1

TEs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

60% went over (3 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Warren IND	5.5	5	-9%
09-27	AJ Barner SEA	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Jake Ferguson DAL	3.5	4	+14%
09-20	Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Dallas Goedert PHI	3.5	4	+14%

Brock BowersTE LV vs NE

6.5DraftKings

50%1/2

8.0+1.5

23.0%

0.61

10.6

67%

2.6

0.80

87%

12%

59%

+4.6

-0.97

#3035.2

#293.9

#295.5

#226.4

#310.5

#175.8

33%2/6

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 8.2 ptsTough matchup #29

Last 2 games · receptions vs 6.5

10@ NO43% tgt
6vs KC23% tgt

Target share: 30.2%
Targets / game: 9.2
WOPR: 0.61
aDOT: 10.6
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 87%
RZ share: 44%
CROE: +4.6

Over 6.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season50%1/2
vs NE0%0/1

TEs vs NE this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Dawson Knox BUF	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Dalton Kincaid BUF	4.5	1	-78%
09-27	Brenton Strange JAX	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Pat Freiermuth PIT	3.5	4	+14%
09-20	Darnell Washington PIT	1.5	1	-33%
09-09	AJ Barner SEA	2.5	2	-20%

Carnell TateWR TEN vs HOU

4.5DraftKings

50%2/4

5.5+1.0

46.5%

0.77

11.8

69%

2.9

0.71

84%

16%

29%

+6.8

-0.99

#9160.8

#1311.1

#1118.2

#108.8

#83.0

#2110.5

62%8/13

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

4vs NYJ21% tgt
3vs PHI29% tgt
6@ NYG26% tgt
9@ BAL43% tgt

Target share: 29.9%
Targets / game: 8.0
WOPR: 0.77
aDOT: 11.8
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 84%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: +6.8

Over 4.5 by window

Last 550%2/4
Last 1050%2/4
Last 1550%2/4
This season50%2/4
vs HOUNo games

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

62% went over (8 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	3.5	4	+14%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	4.5	2	-56%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	5.5	17	+209%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	3.5	6	+71%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	4.5	5	+11%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	3.5	5	+43%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	6.5	7	+8%

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR DET vs ARI

7.5DraftKings

75%3/4

7.8+0.2

31.8%

0.66

8.1

67%

2.6

0.81

89%

42%

+1.7

-1.59

#15143.1

#269.8

#3015.5

#59.2

#261.5

#913.0

50%5/10

Role ▼ 8.4 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 7.5

10vs NO36% tgt
9@ BUF34% tgt
4vs NYJ26% tgt
8@ CAR22% tgt

Target share: 29.4%
Targets / game: 11.5
WOPR: 0.66
aDOT: 8.1
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 89%
RZ share: 36%
CROE: +1.7

Over 7.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season75%3/4
vs ARI0%0/1

WRs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

50% went over (5 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Malik Nabers NYG	4.5	6	+33%
10-04	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Evans SF	4.5	3	-33%
09-27	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	3.5	0	-100%
09-20	Rashid Shaheed SEA	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Cooper Kupp SEA	2.5	2	-20%
09-13	Tre Harris LAC	2.5	3	+20%

Michael WilsonWR ARI vs DET

6.5DraftKings

50%2/4

6.2-0.2

44.7%

0.75

9.5

57%

2.7

0.62

92%

11%

30%

-4.8

-1.59

#2181.9

#313.4

#619.9

#79.1

#291.2

#1811.0

60%6/10

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 5.1 ptsSoft matchup #3

Last 4 games · receptions vs 6.5

5@ LAC19% tgt
2vs SEA27% tgt
11@ SF34% tgt
7@ NYG37% tgt

Target share: 29.2%
Targets / game: 11.0
WOPR: 0.75
aDOT: 9.5
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 92%
RZ share: 32%
CROE: -4.8

Over 6.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs DET100%1/1

WRs vs DET this season · against their closing line

60% went over (6 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	5.5	14	+155%
10-04	John Metchie III CAR	1.5	3	+100%
10-04	Brycen Tremayne CAR	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Isaiah Williams NYJ	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Garrett Wilson NYJ	6.5	10	+54%
09-17	Khalil Shakir BUF	4.5	3	-33%
09-17	Keon Coleman BUF	1.5	6	+300%
09-17	DJ Moore BUF	4.5	0	-100%

Justin JeffersonWR MIN vs NO

6.5DraftKings

33%1/3

4.3-2.2

36.4%

0.69

11.1

76%

4.0

0.95

70%

24%

27%

+10.6

-2.06

#31114.7

#319.4

#2716.1

#297.1

#142.2

#1112.0

54%7/13

Under in 8 of last 10Tough matchup #31

Last 3 games · receptions vs 6.5

8vs GB39% tgt
3@ CHI32% tgt
2@ TB8% tgt

Target share: 28.8%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.69
aDOT: 11.1
Catch %: 76%
Snap %: 70%
RZ share: 50%
CROE: +10.6

Over 6.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season33%1/3
vs NONo games

WRs vs NO this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Zachariah Branch ATL	0.5	2	+300%
10-05	Olamide Zaccheaus ATL	1.5	0	-100%
10-05	Jahan Dotson ATL	1.5	2	+33%
10-05	Drake London ATL	6.5	5	-23%
09-27	Tre Tucker LV	3.5	4	+14%
09-27	Jalen Nailor LV	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Rashod Bateman BAL	2.5	7	+180%
09-20	LaJohntay Wester BAL	2.5	1	-60%

Chris OlaveWR NO vs MIN

6.5DraftKings

100%4/4

8.8+2.2

44.4%

0.74

13.5

73%

3.0

0.76

85%

27%

32%

+11.1

-1.64

#30118.2

#309.5

#2316.4

#277.2

#122.5

#1411.3

46%6/13

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 3.6 ptsTough matchup #30

Last 4 games · receptions vs 6.5

10@ DET25% tgt
8@ BAL31% tgt
9vs LV32% tgt
8vs ATL26% tgt

Target share: 28.6%
Targets / game: 12.0
WOPR: 0.74
aDOT: 13.5
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 85%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +11.1

Over 6.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season100%4/4
vs MINNo games

WRs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Miller MIA	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Malik Washington MIA	4.5	5	+11%
10-04	Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Ted Hurst III TB	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Jalen McMillan TB	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Emeka Egbuka TB	4.5	5	+11%
09-27	Chris Godwin Jr. TB	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Rome Odunze CHI	2.5	3	+20%

Garrett WilsonWR NYJ vs CLE

6.5FanDuel

25%1/4

6.0-0.5

37.5%

0.69

10.2

77%

1.7

0.86

89%

10%

34%

+12.5

-2.60

#28123.1

#279.8

#1817.1

#287.2

#93.0

#116.3

50%7/14

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▼ 4.2 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 6.5

6@ TEN30% tgt
5vs GB19% tgt
10@ DET36% tgt
3@ CHI27% tgt

Target share: 28.2%
Targets / game: 7.8
WOPR: 0.69
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 77%
Snap %: 89%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: +12.5

Over 6.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs CLE0%0/1

WRs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (7 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Roman Wilson PIT	2.5	3	+20%
10-01	Michael Pittman PIT	3.5	2	-43%
10-01	Germie Bernard PIT	1.5	2	+33%
10-01	DK Metcalf PIT	3.5	5	+43%
09-27	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	4.5	2	-56%
09-27	John Metchie III CAR	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Jalen Coker CAR	4.5	2	-56%
09-27	Brycen Tremayne CAR	1.5	4	+167%

Drake LondonWR ATL vs BAL

5.5DraftKings

25%1/4

5.0-0.5

39.7%

0.69

8.3

80%

9.9

1.78

86%

35%

+9.1

+4.17

#1192.4

#213.8

#321.7

#98.9

#112.8

#269.7

62%8/13

Role ▲ 4.9 ptsSoft matchup #2

Last 4 games · receptions vs 5.5

2@ PIT21% tgt
4vs CAR16% tgt
9@ GB44% tgt
5@ NO30% tgt

Target share: 27.7%
Targets / game: 6.2
WOPR: 0.69
aDOT: 8.3
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 86%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +9.1

Over 5.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs BALNo games

WRs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

62% went over (8 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Elic Ayomanor TEN	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Carnell Tate TEN	4.5	9	+100%
10-04	Calvin Ridley TEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Ryan Flournoy DAL	3.5	2	-43%
09-27	George Pickens DAL	5.5	7	+27%
09-27	CeeDee Lamb DAL	6.5	7	+8%
09-20	Devaughn Vele NO	3.5	5	+43%

Malik WashingtonWR MIA vs CIN

4.5DraftKings

50%2/4

4.2-0.2

28.1%

0.61

11.1

61%

6.9

0.70

86%

32%

18%

-5.0

+0.42

#32104.4

#327.6

#3213.8

#267.6

#231.8

#1211.6

43%6/14

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 17.9 ptsTough matchup #32

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

3@ LV30% tgt
4@ SF22% tgt
5vs KC29% tgt
5@ MIN29% tgt

Target share: 27.3%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.61
aDOT: 11.1
Catch %: 61%
Snap %: 86%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -5.0

Over 4.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season50%2/4
vs CIN0%0/1

WRs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

43% went over (6 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Parker Washington JAX	5.5	1	-82%
10-04	Jakobi Meyers JAX	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Roman Wilson PIT	2.5	3	+20%
09-27	Michael Pittman PIT	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	DK Metcalf PIT	4.5	3	-33%
09-20	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	Kayshon Boutte HOU	2.5	3	+20%

Parker WashingtonWR JAX vs PHI

4.5DraftKings

50%2/4

4.0-0.5

38.0%

0.65

14.1

62%

1.2

0.62

76%

23%

41%

+8.7

-2.52

#22128.3

#259.9

#2516.3

#157.9

#43.5

#2010.5

58%7/12

Role ▼ 5.4 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

5vs CLE29% tgt
7@ DEN43% tgt
3vs NE18% tgt
1@ CIN13% tgt

Target share: 25.7%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.65
aDOT: 14.1
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: +8.7

Over 4.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs PHI0%0/1

WRs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Puka Nacua LA	6.5	9	+38%
10-04	Jordan Whittington LA	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Davante Adams LA	4.5	4	-11%
09-28	Rome Odunze CHI	2.5	3	+20%
09-28	Luther Burden III CHI	3.5	7	+100%
09-28	Kalif Raymond CHI	2.5	6	+140%
09-20	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	4.5	1	-78%
09-20	Elic Ayomanor TEN	1.5	2	+33%

Tee HigginsWR CIN vs MIA

—

47.1%

0.70

13.4

64%

3.8

0.77

79%

13%

24%

+4.0

-0.31

#17137.0

#1610.9

#3115.2

#89.0

#281.2

#308.9

33%4/12

Role ▲ 5.0 pts

Last 4 games · receptions

3vs TB18% tgt
5@ HOU32% tgt
6@ PIT19% tgt
11vs JAX30% tgt

Target share: 24.8%
Targets / game: 9.8
WOPR: 0.70
aDOT: 13.4
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +4.0

WRs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

33% went over (4 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tai Felton MIN	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Jordan Addison MIN	4.5	4	-11%
10-04	Jauan Jennings MIN	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Xavier Worthy KC	3.5	2	-43%
09-27	Tyquan Thornton KC	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Rashee Rice KC	4.5	7	+56%
09-20	Mike Evans SF	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Demarcus Robinson SF	1.5	3	+100%

T.J. HockensonTE MIN vs NO

4.5DraftKings

25%1/4

5.5+1.0

23.5%

0.53

6.8

85%

3.1

1.11

76%

24%

+13.2

-1.87

#1258.5

#105.8

#78.3

#187.0

#61.8

#264.6

86%6/7

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 9.8 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

4vs GB22% tgt
3@ CHI21% tgt
2@ TB16% tgt
13vs MIA39% tgt

Target share: 24.5%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.53
aDOT: 6.8
Catch %: 85%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 46%
CROE: +13.2

Over 4.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs NONo games

TEs vs NO this season · against their closing line

86% went over (6 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Kyle Pitts ATL	2.5	3	+20%
10-05	Austin Hooper ATL	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Michael Mayer LV	2.5	3	+20%
09-27	Brock Bowers LV	4.5	10	+122%
09-20	Mark Andrews BAL	4.5	6	+33%
09-20	Durham Smythe BAL	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Sam LaPorta DET	4.5	5	+11%

Malik NabersWR NYG vs WAS

5.5FanDuel

50%2/4

4.5-1.0

25.6%

0.54

11.5

69%

2.3

0.70

70%

15%

23%

+6.2

-2.65

#10155.9

#413.3

#420.6

#257.6

#162.2

#289.3

62%8/13

Role ▼ 3.0 ptsSoft matchup #4

Last 4 games · receptions vs 5.5

6vs DAL31% tgt
1@ LA12% tgt
5vs TEN29% tgt
6vs ARI24% tgt

Target share: 24.1%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.54
aDOT: 11.5
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 70%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +6.2

Over 5.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs WAS67%2/3

WRs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

62% went over (8 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Laquon Treadwell IND	1.5	5	+233%
10-04	Josh Downs IND	6.5	3	-54%
09-27	Tory Horton SEA	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Rashid Shaheed SEA	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	6.5	10	+54%
09-27	Cooper Kupp SEA	2.5	4	+60%
09-20	Ryan Flournoy DAL	2.5	5	+100%

Nico CollinsWR HOU vs TEN

5.5DraftKings

100%2/2

7.0+1.5

27.3%

0.55

12.9

78%

3.3

0.83

66%

22%

42%

+16.4

-0.69

#8161.7

#1111.5

#2616.3

#19.9

#251.5

#2310.5

64%7/11

Under in 7 of last 10

Last 2 games · receptions vs 5.5

7vs BUF27% tgt
7vs DAL31% tgt

Target share: 23.8%
Targets / game: 7.2
WOPR: 0.55
aDOT: 12.9
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 50%
CROE: +16.4

Over 5.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season100%2/2
vs TEN25%1/4

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	5.5	8	+45%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	4.5	5	+11%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	4.5	10	+122%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	1.5	1	-33%

Mark AndrewsTE BAL vs ATL

4.5DraftKings

50%2/4

4.5+0.0

18.3%

0.48

7.2

75%

1.8

0.87

63%

40%

+5.9

-2.20

#1059.9

#115.7

#98.1

#147.4

#42.0

#156.1

75%6/8

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 4.3 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

4@ IND25% tgt
6vs NO24% tgt
3@ DAL25% tgt
5vs TEN21% tgt

Target share: 23.7%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.48
aDOT: 7.2
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 21%
CROE: +5.9

Over 4.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season50%2/4
vs ATLNo games

TEs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

75% went over (6 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Oscar Delp NO	0.5	0	-100%
10-05	Juwan Johnson NO	4.5	6	+33%
09-24	Tucker Kraft GB	3.5	4	+14%
09-24	Jonnu Smith GB	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Tommy Tremble CAR	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Darren Waller CAR	1.5	3	+100%
09-13	Pat Freiermuth PIT	2.5	5	+100%
09-13	Darnell Washington PIT	1.5	2	+33%

Terry McLaurinWR WAS vs NYG

—

32.7%

0.57

13.0

46%

4.5

0.49

76%

32%

19%

-13.1

+0.34

#20133.8

#2110.4

#2117.0

#167.9

#24.0

#1311.3

47%7/15

Role ▼ 4.3 pts

Last 3 games · receptions

2@ PHI14% tgt
2@ DAL26% tgt
6vs SEA30% tgt

Target share: 22.8%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.57
aDOT: 13.0
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 15%
CROE: -13.1

WRs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

47% went over (7 of 15)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Michael Wilson ARI	5.5	7	+27%
10-04	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	3.5	7	+100%
09-27	Elic Ayomanor TEN	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Chimere Dike TEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Carnell Tate TEN	3.5	6	+71%
09-27	Calvin Ridley TEN	1.5	0	-100%
09-21	Xavier Smith LA	1.5	0	-100%

DK MetcalfWR PIT vs IND

4.5DraftKings

25%1/4

4.0-0.5

33.5%

0.57

15.0

48%

3.4

0.43

96%

36%

31%

-8.3

-2.03

#3179.9

#712.3

#719.6

#69.2

#202.0

#314.0

23%3/13

Under in 7 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

4vs ATL27% tgt
4@ NE24% tgt
3vs CIN16% tgt
5@ CLE23% tgt

Target share: 22.6%
Targets / game: 8.2
WOPR: 0.57
aDOT: 15.0
Catch %: 48%
Snap %: 96%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: -8.3

Over 4.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season25%1/4
vs IND0%0/1

WRs vs IND this season · against their closing line

23% went over (3 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Treylon Burks WAS	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Stefon Diggs WAS	5.5	5	-9%
10-04	Dyami Brown WAS	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Kayshon Boutte HOU	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jaylin Noel HOU	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jared Wayne HOU	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Xavier Worthy KC	3.5	5	+43%

Keenan AllenWR IND vs PIT

3.5DraftKings

67%2/3

4.3+0.8

19.7%

0.47

6.2

65%

2.2

0.81

63%

35%

-5.6

-2.20

#11154.0

#2010.4

#2915.9

#29.7

#311.0

#2510.2

45%5/11

—

Last 3 games · receptions vs 3.5

6vs BAL21% tgt
1@ KC17% tgt
6vs HOU26% tgt

Target share: 22.4%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.47
aDOT: 6.2
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: -5.6

Over 3.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season67%2/3
vs PIT0%0/1

WRs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Jerry Jeudy CLE	1.5	3	+100%
10-01	Denzel Boston CLE	2.5	4	+60%
09-27	Tee Higgins CIN	4.5	6	+33%
09-27	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Romeo Doubs NE	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Mack Hollins NE	3.5	2	-43%
09-20	Kyle Williams NE	0.5	1	+100%
09-20	DeMario Douglas NE	3.5	1	-71%

Jordan AddisonWR MIN vs NO

3.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.8-0.8

32.8%

0.56

12.4

50%

5.1

0.60

91%

23%

26%

-11.7

-1.91

#31114.7

#319.4

#2716.1

#297.1

#142.2

#1112.0

54%7/13

Role ▲ 12.7 ptsTough matchup #31

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

0vs GB9% tgt
2@ CHI26% tgt
5@ TB36% tgt
4vs MIA18% tgt

Target share: 22.3%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.56
aDOT: 12.4
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 91%
RZ share: 9%
CROE: -11.7

Over 3.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season50%2/4
vs NONo games

WRs vs NO this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Zachariah Branch ATL	0.5	2	+300%
10-05	Olamide Zaccheaus ATL	1.5	0	-100%
10-05	Jahan Dotson ATL	1.5	2	+33%
10-05	Drake London ATL	6.5	5	-23%
09-27	Tre Tucker LV	3.5	4	+14%
09-27	Jalen Nailor LV	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Rashod Bateman BAL	2.5	7	+180%
09-20	LaJohntay Wester BAL	2.5	1	-60%

Josh DownsWR IND vs PIT

4.5DraftKings

50%2/4

4.2-0.2

30.7%

0.55

10.0

61%

4.9

0.72

79%

18%

37%

-1.8

+0.42

#11154.0

#2010.4

#2915.9

#29.7

#311.0

#2510.2

45%5/11

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 3.9 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

2vs BAL14% tgt
7@ KC30% tgt
5vs HOU31% tgt
3@ WAS14% tgt

Target share: 22.3%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.55
aDOT: 10.0
Catch %: 61%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: -1.8

Over 4.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs PIT100%2/2

WRs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Jerry Jeudy CLE	1.5	3	+100%
10-01	Denzel Boston CLE	2.5	4	+60%
09-27	Tee Higgins CIN	4.5	6	+33%
09-27	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Romeo Doubs NE	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Mack Hollins NE	3.5	2	-43%
09-20	Kyle Williams NE	0.5	1	+100%
09-20	DeMario Douglas NE	3.5	1	-71%

Tyler WarrenTE IND vs PIT

5.5DraftKings

50%2/4

5.8+0.2

7.4%

0.38

2.2

85%

4.3

2.20

90%

+8.1

-2.11

#1652.8

#195.1

#187.1

#137.4

#280.5

#19.6

14%1/7

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 5.5

3vs BAL17% tgt
6@ KC23% tgt
9vs HOU29% tgt
5@ WAS17% tgt

Target share: 21.6%
Targets / game: 6.8
WOPR: 0.38
aDOT: 2.2
Catch %: 85%
Snap %: 90%
RZ share: 21%
CROE: +8.1

Over 5.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season50%2/4
vs PIT0%0/1

TEs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

14% went over (1 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Harold Fannin Jr. CLE	4.5	3	-33%
10-01	Blake Whiteheart CLE	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Gesicki CIN	2.5	3	+20%
09-27	Drew Sample CIN	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Hunter Henry NE	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Eli Raridon NE	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Kyle Pitts ATL	4.5	0	-100%

RJ HarveyRB DEN vs LAC

4.5DraftKings

67%2/3

6.7+2.2

-7.0%

0.27

-2.8

95%

9.7

—

46%

14%

+11.5

+0.59

#1729.6

—

#214.9

—

#230.5

#15-0.1

57%4/7

Role ▲ 6.8 pts

Last 3 games · receptions vs 4.5

4@ KC15% tgt
6vs LA23% tgt
10@ SF26% tgt

Target share: 21.5%
Targets / game: 6.8
WOPR: 0.27
aDOT: -2.8
Catch %: 95%
Snap %: 46%
RZ share: 17%
CROE: +11.5

Over 4.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season67%2/3
vs LAC0%0/2

RBs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

57% went over (4 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	George Holani SEA	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Emanuel Wilson SEA	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Ty Johnson BUF	1.5	4	+167%
09-27	James Cook BUF	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	Ashton Jeanty LV	3.5	4	+14%
09-13	Tyler Allgeier ARI	0.5	2	+300%
09-13	Jeremiyah Love ARI	2.5	2	-20%

Mike EvansWR SF vs SEA

3.5DraftKings

50%2/4

4.2+0.8

35.4%

0.57

13.1

71%

1.7

0.68

55%

17%

46%

+12.9

-2.03

#21129.4

#299.7

#2017.0

#237.6

#320.5

#2410.4

29%4/14

Role ▼ 3.2 ptsTough matchup #29

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

6@ LA21% tgt
3vs MIA14% tgt
3vs ARI23% tgt
5vs DEN28% tgt

Target share: 21.4%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.57
aDOT: 13.1
Catch %: 71%
Snap %: 55%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +12.9

Over 3.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%2/4
vs SEANo games

WRs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

29% went over (4 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tre Harris LAC	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Quentin Johnston LAC	3.5	1	-71%
10-04	Ladd McConkey LAC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Terry McLaurin WAS	3.5	6	+71%
09-27	Stefon Diggs WAS	3.5	4	+14%
09-27	Dyami Brown WAS	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	Michael Wilson ARI	4.5	2	-56%
09-20	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	3.5	0	-100%

Bijan RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL

3.5DraftKings

25%1/4

3.5+0.0

-10.5%

0.24

-1.8

78%

10.6

—

65%

15%

-4.4

+1.96

#1035.6

—

#27.2

—

#290.2

#30-1.6

67%4/6

Role ▼ 6.2 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

8@ PIT53% tgt
3vs CAR13% tgt
2@ GB9% tgt
1@ NO10% tgt

Target share: 21.1%
Targets / game: 4.5
WOPR: 0.24
aDOT: -1.8
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -4.4

Over 3.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs BALNo games

RBs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyjae Spears TEN	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Tony Pollard TEN	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Javonte Williams DAL	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Travis Etienne NO	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Alvin Kamara NO	2.5	5	+100%
09-13	Jonathan Taylor IND	2.5	3	+20%

Jaylen WaddleWR DEN vs LAC

4.5DraftKings

50%2/4

4.0-0.5

32.8%

0.54

10.7

62%

3.8

0.67

69%

15%

31%

-3.4

-1.99

#13147.7

#1510.9

#1617.2

#118.6

#172.2

#713.1

33%4/12

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

1@ KC11% tgt
8vs JAX34% tgt
2vs LA23% tgt
5@ SF16% tgt

Target share: 21.0%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.54
aDOT: 10.7
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 69%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: -3.4

Over 4.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs LAC100%1/1

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

33% went over (4 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	0.5	1	+100%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	6.5	5	-23%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	3.5	6	+71%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	3.5	5	+43%

George KittleTE SF vs SEA

4.5DraftKings

25%1/4

4.0-0.5

22.0%

0.46

8.4

73%

8.9

1.33

68%

+5.5

+4.64

#2341.9

#214.8

#207.1

#275.9

#191.0

#303.7

60%3/5

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

2@ LA15% tgt
4vs MIA19% tgt
6vs ARI27% tgt
4vs DEN21% tgt

Target share: 20.3%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 8.4
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 24%
CROE: +5.5

Over 4.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs SEA67%2/3

TEs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

60% went over (3 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Oronde Gadsden II LAC	2.5	5	+100%
09-27	Ben Sinnott WAS	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	Trey McBride ARI	6.5	8	+23%
09-09	Hunter Henry NE	3.5	3	-14%
09-09	Eli Raridon NE	0.5	1	+100%

Khalil ShakirWR BUF vs LAR

4.5DraftKings

25%1/4

3.8-0.8

13.9%

0.40

6.6

65%

6.9

1.16

63%

23%

-5.8

+0.05

#19134.4

#2310.0

#1717.2

#187.8

#33.8

#1611.2

45%5/11

Role ▼ 6.3 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

4@ HOU21% tgt
3vs DET21% tgt
1vs LAC12% tgt
7vs NE27% tgt

Target share: 20.3%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.40
aDOT: 6.6
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: -5.8

Over 4.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAR100%1/1

WRs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Makai Lemon PHI	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Darius Cooper PHI	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Pat Bryant DEN	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jaylen Waddle DEN	4.5	2	-56%
09-27	Courtland Sutton DEN	3.5	3	-14%
09-21	Malik Nabers NYG	5.5	1	-82%
09-21	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	2	+33%

Christian McCaffreyRB SF vs SEA

4.5DraftKings

25%1/4

4.0-0.5

5.2%

0.33

2.5

73%

5.8

2.22

66%

25%

-6.1

-0.11

#638.3

—

#17.4

—

#250.5

#20-0.6

86%6/7

Role ▼ 3.5 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

5@ LA24% tgt
4vs MIA19% tgt
4vs ARI19% tgt
3vs DEN17% tgt

Target share: 19.8%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.33
aDOT: 2.5
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: -6.1

Over 4.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season25%1/4
vs SEA75%3/4

RBs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

86% went over (6 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Omarion Hampton LAC	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Keaton Mitchell LAC	1.5	5	+233%
09-27	Rachaad White WAS	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS	0.5	1	+100%
09-20	Tyler Allgeier ARI	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Jeremiyah Love ARI	2.5	3	+20%
09-09	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	3.5	5	+43%

Harold FanninTE CLE vs NYJ

4.5DraftKings

50%2/4

4.2-0.2

20.6%

0.44

6.1

74%

5.2

1.09

86%

29%

+10.0

+0.80

#665.8

#76.3

#147.8

#48.4

#141.2

#234.9

50%3/6

Role ▼ 6.6 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

2@ JAX14% tgt
5@ TB20% tgt
7vs CAR30% tgt
3vs PIT15% tgt

Target share: 19.7%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.44
aDOT: 6.1
Catch %: 74%
Snap %: 86%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +10.0

Over 4.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%2/4
vs NYJ0%0/1

TEs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Colston Loveland CHI	3.5	6	+71%
10-04	Cole Kmet CHI	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Sam LaPorta DET	4.5	3	-33%
09-20	Tucker Kraft GB	3.5	2	-43%
09-13	Gunnar Helm TEN	2.5	4	+60%
09-13	Daniel Bellinger TEN	1.5	1	-33%

Xavier HutchinsonWR HOU vs TEN

1.5DraftKings

100%4/4

3.0+1.5

24.0%

0.46

13.9

46%

5.3

0.46

56%

27%

19%

-16.0

+0.41

#8161.7

#1111.5

#2616.3

#19.9

#251.5

#2310.5

64%7/11

Over in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

3vs BUF16% tgt
3vs CIN18% tgt
3@ IND24% tgt
3vs DAL19% tgt

Target share: 19.4%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 13.9
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 56%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -16.0

Over 1.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season100%4/4
vs TEN50%2/4

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	5.5	8	+45%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	4.5	5	+11%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	4.5	10	+122%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	1.5	1	-33%

Sam LaPortaTE DET vs ARI

4.5DraftKings

75%3/4

5.5+1.0

13.6%

0.39

5.9

69%

4.5

1.21

88%

17%

+3.2

-0.09

#370.8

#46.5

#58.4

#71.8

#58.1

50%3/6

Over in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #4

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

5vs NO20% tgt
6@ BUF18% tgt
3vs NYJ13% tgt
8@ CAR26% tgt

Target share: 19.3%
Targets / game: 8.0
WOPR: 0.39
aDOT: 5.9
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 88%
RZ share: 27%
CROE: +3.2

Over 4.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs ARI0%0/1

TEs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Theo Johnson NYG	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Isaiah Likely NYG	3.5	7	+100%
09-27	George Kittle SF	4.5	6	+33%
09-20	AJ Barner SEA	2.5	1	-60%
09-13	David Njoku LAC	1.5	5	+233%
09-13	Charlie Kolar LAC	1.5	0	-100%

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR TEN vs HOU

3.5DraftKings

50%2/4

4.0+0.5

15.1%

0.39

5.6

70%

4.2

0.95

66%

26%

+1.3

-0.35

#9160.8

#1311.1

#1118.2

#108.8

#83.0

#2110.5

62%8/13

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 19.7 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

5vs NYJ21% tgt
1vs PHI6% tgt
7@ NYG31% tgt
3@ BAL18% tgt

Target share: 19.1%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.39
aDOT: 5.6
Catch %: 70%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: +1.3

Over 3.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season50%2/4
vs HOUNo games

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

62% went over (8 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	3.5	4	+14%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	4.5	2	-56%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	5.5	17	+209%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	3.5	6	+71%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	4.5	5	+11%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	3.5	5	+43%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	6.5	7	+8%

Denzel BostonWR CLE vs NYJ

3.5DraftKings

50%2/4

3.2-0.2

49.5%

0.63

17.4

59%

8.4

0.74

92%

27%

25%

+4.8

+4.92

#23128.1

#1710.9

#2216.5

#197.8

#152.2

#299.0

50%7/14

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

2@ JAX18% tgt
5@ TB23% tgt
2vs CAR13% tgt
4vs PIT21% tgt

Target share: 19.0%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.63
aDOT: 17.4
Catch %: 59%
Snap %: 92%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +4.8

Over 3.5 by window

Last 550%2/4
Last 1050%2/4
Last 1550%2/4
This season50%2/4
vs NYJNo games

WRs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (7 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Rome Odunze CHI	2.5	6	+140%
10-04	Luther Burden III CHI	4.5	4	-11%
10-04	Kalif Raymond CHI	3.5	2	-43%
09-27	Jameson Williams DET	3.5	4	+14%
09-27	Isaac TeSlaa DET	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Amon-Ra St. Brown DET	7.5	4	-47%
09-20	Matthew Golden GB	3.5	4	+14%
09-20	Jayden Reed GB	3.5	1	-71%

Dontayvion WicksWR PHI vs JAX

3.5DraftKings

25%1/4

3.0-0.5

28.9%

0.49

12.4

60%

4.1

0.79

83%

25%

24%

+3.3

-0.93

#4173.4

#114.1

#222.1

#177.8

#53.5

#613.3

42%5/12

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 8.5 ptsSoft matchup #1

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

2vs WAS18% tgt
5@ TEN18% tgt
2@ CHI20% tgt
3vs LA20% tgt

Target share: 19.0%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.49
aDOT: 12.4
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 83%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: +3.3

Over 3.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season25%1/4
vs JAX0%0/1

WRs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

42% went over (5 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tee Higgins CIN	4.5	11	+144%
10-04	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	7.5	3	-60%
09-27	Romeo Doubs NE	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Mack Hollins NE	2.5	6	+140%
09-27	Kyle Williams NE	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	DeMario Douglas NE	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Troy Franklin DEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-20	Pat Bryant DEN	3.5	0	-100%

Brenton StrangeTE JAX vs PHI

3.5DraftKings

25%1/4

3.5+0.0

18.3%

0.41

7.8

78%

5.9

1.18

79%

14%

+8.1

+1.57

#3226.3

#313.6

#305.4

#324.9

#250.8

#165.8

33%2/6

Under in 7 of last 10Tough matchup #31

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

2vs CLE14% tgt
2@ DEN7% tgt
3vs NE18% tgt
7@ CIN35% tgt

Target share: 18.7%
Targets / game: 4.5
WOPR: 0.41
aDOT: 7.8
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +8.1

Over 3.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs PHINo games

TEs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Higbee LA	3.5	5	+43%
10-04	Davis Allen LA	1.5	0	-100%
09-28	Colston Loveland CHI	3.5	4	+14%
09-28	Cole Kmet CHI	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	Gunnar Helm TEN	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Daniel Bellinger TEN	1.5	0	-100%

Jahmyr GibbsRB DET vs ARI

4.5DraftKings

75%3/4

5.5+1.0

3.7%

0.30

2.0

79%

6.3

3.34

78%

14%

+1.0

+0.23

#1134.9

—

#155.3

—

#31.3

#13.9

0%0/8

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

5vs NO13% tgt
6@ BUF21% tgt
7vs NYJ26% tgt
4@ CAR14% tgt

Target share: 18.4%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 2.0
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 78%
RZ share: 18%
CROE: +1.0

Over 4.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs ARI0%0/1

RBs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

0% went over (0 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Najee Harris NYG	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Cam Skattebo NYG	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Kyle Juszczyk SF	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Christian McCaffrey SF	4.5	4	-11%
09-20	Jadarian Price SEA	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	George Holani SEA	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Omarion Hampton LAC	2.5	0	-100%
09-13	Keaton Mitchell LAC	1.5	0	-100%

Devaughn VeleWR NO vs MIN

3.5DraftKings

75%3/4

5.2+1.8

23.7%

0.44

10.2

68%

2.4

0.72

91%

16%

24%

+4.7

-1.38

#30118.2

#309.5

#2316.4

#277.2

#122.5

#1411.3

46%6/13

Tough matchup #30

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

7@ DET17% tgt
5@ BAL22% tgt
3vs LV15% tgt
6vs ATL19% tgt

Target share: 18.3%
Targets / game: 7.8
WOPR: 0.44
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 68%
Snap %: 91%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +4.7

Over 3.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs MINNo games

WRs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Miller MIA	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Malik Washington MIA	4.5	5	+11%
10-04	Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Ted Hurst III TB	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Jalen McMillan TB	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Emeka Egbuka TB	4.5	5	+11%
09-27	Chris Godwin Jr. TB	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Rome Odunze CHI	2.5	3	+20%

Ashton JeantyRB LV vs NE

4.5Underdog

50%2/4

4.8+0.2

3.9%

0.30

1.8

79%

7.2

3.84

76%

15%

+3.5

+0.94

#2227.4

—

#205.1

—

#170.5

#22-0.7

56%5/9

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 3.0 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

6vs MIA21% tgt
4@ LAC24% tgt
3@ NO10% tgt
6vs KC17% tgt

Target share: 17.9%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 1.8
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 30%
CROE: +3.5

Over 4.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%2/4
vs NE0%0/1

RBs vs NE this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ty Johnson BUF	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	James Cook BUF	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	0.5	2	+300%
09-27	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Rico Dowdle PIT	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Jaylen Warren PIT	3.5	2	-43%
09-09	Jadarian Price SEA	1.5	2	+33%

Tre' HarrisWR LAC vs DEN

—

24.7%

0.44

12.0

62%

6.0

0.83

77%

19%

16%

+0.3

+1.09

#27123.8

#2410.0

#1018.3

#316.8

#192.0

#413.5

50%6/12

Role ▲ 6.1 pts

Last 4 games · receptions

3vs ARI22% tgt
1vs LV12% tgt
6@ BUF21% tgt
3@ SEA16% tgt

Target share: 17.8%
Targets / game: 5.2
WOPR: 0.44
aDOT: 12.0
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 77%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +0.3

WRs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (6 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Mike Evans SF	3.5	5	+43%
10-04	Jacob Cowing SF	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	3.5	5	+43%
09-27	Xavier Smith LA	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Konata Mumpfield LA	1.5	4	+167%
09-27	Davante Adams LA	5.5	7	+27%
09-20	Parker Washington JAX	4.5	7	+56%
09-20	Jakobi Meyers JAX	3.5	1	-71%

Courtland SuttonWR DEN vs LAC

3.5DraftKings

0%0/4

2.2-1.2

38.1%

0.53

11.5

41%

2.2

0.34

77%

18%

20%

-17.1

-1.78

#13147.7

#1510.9

#1617.2

#118.6

#172.2

#713.1

33%4/12

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

2@ KC18% tgt
3vs JAX14% tgt
3vs LA23% tgt
1@ SF16% tgt

Target share: 17.7%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.53
aDOT: 11.5
Catch %: 41%
Snap %: 77%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: -17.1

Over 3.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season0%0/4
vs LAC75%3/4

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

33% went over (4 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	0.5	1	+100%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	6.5	5	-23%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	3.5	6	+71%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	3.5	5	+43%

Kenyon SadiqTE NYJ vs CLE

3.5DraftKings

25%1/4

3.0-0.5

9.8%

0.33

5.4

67%

6.9

1.47

51%

11%

10%

-2.5

+1.25

#960.1

#95.8

#127.9

#107.6

#171.0

#97.2

71%5/7

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

3@ TEN13% tgt
2vs GB8% tgt
7@ DET22% tgt
0@ CHI27% tgt

Target share: 17.6%
Targets / game: 4.5
WOPR: 0.33
aDOT: 5.4
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 51%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -2.5

Over 3.5 by window

Last 525%1/4
Last 1025%1/4
Last 1525%1/4
This season25%1/4
vs CLENo games

TEs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Pat Freiermuth PIT	3.5	3	-14%
10-01	Darnell Washington PIT	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Tommy Tremble CAR	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Mitchell Evans CAR	0.5	3	+500%
09-27	Darren Waller CAR	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Cade Otton TB	2.5	5	+100%
09-13	Brenton Strange JAX	3.5	2	-43%

Mason TaylorTE NYJ vs CLE

1.5DraftKings

100%1/1

2.0+0.5

9.2%

0.32

0.3

67%

0.0

-2.00

76%

-14.4

-8.00

#960.1

#95.8

#127.9

#107.6

#171.0

#97.2

71%5/7

Over in 8 of last 10

Last 1 games · receptions vs 1.5

2@ TEN13% tgt

Target share: 17.4%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.32
aDOT: 0.3
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -14.4

Over 1.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1571%10/14
This season100%1/1
vs CLE0%0/1

TEs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Pat Freiermuth PIT	3.5	3	-14%
10-01	Darnell Washington PIT	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Tommy Tremble CAR	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Mitchell Evans CAR	0.5	3	+500%
09-27	Darren Waller CAR	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Cade Otton TB	2.5	5	+100%
09-13	Brenton Strange JAX	3.5	2	-43%

Dalton SchultzTE HOU vs TEN

4.5DraftKings

25%1/4

5.2+0.8

9.8%

0.33

6.0

78%

4.7

1.33

63%

28%

+7.2

-0.10

#1455.5

#145.4

#197.1

#87.8

#290.5

#293.8

20%1/5

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 5.7 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

4vs BUF22% tgt
12vs CIN28% tgt
3@ IND12% tgt
2vs DAL8% tgt

Target share: 17.3%
Targets / game: 6.8
WOPR: 0.33
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +7.2

Over 4.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs TEN50%2/4

TEs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

20% went over (1 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Mark Andrews BAL	3.5	5	+43%
10-04	Durham Smythe BAL	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Isaiah Likely NYG	3.5	2	-43%
09-20	Dallas Goedert PHI	3.5	1	-71%
09-13	Mason Taylor NYJ	2.5	2	-20%

Michael MayerTE LV vs NE

3.5DraftKings

50%2/4

5.0+1.5

9.0%

0.32

4.8

83%

4.7

1.46

85%

10%

+7.8

-0.32

#3035.2

#293.9

#295.5

#226.4

#310.5

#175.8

33%2/6

Under in 7 of last 10Tough matchup #29

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

6vs MIA24% tgt
3@ LAC14% tgt
3@ NO10% tgt
8vs KC21% tgt

Target share: 17.2%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.32
aDOT: 4.8
Catch %: 83%
Snap %: 85%
RZ share: 10%
CROE: +7.8

Over 3.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season50%2/4
vs NE100%1/1

TEs vs NE this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Dawson Knox BUF	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Dalton Kincaid BUF	4.5	1	-78%
09-27	Brenton Strange JAX	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Pat Freiermuth PIT	3.5	4	+14%
09-20	Darnell Washington PIT	1.5	1	-33%
09-09	AJ Barner SEA	2.5	2	-20%

Dalton KincaidTE BUF vs LAR

4.5DraftKings

50%2/4

3.8-0.8

20.6%

0.40

12.6

79%

6.5

1.13

66%

16%

10%

+13.8

+2.02

#2738.5

#244.3

#177.3

#315.3

#230.8

#126.3

20%1/5

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 5.6 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

5@ HOU21% tgt
7vs DET29% tgt
2vs LAC12% tgt
1vs NE7% tgt

Target share: 17.1%
Targets / game: 4.8
WOPR: 0.40
aDOT: 12.6
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +13.8

Over 4.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs LARNo games

TEs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

20% went over (1 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Johnny Mundt PHI	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Evan Engram DEN	2.5	0	-100%
09-21	Theo Johnson NYG	1.5	0	-100%
09-21	Isaiah Likely NYG	4.5	5	+11%
09-10	George Kittle SF	3.5	2	-43%

Tre TuckerWR LV vs NE

3.5DraftKings

75%3/4

3.8+0.2

28.4%

0.45

15.5

65%

1.4

0.65

64%

30%

15%

+4.9

-3.23

#29119.1

#1011.7

#520.5

#325.8

#73.2

#318.8

50%6/12

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

2vs MIA14% tgt
5@ LAC24% tgt
4@ NO13% tgt
4vs KC17% tgt

Target share: 17.0%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.45
aDOT: 15.5
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 64%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +4.9

Over 3.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs NE0%0/1

WRs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (6 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Khalil Shakir BUF	3.5	7	+100%
10-04	Keon Coleman BUF	1.5	6	+300%
10-04	DJ Moore BUF	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Parker Washington JAX	5.5	3	-45%
09-27	Jakobi Meyers JAX	3.5	7	+100%
09-27	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Roman Wilson PIT	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Germie Bernard PIT	1.5	4	+167%

Roman WilsonWR PIT vs IND

3.5DraftKings

25%1/4

3.5+0.0

23.7%

0.42

15.3

58%

6.0

0.51

51%

33%

22%

+1.1

+0.47

#3179.9

#712.3

#719.6

#69.2

#202.0

#314.0

23%3/13

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 8.8 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

3vs ATL16% tgt
5@ NE16% tgt
3vs CIN19% tgt
3@ CLE15% tgt

Target share: 16.8%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.42
aDOT: 15.3
Catch %: 58%
Snap %: 51%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +1.1

Over 3.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1515%2/13
This season25%1/4
vs IND0%0/1

WRs vs IND this season · against their closing line

23% went over (3 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Treylon Burks WAS	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Stefon Diggs WAS	5.5	5	-9%
10-04	Dyami Brown WAS	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Kayshon Boutte HOU	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jaylin Noel HOU	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jared Wayne HOU	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Xavier Worthy KC	3.5	5	+43%

Romeo DoubsWR NE vs LV

3.5DraftKings

25%1/4

3.0-0.5

29.9%

0.46

16.1

60%

3.2

0.63

65%

25%

18%

+7.8

-1.71

#18136.0

#1810.4

#1917.0

#148.0

#271.5

#214.9

44%4/9

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

0@ SEA10% tgt
3vs PIT19% tgt
3@ JAX13% tgt
6@ BUF25% tgt

Target share: 16.8%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 16.1
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: +7.8

Over 3.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs LVNo games

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

44% went over (4 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	3.5	4	+14%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	1.5	5	+233%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	4.5	3	-33%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	3.5	1	-71%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	3.5	3	-14%

Juwan JohnsonTE NO vs MIN

4.5DraftKings

50%2/4

5.2+0.8

9.6%

0.30

6.0

78%

5.5

1.43

69%

22%

+8.6

+1.02

#3130.4

#322.2

#314.9

#236.2

#300.5

#29.1

0%0/4

Tough matchup #32

Last 4 games · receptions vs 4.5

3@ DET14% tgt
4@ BAL12% tgt
8vs LV20% tgt
6vs ATL17% tgt

Target share: 15.7%
Targets / game: 6.8
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 69%
RZ share: 27%
CROE: +8.6

Over 4.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs MINNo games

TEs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

0% went over (0 of 4)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
09-27	Cade Otton TB	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Colston Loveland CHI	4.5	1	-78%
09-20	Cole Kmet CHI	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tucker Kraft GB	3.5	3	-14%

Jameson WilliamsWR DET vs ARI

3.5DraftKings

75%3/4

4.0+0.5

32.1%

0.46

14.4

64%

1.4

0.63

90%

20%

17%

+4.6

-2.47

#15143.1

#269.8

#3015.5

#59.2

#261.5

#913.0

50%5/10

Over in 8 of last 10Role ▼ 3.5 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

4vs NO23% tgt
2@ BUF10% tgt
4vs NYJ13% tgt
6@ CAR16% tgt

Target share: 15.5%
Targets / game: 6.2
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 14.4
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 90%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +4.6

Over 3.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season75%3/4
vs ARI0%0/1

WRs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

50% went over (5 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Malik Nabers NYG	4.5	6	+33%
10-04	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Evans SF	4.5	3	-33%
09-27	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	3.5	0	-100%
09-20	Rashid Shaheed SEA	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Cooper Kupp SEA	2.5	2	-20%
09-13	Tre Harris LAC	2.5	3	+20%

Makai LemonWR PHI vs JAX

3.5DraftKings

0%0/4

2.5-1.0

12.1%

0.31

6.0

67%

2.3

0.72

68%

-3.3

-3.98

#4173.4

#114.1

#222.1

#177.8

#53.5

#613.3

42%5/12

Soft matchup #1

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

3vs WAS18% tgt
1@ TEN3% tgt
3@ CHI16% tgt
3vs LA24% tgt

Target share: 15.3%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.31
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -3.3

Over 3.5 by window

Last 50%0/4
Last 100%0/4
Last 150%0/4
This season0%0/4
vs JAXNo games

WRs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

42% went over (5 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tee Higgins CIN	4.5	11	+144%
10-04	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	7.5	3	-60%
09-27	Romeo Doubs NE	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Mack Hollins NE	2.5	6	+140%
09-27	Kyle Williams NE	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	DeMario Douglas NE	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Troy Franklin DEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-20	Pat Bryant DEN	3.5	0	-100%

Deebo Samuel Sr.WR SF vs SEA

3.5DraftKings

50%2/4

3.5+0.0

6.9%

0.27

2.9

82%

10.7

3.70

61%

10%

+7.1

-0.43

#21129.4

#299.7

#2017.0

#237.6

#320.5

#2410.4

29%4/14

Role ▼ 9.1 ptsTough matchup #29

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

6@ LA21% tgt
3vs MIA19% tgt
0vs ARI0% tgt
5vs DEN21% tgt

Target share: 15.1%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.27
aDOT: 2.9
Catch %: 82%
Snap %: 61%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: +7.1

Over 3.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs SEA67%2/3

WRs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

29% went over (4 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tre Harris LAC	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Quentin Johnston LAC	3.5	1	-71%
10-04	Ladd McConkey LAC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Terry McLaurin WAS	3.5	6	+71%
09-27	Stefon Diggs WAS	3.5	4	+14%
09-27	Dyami Brown WAS	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	Michael Wilson ARI	4.5	2	-56%
09-20	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	3.5	0	-100%

Chase BrownRB CIN vs MIA

—

-3.2%

0.20

-0.8

88%

5.5

—

73%

14%

+9.2

-2.17

#836.8

—

#105.7

—

#13.0

#32.0

60%3/5

—

Last 4 games · receptions

5vs TB18% tgt
3@ HOU16% tgt
2@ PIT5% tgt
11vs JAX21% tgt

Target share: 15.0%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 88%
Snap %: 73%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +9.2

RBs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

60% went over (3 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Aaron Jones MIN	3.5	4	+14%
09-27	Kenneth Walker III KC	3.5	2	-43%
09-20	Kyle Juszczyk SF	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Christian McCaffrey SF	4.5	4	-11%
09-13	Ashton Jeanty LV	3.5	6	+71%

Jakobi MeyersWR JAX vs PHI

3.5DraftKings

25%1/4

3.2-0.2

19.0%

0.36

9.9

87%

2.8

1.11

80%

13%

27%

+30.0

-1.93

#22128.3

#259.9

#2516.3

#157.9

#43.5

#2010.5

58%7/12

Role ▼ 4.9 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

2vs CLE10% tgt
1@ DEN4% tgt
7vs NE30% tgt
3@ CIN17% tgt

Target share: 15.0%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.36
aDOT: 9.9
Catch %: 87%
Snap %: 80%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +30.0

Over 3.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season25%1/4
vs PHINo games

WRs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Puka Nacua LA	6.5	9	+38%
10-04	Jordan Whittington LA	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Davante Adams LA	4.5	4	-11%
09-28	Rome Odunze CHI	2.5	3	+20%
09-28	Luther Burden III CHI	3.5	7	+100%
09-28	Kalif Raymond CHI	2.5	6	+140%
09-20	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	4.5	1	-78%
09-20	Elic Ayomanor TEN	1.5	2	+33%

Jerry JeudyWR CLE vs NYJ

1.5DraftKings

67%2/3

1.7+0.2

19.7%

0.36

9.1

62%

4.4

0.85

62%

-5.7

-0.12

#23128.1

#1710.9

#2216.5

#197.8

#152.2

#299.0

50%7/14

Over in 8 of last 10Role ▼ 3.0 pts

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

2@ JAX18% tgt
0@ TB3% tgt
3vs PIT9% tgt

Target share: 14.8%
Targets / game: 3.5
WOPR: 0.36
aDOT: 9.1
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -5.7

Over 1.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season67%2/3
vs NYJ100%1/1

WRs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (7 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Rome Odunze CHI	2.5	6	+140%
10-04	Luther Burden III CHI	4.5	4	-11%
10-04	Kalif Raymond CHI	3.5	2	-43%
09-27	Jameson Williams DET	3.5	4	+14%
09-27	Isaac TeSlaa DET	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Amon-Ra St. Brown DET	7.5	4	-47%
09-20	Matthew Golden GB	3.5	4	+14%
09-20	Jayden Reed GB	3.5	1	-71%

DeMario DouglasWR NE vs LV

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

2.2-0.2

14.3%

0.31

10.6

53%

3.4

0.46

54%

29%

18%

-6.5

-2.52

#18136.0

#1810.4

#1917.0

#148.0

#271.5

#214.9

44%4/9

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 5.0 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

5@ SEA23% tgt
1vs PIT10% tgt
1@ JAX17% tgt
2@ BUF8% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.31
aDOT: 10.6
Catch %: 53%
Snap %: 54%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: -6.5

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs LV0%0/1

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

44% went over (4 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	3.5	4	+14%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	1.5	5	+233%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	4.5	3	-33%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	3.5	1	-71%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	3.5	3	-14%

Greg DulcichTE MIA vs CIN

2.5DraftKings

33%1/3

3.0+0.5

7.5%

0.27

5.7

75%

6.0

1.32

65%

17%

+1.6

-1.86

#189.1

#27.1

#29.4

#29.5

#260.8

#107.1

67%4/6

Soft matchup #2

Last 3 games · receptions vs 2.5

2@ LV7% tgt
2@ SF13% tgt
5vs KC20% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.27
aDOT: 5.7
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 50%
CROE: +1.6

Over 2.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season33%1/3
vs CIN100%1/1

TEs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Brenton Strange JAX	3.5	7	+100%
09-27	Pat Freiermuth PIT	3.5	2	-43%
09-27	Darnell Washington PIT	1.5	3	+100%
09-20	Foster Moreau HOU	0.5	2	+300%
09-20	Dalton Schultz HOU	4.5	12	+167%
09-13	Cade Otton TB	3.5	3	-14%

Rashid ShaheedWR SEA vs SF

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

1.8+0.2

22.1%

0.37

11.1

47%

5.1

0.44

57%

20%

26%

-15.3

-1.49

#26124.3

#2210.2

#2416.4

#247.6

#132.2

#2210.5

45%5/11

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 4.5 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

1vs NE12% tgt
3@ ARI23% tgt
2@ WAS7% tgt
1vs LAC15% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.37
aDOT: 11.1
Catch %: 47%
Snap %: 57%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -15.3

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%2/4
vs SF33%1/3

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	2.5	3	+20%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	4.5	5	+11%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	2.5	3	+20%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	3.5	4	+14%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	7.5	5	-33%

Rashod BatemanWR BAL vs ATL

1.5DraftKings

75%3/4

2.8+1.2

18.8%

0.35

13.4

73%

3.1

0.85

76%

27%

+13.9

-0.50

#6170.1

#512.9

#122.1

#217.7

#14.8

#513.5

83%10/12

Role ▲ 7.4 ptsSoft matchup #5

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

0@ IND4% tgt
7vs NO31% tgt
2@ DAL15% tgt
2vs TEN7% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.35
aDOT: 13.4
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +13.9

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs ATLNo games

WRs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

83% went over (10 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Devaughn Vele NO	3.5	6	+71%
10-05	Chris Olave NO	6.5	8	+23%
09-24	Skyy Moore GB	1.5	3	+100%
09-24	Matthew Golden GB	4.5	5	+11%
09-24	Christian Watson GB	4.5	7	+56%
09-24	Bo Melton GB	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Xavier Legette CAR	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	4.5	5	+11%

Chig OkonkwoTE WAS vs NYG

3.5Underdog

0%0/2

2.0-1.5

11.2%

0.29

8.6

57%

0.5

0.35

57%

29%

-9.9

-4.60

#1851.2

#155.3

#217.0

#157.3

#131.2

#214.9

44%4/9

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 4.4 pts

Last 2 games · receptions vs 3.5

2@ PHI10% tgt
2vs IND11% tgt

Target share: 14.2%
Targets / game: 4.8
WOPR: 0.29
aDOT: 8.6
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 57%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -9.9

Over 3.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season0%0/2
vs NYGNo games

TEs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

44% went over (4 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Trey McBride ARI	6.5	7	+8%
10-04	Elijah Higgins ARI	0.5	2	+300%
09-27	Gunnar Helm TEN	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Daniel Bellinger TEN	1.5	2	+33%
09-21	Terrance Ferguson LA	2.5	6	+140%
09-21	Davis Allen LA	1.5	1	-33%
09-21	Colby Parkinson LA	3.5	2	-43%
09-13	Jake Ferguson DAL	3.5	2	-43%

Jahan DotsonWR ATL vs BAL

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

1.5+0.0

43.7%

0.52

15.8

46%

3.5

0.46

67%

23%

12%

-14.0

-0.61

#1192.4

#213.8

#321.7

#98.9

#112.8

#269.7

62%8/13

Role ▲ 3.8 ptsSoft matchup #2

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

1@ PIT16% tgt
2vs CAR13% tgt
1@ GB13% tgt
2@ NO15% tgt

Target share: 14.2%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.52
aDOT: 15.8
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 67%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -14.0

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs BAL0%0/1

WRs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

62% went over (8 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Elic Ayomanor TEN	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Carnell Tate TEN	4.5	9	+100%
10-04	Calvin Ridley TEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Ryan Flournoy DAL	3.5	2	-43%
09-27	George Pickens DAL	5.5	7	+27%
09-27	CeeDee Lamb DAL	6.5	7	+8%
09-20	Devaughn Vele NO	3.5	5	+43%

Kevin ColemanWR MIA vs CIN

1.5DraftKings

0%0/3

0.7-0.8

18.2%

0.34

14.2

20%

1.0

0.04

47%

30%

10%

-35.8

-4.76

#32104.4

#327.6

#3213.8

#267.6

#231.8

#1211.6

43%6/14

Tough matchup #32

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

0@ LV7% tgt
1vs KC11% tgt
1@ MIN24% tgt

Target share: 14.1%
Targets / game: 3.3
WOPR: 0.34
aDOT: 14.2
Catch %: 20%
Snap %: 47%
RZ share: 33%
CROE: -35.8

Over 1.5 by window

Last 50%0/3
Last 100%0/3
Last 150%0/3
This season0%0/3
vs CINNo games

WRs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

43% went over (6 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Parker Washington JAX	5.5	1	-82%
10-04	Jakobi Meyers JAX	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Roman Wilson PIT	2.5	3	+20%
09-27	Michael Pittman PIT	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	DK Metcalf PIT	4.5	3	-33%
09-20	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	Kayshon Boutte HOU	2.5	3	+20%

Keon ColemanWR BUF vs LAR

3.5DraftKings

50%2/4

3.5+0.0

19.3%

0.35

12.8

88%

3.1

1.06

62%

25%

19%

+28.9

-0.92

#19134.4

#2310.0

#1717.2

#187.8

#33.8

#1611.2

45%5/11

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 5.0 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

1@ HOU4% tgt
6vs DET21% tgt
1vs LAC8% tgt
6vs NE23% tgt

Target share: 14.0%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.35
aDOT: 12.8
Catch %: 88%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +28.9

Over 3.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season50%2/4
vs LARNo games

WRs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Makai Lemon PHI	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Darius Cooper PHI	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Pat Bryant DEN	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jaylen Waddle DEN	4.5	2	-56%
09-27	Courtland Sutton DEN	3.5	3	-14%
09-21	Malik Nabers NYG	5.5	1	-82%
09-21	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	2	+33%

Brian ThomasWR JAX vs PHI

2.5FanDuel

50%2/4

2.2-0.2

14.5%

0.31

10.5

64%

0.8

0.71

47%

+6.6

-2.54

#22128.3

#259.9

#2516.3

#157.9

#43.5

#2010.5

58%7/12

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

3vs CLE14% tgt
3@ DEN29% tgt
1vs NE4% tgt
2@ CIN9% tgt

Target share: 13.8%
Targets / game: 3.5
WOPR: 0.31
aDOT: 10.5
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 47%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +6.6

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%2/4
vs PHI0%0/1

WRs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Puka Nacua LA	6.5	9	+38%
10-04	Jordan Whittington LA	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Davante Adams LA	4.5	4	-11%
09-28	Rome Odunze CHI	2.5	3	+20%
09-28	Luther Burden III CHI	3.5	7	+100%
09-28	Kalif Raymond CHI	2.5	6	+140%
09-20	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	4.5	1	-78%
09-20	Elic Ayomanor TEN	1.5	2	+33%

Jaylen WarrenRB PIT vs IND

2.5DraftKings

75%3/4

3.2+0.8

-1.5%

0.20

-0.8

65%

13.2

—

74%

-13.9

+4.61

#2624.9

—

#244.8

—

#100.8

#110.7

43%3/7

Role ▲ 8.9 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

5vs ATL16% tgt
2@ NE11% tgt
3vs CIN13% tgt
3@ CLE15% tgt

Target share: 13.8%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 74%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: -13.9

Over 2.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs IND0%0/1

RBs vs IND this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kaytron Allen WAS	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Woody Marks HOU	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	David Montgomery HOU	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Kenneth Walker III KC	3.5	6	+71%
09-13	Justice Hill BAL	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Derrick Henry BAL	1.5	1	-33%

Hunter HenryTE NE vs LV

3.5DraftKings

25%1/4

3.0-0.5

12.1%

0.29

7.9

80%

5.3

1.12

75%

+11.3

+0.03

#2440.5

#185.1

#246.6

#246.1

#91.5

#283.9

62%5/8

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

3@ SEA10% tgt
3vs PIT24% tgt
1@ JAX7% tgt
5@ BUF14% tgt

Target share: 13.5%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.29
aDOT: 7.9
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 75%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +11.3

Over 3.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs LV100%1/1

TEs vs LV this season · against their closing line

62% went over (5 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Travis Kelce KC	4.5	2	-56%
10-04	Noah Gray KC	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Noah Fant NO	1.5	4	+167%
09-27	Juwan Johnson NO	3.5	8	+129%
09-20	Oronde Gadsden II LAC	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	David Njoku LAC	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Charlie Kolar LAC	0.5	3	+500%
09-13	Greg Dulcich MIA	2.5	2	-20%

Quinshon JudkinsRB CLE vs NYJ

2.5DraftKings

50%2/4

3.8+1.2

-4.1%

0.17

-1.8

94%

8.1

—

62%

+11.5

+0.36

#146.5

—

#125.6

—

#61.2

#140.1

50%4/8

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

2@ JAX9% tgt
5@ TB17% tgt
2vs CAR7% tgt
6vs PIT21% tgt

Target share: 13.4%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.17
aDOT: -1.8
Catch %: 94%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +11.5

Over 2.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%2/4
vs NYJ0%0/1

RBs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Monangai CHI	0.5	1	+100%
10-04	D'Andre Swift CHI	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Sione Vaki DET	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	4.5	7	+56%
09-20	MarShawn Lloyd GB	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Chris Brooks GB	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Tyjae Spears TEN	2.5	2	-20%
09-13	Tony Pollard TEN	1.5	1	-33%

Pat FreiermuthTE PIT vs IND

3.5DraftKings

50%2/4

3.5+0.0

12.1%

0.28

8.2

74%

4.5

0.81

68%

16%

+7.0

+0.40

#860.1

#135.4

#157.7

#97.8

#81.5

#146.2

50%3/6

Under in 7 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

5vs ATL14% tgt
4@ NE14% tgt
2vs CIN13% tgt
3@ CLE13% tgt

Target share: 13.2%
Targets / game: 4.8
WOPR: 0.28
aDOT: 8.2
Catch %: 74%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +7.0

Over 3.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season50%2/4
vs IND50%1/2

TEs vs IND this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chig Okonkwo WAS	3.5	2	-43%
09-27	Foster Moreau HOU	0.5	2	+300%
09-27	Dalton Schultz HOU	5.5	3	-45%
09-20	Travis Kelce KC	3.5	9	+157%
09-20	Noah Gray KC	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Mark Andrews BAL	3.5	4	+14%

Rhamondre StevensonRB NE vs LV

2.5DraftKings

75%3/4

3.0+0.5

-0.6%

0.19

-0.4

75%

8.3

—

60%

12%

-4.9

+0.46

#2724.7

—

#195.2

—

#320.0

#24-1.1

17%1/6

Over in 7 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

5@ SEA19% tgt
1vs PIT10% tgt
3@ JAX10% tgt
3@ BUF14% tgt

Target share: 13.2%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.19
aDOT: -0.4
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 60%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -4.9

Over 2.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season75%3/4
vs LV0%0/1

RBs vs LV this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kenneth Walker III KC	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Travis Etienne NO	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Alvin Kamara NO	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Omarion Hampton LAC	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Keaton Mitchell LAC	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	De'Von Achane MIA	4.5	4	-11%

Aaron Jones Sr.RB MIN vs NO

2.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.2-0.2

0.3%

0.20

-0.1

60%

8.0

—

70%

12%

-17.6

+0.68

#2824.1

—

#314.1

—

#180.5

#27-1.2

40%2/5

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

0vs GB4% tgt
0@ CHI0% tgt
5@ TB24% tgt
4vs MIA24% tgt

Target share: 13.1%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: -0.1
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 70%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -17.6

Over 2.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs NONo games

RBs vs NO this season · against their closing line

40% went over (2 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Bijan Robinson ATL	4.5	1	-78%
09-27	Ashton Jeanty LV	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Justice Hill BAL	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Derrick Henry BAL	1.5	3	+100%
09-13	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	4.5	5	+11%

Oronde Gadsden IITE LAC vs DEN

3.5PrizePicks

25%1/4

2.2-1.2

9.3%

0.25

6.3

60%

4.1

0.91

44%

19%

-2.8

+0.02

#1358.3

#125.7

#118.0

#167.3

#161.0

#136.2

12%1/8

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 3.5

2vs ARI7% tgt
2vs LV8% tgt
0@ BUF9% tgt
5@ SEA26% tgt

Target share: 12.5%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 6.3
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: -2.8

Over 3.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs DEN50%1/2

TEs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

12% went over (1 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	George Kittle SF	4.5	4	-11%
09-27	Tyler Higbee LA	1.5	8	+433%
09-27	Terrance Ferguson LA	4.5	1	-78%
09-27	Davis Allen LA	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Colby Parkinson LA	2.5	0	-100%
09-20	Brenton Strange JAX	3.5	2	-43%
09-14	Travis Kelce KC	4.5	3	-33%
09-14	Noah Gray KC	1.5	1	-33%

Jonathan TaylorRB IND vs PIT

2.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.5+0.0

-3.7%

0.16

-1.7

67%

7.9

—

85%

-13.9

-0.01

#1334.3

—

#86.3

—

#210.5

#31-1.7

43%3/7

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

3vs BAL14% tgt
4@ KC13% tgt
2vs HOU9% tgt
1@ WAS14% tgt

Target share: 12.4%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.16
aDOT: -1.7
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 85%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -13.9

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs PIT50%1/2

RBs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Raheim Sanders CLE	1.5	2	+33%
10-01	Quinshon Judkins CLE	2.5	6	+140%
09-27	Samaje Perine CIN	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Chase Brown CIN	3.5	2	-43%
09-20	TreVeyon Henderson NE	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	2.5	1	-60%
09-13	Bijan Robinson ATL	4.5	8	+78%

Marvin MimsWR DEN vs LAC

1.5DraftKings

0%0/2

0.5-1.0

16.2%

0.30

6.0

33%

14.0

0.56

44%

33%

15%

-30.6

+2.89

#13147.7

#1510.9

#1617.2

#118.6

#172.2

#713.1

33%4/12

Over in 7 of last 10

Last 2 games · receptions vs 1.5

0@ KC0% tgt
1@ SF8% tgt

Target share: 12.3%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 33%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -30.6

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season0%0/2
vs LAC50%2/4

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

33% went over (4 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	0.5	1	+100%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	6.5	5	-23%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	3.5	6	+71%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	3.5	5	+43%

AJ BarnerTE SEA vs SF

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

2.2-0.2

4.4%

0.21

2.3

60%

10.0

2.91

87%

-13.3

+3.79

#2147.5

#165.2

#108.1

#295.9

#211.0

#244.8

29%2/7

Role ▲ 3.9 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

2vs NE8% tgt
1@ ARI4% tgt
5@ WAS20% tgt
1vs LAC15% tgt

Target share: 11.8%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.21
aDOT: 2.3
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 87%
RZ share: 24%
CROE: -13.3

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF0%0/5

TEs vs SF this season · against their closing line

29% went over (2 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Evan Engram DEN	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Adam Trautman DEN	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Trey McBride ARI	7.5	9	+20%
09-20	Greg Dulcich MIA	2.5	2	-20%
09-10	Tyler Higbee LA	1.5	2	+33%
09-10	Terrance Ferguson LA	1.5	0	-100%
09-10	Colby Parkinson LA	2.5	1	-60%

Isaiah WilliamsWR NYJ vs CLE

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

2.5+0.0

16.0%

0.29

7.0

83%

6.0

1.61

81%

17%

14%

+13.0

-0.26

#28123.1

#279.8

#1817.1

#287.2

#93.0

#116.3

50%7/14

Role ▼ 8.6 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

1@ TEN4% tgt
6vs GB17% tgt
1@ DET6% tgt
2@ CHI20% tgt

Target share: 11.6%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.29
aDOT: 7.0
Catch %: 83%
Snap %: 81%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: +13.0

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs CLE0%0/2

WRs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (7 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Roman Wilson PIT	2.5	3	+20%
10-01	Michael Pittman PIT	3.5	2	-43%
10-01	Germie Bernard PIT	1.5	2	+33%
10-01	DK Metcalf PIT	3.5	5	+43%
09-27	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	4.5	2	-56%
09-27	John Metchie III CAR	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Jalen Coker CAR	4.5	2	-56%
09-27	Brycen Tremayne CAR	1.5	4	+167%

Kendrick BourneWR ARI vs DET

2.5DraftKings

33%1/3

4.0+1.5

9.8%

0.24

4.0

86%

4.9

1.93

56%

18%

+10.9

+0.34

#2181.9

#313.4

#619.9

#79.1

#291.2

#1811.0

60%6/10

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 3.5 ptsSoft matchup #3

Last 3 games · receptions vs 2.5

8@ LAC22% tgt
2vs SEA12% tgt
2@ SF6% tgt

Target share: 11.6%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.24
aDOT: 4.0
Catch %: 86%
Snap %: 56%
RZ share: 10%
CROE: +10.9

Over 2.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season33%1/3
vs DETNo games

WRs vs DET this season · against their closing line

60% went over (6 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	5.5	14	+155%
10-04	John Metchie III CAR	1.5	3	+100%
10-04	Brycen Tremayne CAR	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Isaiah Williams NYJ	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Garrett Wilson NYJ	6.5	10	+54%
09-17	Khalil Shakir BUF	4.5	3	-33%
09-17	Keon Coleman BUF	1.5	6	+300%
09-17	DJ Moore BUF	4.5	0	-100%

Gunnar HelmTE TEN vs HOU

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

2.2-0.2

5.2%

0.20

3.8

75%

4.9

1.33

79%

16%

+9.4

-1.10

#1554.0

#86.0

#88.1

#206.7

#320.0

#185.5

50%3/6

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

4vs NYJ18% tgt
2vs PHI12% tgt
2@ NYG11% tgt
1@ BAL4% tgt

Target share: 11.2%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: 3.8
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +9.4

Over 2.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs HOU50%1/2

TEs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Jake Ferguson DAL	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Tyler Warren IND	4.5	9	+100%
09-20	Erick All CIN	1.5	2	+33%
09-13	Dawson Knox BUF	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Dalton Kincaid BUF	3.5	5	+43%

Evan EngramTE DEN vs LAC

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

1.5-1.0

10.0%

0.23

4.7

46%

2.5

1.08

60%

11%

-20.1

-1.15

#2048.7

#234.5

#266.5

#117.5

#121.2

#67.7

17%1/6

Under in 7 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

4@ KC18% tgt
1vs JAX3% tgt
0vs LA6% tgt
1@ SF13% tgt

Target share: 10.4%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.23
aDOT: 4.7
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 60%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: -20.1

Over 2.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAC100%1/1

TEs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Eric Saubert SEA	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	AJ Barner SEA	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Dawson Knox BUF	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Dalton Kincaid BUF	4.5	2	-56%
09-20	Michael Mayer LV	5.5	3	-45%
09-13	Trey McBride ARI	6.5	9	+38%

Cooper KuppWR SEA vs SF

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

2.2-0.2

15.2%

0.26

9.6

75%

4.3

0.99

61%

16%

+12.9

+0.02

#26124.3

#2210.2

#2416.4

#247.6

#132.2

#2210.5

45%5/11

Role ▼ 13.1 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

2vs NE12% tgt
2@ ARI8% tgt
4@ WAS11% tgt
1vs LAC10% tgt

Target share: 10.3%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 9.6
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 61%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +12.9

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF25%1/4

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	2.5	3	+20%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	4.5	5	+11%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	2.5	3	+20%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	3.5	4	+14%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	7.5	5	-33%

Isaac TeSlaaWR DET vs ARI

2.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.2-0.2

15.3%

0.26

12.8

53%

6.1

0.86

68%

24%

-9.4

+1.86

#15143.1

#269.8

#3015.5

#59.2

#261.5

#913.0

50%5/10

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

0vs NO3% tgt
2@ BUF13% tgt
3vs NYJ10% tgt
4@ CAR16% tgt

Target share: 10.3%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 12.8
Catch %: 53%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 9%
CROE: -9.4

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season50%2/4
vs ARINo games

WRs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

50% went over (5 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Malik Nabers NYG	4.5	6	+33%
10-04	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Evans SF	4.5	3	-33%
09-27	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	3.5	0	-100%
09-20	Rashid Shaheed SEA	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Cooper Kupp SEA	2.5	2	-20%
09-13	Tre Harris LAC	2.5	3	+20%

Ty JohnsonRB BUF vs LAR

2.5DraftKings

50%1/2

3.0+0.5

-0.2%

0.15

0.0

100%

9.8

—

32%

12%

+26.7

+2.54

#241.8

—

#56.7

—

#110.8

#23-0.9

50%4/8

—

Last 2 games · receptions vs 2.5

4vs LAC15% tgt
2vs NE7% tgt

Target share: 10.3%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 0.0
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 32%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +26.7

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%1/2
vs LAR0%0/1

RBs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Will Shipley PHI	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Saquon Barkley PHI	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	RJ Harvey DEN	2.5	6	+140%
09-27	J.K. Dobbins DEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-21	Devin Singletary NYG	1.5	0	-100%
09-21	Cam Skattebo NYG	1.5	4	+167%
09-10	Christian McCaffrey SF	4.5	5	+11%

Alvin KamaraRB NO vs MIN

3.5DraftKings

67%2/3

3.7+0.2

-0.8%

0.15

0.4

79%

5.2

9.40

28%

+0.7

-2.50

#3218.9

—

#323.9

—

#21.5

#100.8

50%4/8

—

Last 3 games · receptions vs 3.5

5@ BAL19% tgt
1vs LV2% tgt
5vs ATL15% tgt

Target share: 10.2%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 0.4
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 28%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +0.7

Over 3.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season67%2/3
vs MINNo games

RBs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ollie Gordon II MIA	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Jaylen Wright MIA	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Kenny Gainwell TB	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Bucky Irving TB	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Kyle Monangai CHI	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	D'Andre Swift CHI	1.5	5	+233%
09-13	MarShawn Lloyd GB	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Chris Brooks GB	1.5	0	-100%

Elic AyomanorWR TEN vs HOU

1.5DraftKings

25%1/4

1.2-0.2

16.0%

0.26

11.7

50%

8.6

0.97

62%

20%

10%

+0.8

+7.30

#9160.8

#1311.1

#1118.2

#108.8

#83.0

#2110.5

62%8/13

Role ▼ 7.1 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

1vs NYJ11% tgt
2vs PHI18% tgt
1@ NYG9% tgt
1@ BAL4% tgt

Target share: 10.1%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 11.7
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 38%
CROE: +0.8

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season25%1/4
vs HOU100%2/2

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

62% went over (8 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	3.5	4	+14%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	4.5	2	-56%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	5.5	17	+209%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	3.5	6	+71%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	4.5	5	+11%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	3.5	5	+43%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	6.5	7	+8%

Germie BernardWR PIT vs IND

2.5DraftKings

33%1/3

2.3-0.2

12.7%

0.24

8.5

64%

2.0

0.65

49%

-3.1

-2.77

#3179.9

#712.3

#719.6

#69.2

#202.0

#314.0

23%3/13

—

Last 3 games · receptions vs 2.5

4@ NE22% tgt
1vs CIN3% tgt
2@ CLE5% tgt

Target share: 10.0%
Targets / game: 3.7
WOPR: 0.24
aDOT: 8.5
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 49%
RZ share: 17%
CROE: -3.1

Over 2.5 by window

Last 533%1/3
Last 1033%1/3
Last 1533%1/3
This season33%1/3
vs INDNo games

WRs vs IND this season · against their closing line

23% went over (3 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Treylon Burks WAS	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Stefon Diggs WAS	5.5	5	-9%
10-04	Dyami Brown WAS	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Kayshon Boutte HOU	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jaylin Noel HOU	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jared Wayne HOU	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Xavier Worthy KC	3.5	5	+43%

Raheim SandersRB CLE vs NYJ

2.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.5+0.0

-2.0%

0.13

-1.5

91%

8.8

—

33%

21%

+8.5

+0.37

#146.5

—

#125.6

—

#61.2

#140.1

50%4/8

Under in 6 of last 8Role ▲ 5.6 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

3@ JAX14% tgt
1@ TB3% tgt
4vs CAR17% tgt
2vs PIT6% tgt

Target share: 9.9%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: -1.5
Catch %: 91%
Snap %: 33%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +8.5

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1025%2/8
Last 1525%2/8
This season50%2/4
vs NYJNo games

RBs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Monangai CHI	0.5	1	+100%
10-04	D'Andre Swift CHI	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Sione Vaki DET	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	4.5	7	+56%
09-20	MarShawn Lloyd GB	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Chris Brooks GB	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Tyjae Spears TEN	2.5	2	-20%
09-13	Tony Pollard TEN	1.5	1	-33%

Kayshon BoutteWR HOU vs TEN

2.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.2-0.2

10.1%

0.22

12.3

69%

1.8

0.72

62%

15%

+4.2

-2.91

#8161.7

#1111.5

#2616.3

#19.9

#251.5

#2310.5

64%7/11

Role ▼ 9.4 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

1vs BUF5% tgt
3vs CIN10% tgt
2@ IND8% tgt
3vs DAL15% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.22
aDOT: 12.3
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +4.2

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%2/4
vs TEN0%0/2

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	5.5	8	+45%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	4.5	5	+11%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	4.5	10	+122%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	1.5	1	-33%

Kyle Pitts Sr.TE ATL vs BAL

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

1.2-1.2

15.4%

0.25

7.6

56%

8.6

0.99

53%

11%

-15.3

+4.07

#2638.5

#254.2

#276.3

#266.1

#270.8

#313.0

29%2/7

Role ▼ 15.5 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

0@ PIT5% tgt
1vs CAR10% tgt
1@ GB9% tgt
3@ NO15% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 7.6
Catch %: 56%
Snap %: 53%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -15.3

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs BALNo games

TEs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

29% went over (2 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Gunnar Helm TEN	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Daniel Bellinger TEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Luke Schoonmaker DAL	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Jake Ferguson DAL	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Noah Fant NO	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	Juwan Johnson NO	3.5	4	+14%
09-13	Tyler Warren IND	4.5	3	-33%

Tony PollardRB TEN vs HOU

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.0+0.5

1.8%

0.16

1.5

73%

5.0

1.50

53%

-3.0

-3.30

#2526.5

—

#145.5

—

#200.5

#26-1.1

40%2/5

Role ▲ 4.1 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

1vs NYJ7% tgt
1vs PHI6% tgt
4@ NYG11% tgt
2@ BAL14% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.16
aDOT: 1.5
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 53%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -3.0

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs HOU75%3/4

RBs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

40% went over (2 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Javonte Williams DAL	2.5	5	+100%
09-27	Jonathan Taylor IND	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Samaje Perine CIN	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Chase Brown CIN	3.5	3	-14%
09-13	James Cook BUF	2.5	3	+20%

Tory HortonWR SEA vs SF

1.5DraftKings

50%1/2

2.0+0.5

15.0%

0.25

12.0

100%

1.5

1.12

38%

+40.0

-1.63

#26124.3

#2210.2

#2416.4

#247.6

#132.2

#2210.5

45%5/11

—

Last 2 games · receptions vs 1.5

3@ WAS7% tgt
1vs LAC5% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 12.0
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 38%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: +40.0

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1550%5/10
This season50%1/2
vs SF0%0/1

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	2.5	3	+20%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	4.5	5	+11%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	2.5	3	+20%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	3.5	4	+14%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	7.5	5	-33%

Darnell MooneyWR NYG vs WAS

1.5DraftKings

75%3/4

1.5+0.0

12.7%

0.23

11.6

60%

3.3

0.82

57%

10%

13%

-2.7

-0.73

#10155.9

#413.3

#420.6

#257.6

#162.2

#289.3

62%8/13

Over in 8 of last 10Role ▼ 5.3 ptsSoft matchup #4

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

2vs DAL7% tgt
2@ LA9% tgt
2vs TEN14% tgt
0vs ARI7% tgt

Target share: 9.4%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.23
aDOT: 11.6
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 57%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -2.7

Over 1.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs WAS50%1/2

WRs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

62% went over (8 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Laquon Treadwell IND	1.5	5	+233%
10-04	Josh Downs IND	6.5	3	-54%
09-27	Tory Horton SEA	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Rashid Shaheed SEA	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	6.5	10	+54%
09-27	Cooper Kupp SEA	2.5	4	+60%
09-20	Ryan Flournoy DAL	2.5	5	+100%

Darius CooperWR PHI vs JAX

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

1.2-1.2

13.4%

0.23

12.3

50%

4.2

0.48

39%

10%

12%

-7.8

+5.03

#4173.4

#114.1

#222.1

#177.8

#53.5

#613.3

42%5/12

Under in 8 of last 10Soft matchup #1

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

0vs WAS0% tgt
2@ TEN9% tgt
0@ CHI0% tgt
3vs LA28% tgt

Target share: 9.2%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.23
aDOT: 12.3
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 39%
RZ share: 67%
CROE: -7.8

Over 2.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1518%2/11
This season25%1/4
vs JAXNo games

WRs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

42% went over (5 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tee Higgins CIN	4.5	11	+144%
10-04	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	7.5	3	-60%
09-27	Romeo Doubs NE	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Mack Hollins NE	2.5	6	+140%
09-27	Kyle Williams NE	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	DeMario Douglas NE	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Troy Franklin DEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-20	Pat Bryant DEN	3.5	0	-100%

Laquon TreadwellWR IND vs PIT

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.2+0.8

19.6%

0.28

11.2

82%

3.0

1.00

68%

18%

+15.4

-1.61

#11154.0

#2010.4

#2915.9

#29.7

#311.0

#2510.2

45%5/11

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 9.2 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

0vs BAL3% tgt
3@ KC10% tgt
1vs HOU3% tgt
5@ WAS21% tgt

Target share: 9.2%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.28
aDOT: 11.2
Catch %: 82%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +15.4

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%2/10
This season50%2/4
vs PITNo games

WRs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Jerry Jeudy CLE	1.5	3	+100%
10-01	Denzel Boston CLE	2.5	4	+60%
09-27	Tee Higgins CIN	4.5	6	+33%
09-27	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Romeo Doubs NE	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Mack Hollins NE	3.5	2	-43%
09-20	Kyle Williams NE	0.5	1	+100%
09-20	DeMario Douglas NE	3.5	1	-71%

Rachaad WhiteRB WAS vs NYG

1.5DraftKings

67%2/3

3.0+1.5

-0.7%

0.13

0.4

100%

5.2

12.75

42%

19%

+24.2

-1.52

#2326.6

—

#234.8

—

#120.8

#29-1.5

57%4/7

Role ▲ 3.5 pts

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

2@ PHI7% tgt
6@ DAL18% tgt
1vs SEA3% tgt

Target share: 9.2%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 0.4
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 42%
RZ share: 15%
CROE: +24.2

Over 1.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season67%2/3
vs NYG0%0/1

RBs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

57% went over (4 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Allgeier ARI	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Jeremiyah Love ARI	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Tyjae Spears TEN	2.5	0	-100%
09-27	Tony Pollard TEN	1.5	4	+167%
09-21	Kyren Williams LA	2.5	2	-20%
09-21	Blake Corum LA	0.5	1	+100%
09-13	Javonte Williams DAL	2.5	5	+100%

Darnell WashingtonTE PIT vs IND

2.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.2-0.2

4.2%

0.17

5.1

69%

9.3

1.80

66%

-0.2

+4.43

#860.1

#135.4

#157.7

#97.8

#81.5

#146.2

50%3/6

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

2vs ATL5% tgt
1@ NE5% tgt
3vs CIN13% tgt
3@ CLE13% tgt

Target share: 9.1%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.17
aDOT: 5.1
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: -0.2

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs IND50%1/2

TEs vs IND this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chig Okonkwo WAS	3.5	2	-43%
09-27	Foster Moreau HOU	0.5	2	+300%
09-27	Dalton Schultz HOU	5.5	3	-45%
09-20	Travis Kelce KC	3.5	9	+157%
09-20	Noah Gray KC	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Mark Andrews BAL	3.5	4	+14%

James Cook IIIRB BUF vs LAR

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

1.5+0.0

-0.6%

0.13

-0.8

60%

4.5

—

68%

-16.1

-2.73

#241.8

—

#56.7

—

#110.8

#23-0.9

50%4/8

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

3@ HOU14% tgt
1vs DET11% tgt
0vs LAC4% tgt
2vs NE7% tgt

Target share: 8.9%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: -16.1

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%2/4
vs LAR100%1/1

RBs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Will Shipley PHI	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Saquon Barkley PHI	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	RJ Harvey DEN	2.5	6	+140%
09-27	J.K. Dobbins DEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-21	Devin Singletary NYG	1.5	0	-100%
09-21	Cam Skattebo NYG	1.5	4	+167%
09-10	Christian McCaffrey SF	4.5	5	+11%

Jeremiyah LoveRB ARI vs DET

2.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.8+0.2

0.4%

0.13

0.5

85%

2.7

5.14

48%

+6.8

-3.26

#3121.8

—

#254.7

—

#91.0

#130.3

43%3/7

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

2@ LAC11% tgt
3vs SEA12% tgt
5@ SF10% tgt
1@ NYG3% tgt

Target share: 8.8%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 0.5
Catch %: 85%
Snap %: 48%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: +6.8

Over 2.5 by window

Last 550%2/4
Last 1050%2/4
Last 1550%2/4
This season50%2/4
vs DETNo games

RBs vs DET this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chuba Hubbard CAR	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Breece Hall NYJ	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Braelon Allen NYJ	0.5	3	+500%
09-17	James Cook BUF	2.5	1	-60%
09-13	Travis Etienne NO	2.5	7	+180%
09-13	Kendre Miller NO	12.5	0	-100%

Cam SkatteboRB NYG vs WAS

2.5DraftKings

50%2/4

2.0-0.5

6.1%

0.17

3.6

89%

4.9

2.09

65%

11%

+14.4

-2.33

#2426.6

—

#165.3

—

#300.2

#120.7

25%2/8

Role ▼ 4.5 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

0vs DAL0% tgt
4@ LA12% tgt
3vs TEN19% tgt
1vs ARI3% tgt

Target share: 8.7%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.17
aDOT: 3.6
Catch %: 89%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +14.4

Over 2.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1542%5/12
This season50%2/4
vs WAS0%0/1

RBs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

25% went over (2 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Jonathan Taylor IND	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Jadarian Price SEA	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	George Holani SEA	1.5	5	+233%
09-27	Emanuel Wilson SEA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Javonte Williams DAL	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	Hunter Luepke DAL	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Saquon Barkley PHI	2.5	1	-60%

Jaylin NoelWR HOU vs TEN

1.5DraftKings

75%3/4

2.0+0.5

9.8%

0.20

12.6

67%

5.4

1.23

44%

25%

+0.6

-0.86

#8161.7

#1111.5

#2616.3

#19.9

#251.5

#2310.5

64%7/11

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

2vs BUF5% tgt
1vs CIN10% tgt
2@ IND8% tgt
3vs DAL12% tgt

Target share: 8.7%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: 12.6
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +0.6

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs TEN0%0/2

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	5.5	8	+45%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	4.5	5	+11%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	4.5	10	+122%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	1.5	1	-33%

Theo JohnsonTE NYG vs WAS

1.5Underdog

0%0/3

0.7-0.8

7.1%

0.18

11.3

33%

3.5

0.29

51%

17%

-21.8

+1.44

#765.6

#175.2

#236.9

#19.5

#22.2

#254.7

60%3/5

Role ▼ 9.5 pts

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

1vs DAL3% tgt
0@ LA12% tgt
1vs ARI3% tgt

Target share: 8.7%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.18
aDOT: 11.3
Catch %: 33%
Snap %: 51%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: -21.8

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season0%0/3
vs WAS67%2/3

TEs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

60% went over (3 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Warren IND	5.5	5	-9%
09-27	AJ Barner SEA	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Jake Ferguson DAL	3.5	4	+14%
09-20	Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Dallas Goedert PHI	3.5	4	+14%

Marvin HarrisonWR ARI vs DET

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

1.2-1.2

18.2%

0.25

15.5

38%

1.6

0.42

74%

31%

-13.3

-3.04

#2181.9

#313.4

#619.9

#79.1

#291.2

#1811.0

60%6/10

Role ▼ 6.5 ptsSoft matchup #3

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

1@ LAC8% tgt
0vs SEA4% tgt
3@ SF10% tgt
1@ NYG11% tgt

Target share: 8.3%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 15.5
Catch %: 38%
Snap %: 74%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -13.3

Over 2.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs DET100%1/1

WRs vs DET this season · against their closing line

60% went over (6 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	5.5	14	+155%
10-04	John Metchie III CAR	1.5	3	+100%
10-04	Brycen Tremayne CAR	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Isaiah Williams NYJ	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Garrett Wilson NYJ	6.5	10	+54%
09-17	Khalil Shakir BUF	4.5	3	-33%
09-17	Keon Coleman BUF	1.5	6	+300%
09-17	DJ Moore BUF	4.5	0	-100%

Keaton MitchellRB LAC vs DEN

—

-1.4%

0.11

-1.5

90%

4.9

—

33%

10%

+5.7

-2.26

#2028.6

—

#135.6

—

#71.0

#41.8

57%4/7

Role ▲ 3.5 pts

Last 4 games · receptions

0vs ARI0% tgt
1vs LV4% tgt
3@ BUF9% tgt
5@ SEA19% tgt

Target share: 8.1%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: -1.5
Catch %: 90%
Snap %: 33%
RZ share: 10%
CROE: +5.7

RBs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

57% went over (4 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Juszczyk SF	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Christian McCaffrey SF	4.5	3	-33%
09-27	Kyren Williams LA	2.5	6	+140%
09-27	Blake Corum LA	0.5	2	+300%
09-20	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	1.5	2	+33%
09-14	Kenneth Walker III KC	3.5	3	-14%

Devontez WalkerWR BAL vs ATL

0.5DraftKings

67%2/3

0.7+0.2

19.8%

0.25

29.6

40%

3.5

0.45

50%

60%

-6.5

-5.85

#6170.1

#512.9

#122.1

#217.7

#14.8

#513.5

83%10/12

Role ▲ 4.7 ptsSoft matchup #5

Last 3 games · receptions vs 0.5

1vs NO7% tgt
0@ DAL5% tgt
1vs TEN7% tgt

Target share: 7.6%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 29.6
Catch %: 40%
Snap %: 50%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -6.5

Over 0.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1550%7/14
This season67%2/3
vs ATLNo games

WRs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

83% went over (10 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Devaughn Vele NO	3.5	6	+71%
10-05	Chris Olave NO	6.5	8	+23%
09-24	Skyy Moore GB	1.5	3	+100%
09-24	Matthew Golden GB	4.5	5	+11%
09-24	Christian Watson GB	4.5	7	+56%
09-24	Bo Melton GB	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Xavier Legette CAR	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	4.5	5	+11%

Tyjae SpearsRB TEN vs HOU

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

1.2-0.2

-1.7%

0.10

-2.0

71%

10.6

—

42%

10%

-7.7

+1.32

#2526.5

—

#145.5

—

#200.5

#26-1.1

40%2/5

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 5.8 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

2vs NYJ14% tgt
2vs PHI12% tgt
0@ NYG0% tgt
1@ BAL4% tgt

Target share: 7.4%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: -2.0
Catch %: 71%
Snap %: 42%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -7.7

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season50%2/4
vs HOU100%1/1

RBs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

40% went over (2 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Javonte Williams DAL	2.5	5	+100%
09-27	Jonathan Taylor IND	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Samaje Perine CIN	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Chase Brown CIN	3.5	3	-14%
09-13	James Cook BUF	2.5	3	+20%

Braelon AllenRB NYJ vs CLE

2.5DraftKings

25%1/4

1.5-1.0

-0.1%

0.11

-0.3

86%

3.5

—

54%

+8.1

-3.34

#2923.8

—

#185.2

—

#81.0

#32-3.0

50%4/8

Under in 9 of last 10Role ▲ 4.6 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

0@ TEN4% tgt
1vs GB3% tgt
3@ DET8% tgt
2@ CHI13% tgt

Target share: 7.2%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: -0.3
Catch %: 86%
Snap %: 54%
RZ share: 33%
CROE: +8.1

Over 2.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season25%1/4
vs CLENo games

RBs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Travis Homer PIT	0.5	0	-100%
10-01	Jaylen Warren PIT	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Chuba Hubbard CAR	2.5	4	+60%
09-27	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	1	+100%
09-20	Kenny Gainwell TB	1.5	3	+100%
09-20	Bucky Irving TB	2.5	4	+60%
09-13	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	1.5	1	-33%

Cody WhiteWR LV vs NE

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

1.2-0.2

6.7%

0.15

9.6

50%

1.4

0.67

28%

10%

-9.8

-0.90

#29119.1

#1011.7

#520.5

#325.8

#73.2

#318.8

50%6/12

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 5.2 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

0vs MIA3% tgt
2@ LAC7% tgt
1@ NO10% tgt
2vs KC8% tgt

Target share: 7.2%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 9.6
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 28%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -9.8

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1521%3/14
This season50%2/4
vs NENo games

WRs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (6 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Khalil Shakir BUF	3.5	7	+100%
10-04	Keon Coleman BUF	1.5	6	+300%
10-04	DJ Moore BUF	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Parker Washington JAX	5.5	3	-45%
09-27	Jakobi Meyers JAX	3.5	7	+100%
09-27	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Roman Wilson PIT	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Germie Bernard PIT	1.5	4	+167%

Olamide ZaccheausWR ATL vs BAL

0.5DraftKings

75%3/4

1.0+0.5

3.3%

0.13

2.1

57%

2.5

1.13

36%

12%

-21.9

-3.69

#1192.4

#213.8

#321.7

#98.9

#112.8

#269.7

62%8/13

Over in 8 of last 10Soft matchup #2

Last 4 games · receptions vs 0.5

1@ PIT5% tgt
1vs CAR10% tgt
2@ GB9% tgt
0@ NO5% tgt

Target share: 7.2%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 2.1
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -21.9

Over 0.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1587%13/15
This season75%3/4
vs BAL100%2/2

WRs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

62% went over (8 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Elic Ayomanor TEN	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Carnell Tate TEN	4.5	9	+100%
10-04	Calvin Ridley TEN	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Ryan Flournoy DAL	3.5	2	-43%
09-27	George Pickens DAL	5.5	7	+27%
09-27	CeeDee Lamb DAL	6.5	7	+8%
09-20	Devaughn Vele NO	3.5	5	+43%

Bhayshul TutenRB JAX vs PHI

1.5DraftKings

75%3/4

1.8+0.2

-2.5%

0.09

-3.1

100%

10.9

—

52%

+18.1

+2.14

#539.0

—

#76.3

—

#220.5

#81.1

17%1/6

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 6.1 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

1vs CLE5% tgt
2@ DEN7% tgt
2vs NE7% tgt
2@ CIN9% tgt

Target share: 7.0%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: -3.1
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 52%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +18.1

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season75%3/4
vs PHINo games

RBs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyren Williams LA	2.5	10	+300%
09-28	Kyle Monangai CHI	1.5	0	-100%
09-28	D'Andre Swift CHI	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Tyjae Spears TEN	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Tony Pollard TEN	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Rachaad White WAS	2.5	2	-20%

Noah FantTE NO vs MIN

1.5DraftKings

67%2/3

2.7+1.2

3.4%

0.13

5.1

67%

4.4

1.08

41%

11%

-5.9

+1.30

#3130.4

#322.2

#314.9

#236.2

#300.5

#29.1

0%0/4

Tough matchup #32

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

4@ DET15% tgt
0@ BAL0% tgt
4vs LV10% tgt

Target share: 7.0%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 5.1
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 41%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: -5.9

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season67%2/3
vs MIN100%2/2

TEs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

0% went over (0 of 4)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
09-27	Cade Otton TB	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Colston Loveland CHI	4.5	1	-78%
09-20	Cole Kmet CHI	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tucker Kraft GB	3.5	3	-14%

Tyler AllgeierRB ARI vs DET

1.5DraftKings

100%4/4

2.5+1.0

-3.5%

0.08

-3.6

100%

7.1

—

54%

11%

+23.8

-2.14

#3121.8

—

#254.7

—

#91.0

#130.3

43%3/7

Role ▲ 4.3 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

2@ LAC5% tgt
2vs SEA8% tgt
4@ SF8% tgt
2@ NYG6% tgt

Target share: 6.7%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.08
aDOT: -3.6
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 54%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +23.8

Over 1.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season100%4/4
vs DETNo games

RBs vs DET this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chuba Hubbard CAR	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	1	+100%
09-27	Breece Hall NYJ	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Braelon Allen NYJ	0.5	3	+500%
09-17	James Cook BUF	2.5	1	-60%
09-13	Travis Etienne NO	2.5	7	+180%
09-13	Kendre Miller NO	12.5	0	-100%

Derrick HenryRB BAL vs ATL

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

1.8+0.2

-3.1%

0.08

-4.3

100%

10.6

—

59%

+24.8

+0.39

#3023.5

—

#115.7

—

#41.2

#17-0.2

67%6/9

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 5.1 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

1@ IND4% tgt
3vs NO10% tgt
1@ DAL5% tgt
2vs TEN7% tgt

Target share: 6.6%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.08
aDOT: -4.3
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 59%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +24.8

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs ATLNo games

RBs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

67% went over (6 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Kendre Miller NO	1.5	2	+33%
10-05	Alvin Kamara NO	3.5	5	+43%
09-24	MarShawn Lloyd GB	1.5	2	+33%
09-24	Kaleb Johnson GB	0.5	1	+100%
09-24	Chris Brooks GB	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Jonathon Brooks CAR	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Chuba Hubbard CAR	2.5	2	-20%
09-13	Rico Dowdle PIT	1.5	2	+33%

Drew SampleTE CIN vs MIA

—

-0.4%

0.09

0.6

80%

5.5

6.33

64%

-2.8

-2.22

#470.7

#37.0

#48.5

#68.3

#32.0

#87.3

67%4/6

Soft matchup #3

Last 2 games · receptions

3vs TB9% tgt
1@ PIT5% tgt

Target share: 6.3%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 0.6
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 64%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: -2.8

TEs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	T.J. Hockenson MIN	4.5	13	+189%
09-27	Travis Kelce KC	4.5	2	-56%
09-27	Noah Gray KC	0.5	3	+500%
09-20	Luke Farrell SF	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	George Kittle SF	3.5	4	+14%
09-13	Michael Mayer LV	4.5	6	+33%

Kyle WilliamsWR NE vs LV

1.5Underdog

0%0/4

0.5-1.0

7.8%

0.15

13.4

29%

7.5

0.47

24%

43%

-25.1

+2.28

#18136.0

#1810.4

#1917.0

#148.0

#271.5

#214.9

44%4/9

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

0@ SEA0% tgt
1vs PIT10% tgt
1@ JAX10% tgt
0@ BUF6% tgt

Target share: 6.3%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 13.4
Catch %: 29%
Snap %: 24%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -25.1

Over 1.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season0%0/4
vs LV0%0/1

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

44% went over (4 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	3.5	4	+14%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	1.5	5	+233%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	4.5	3	-33%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	3.5	1	-71%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	3.5	3	-14%

Calvin RidleyWR TEN vs HOU

0.5DraftKings

67%2/3

1.0+0.5

7.4%

0.14

8.8

60%

5.7

1.09

36%

-6.4

+1.91

#9160.8

#1311.1

#1118.2

#108.8

#83.0

#2110.5

62%8/13

Over in 9 of last 10Role ▼ 9.8 pts

Last 3 games · receptions vs 0.5

2vs PHI12% tgt
0@ NYG3% tgt
1@ BAL7% tgt

Target share: 6.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.14
aDOT: 8.8
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -6.4

Over 0.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1090%9/10
Last 1593%14/15
This season67%2/3
vs HOU100%4/4

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

62% went over (8 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	3.5	4	+14%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	4.5	2	-56%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	5.5	17	+209%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	3.5	6	+71%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	4.5	5	+11%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	3.5	5	+43%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	6.5	7	+8%

Ollie Gordon IIRB MIA vs CIN

1.5DraftKings

67%2/3

1.7+0.2

-3.6%

0.07

-3.2

100%

6.0

—

49%

+20.2

-3.31

#738.3

—

#175.3

—

#130.8

#21-0.6

67%4/6

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 6.1 pts

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

0@ SF0% tgt
3vs KC9% tgt
2@ MIN12% tgt

Target share: 6.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: -3.2
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 49%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +20.2

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season67%2/3
vs CIN0%0/1

RBs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Jaylen Warren PIT	4.5	3	-33%
09-20	Woody Marks HOU	1.5	5	+233%
09-20	David Montgomery HOU	1.5	2	+33%
09-13	Bucky Irving TB	2.5	7	+180%

Emanuel WilsonRB SEA vs SF

1.5DraftKings

25%1/4

0.8-0.8

-2.1%

0.07

-2.6

60%

18.0

—

36%

-19.5

+7.18

#340.7

—

#47.0

—

#140.8

#71.1

75%6/8

Under in 9 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

0vs NE0% tgt
0@ ARI4% tgt
0@ WAS0% tgt
3vs LAC20% tgt

Target share: 6.0%
Targets / game: 1.2
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: -2.6
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: -19.5

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF0%0/1

RBs vs SF this season · against their closing line

75% went over (6 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Badie DEN	0.5	2	+300%
10-04	RJ Harvey DEN	3.5	10	+186%
10-04	J.K. Dobbins DEN	0.5	2	+300%
09-27	Tyler Allgeier ARI	1.5	4	+167%
09-27	Jeremiyah Love ARI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	De'Von Achane MIA	4.5	3	-33%
09-10	Kyren Williams LA	1.5	3	+100%
09-10	Blake Corum LA	0.5	0	-100%

George HolaniRB SEA vs SF

1.5DraftKings

25%1/4

1.8+0.2

-0.0%

0.09

-0.8

88%

9.1

—

36%

+8.9

+1.05

#340.7

—

#47.0

—

#140.8

#71.1

75%6/8

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

0vs NE4% tgt
1@ ARI4% tgt
5@ WAS11% tgt
1vs LAC5% tgt

Target share: 6.0%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 88%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +8.9

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF0%0/1

RBs vs SF this season · against their closing line

75% went over (6 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Badie DEN	0.5	2	+300%
10-04	RJ Harvey DEN	3.5	10	+186%
10-04	J.K. Dobbins DEN	0.5	2	+300%
09-27	Tyler Allgeier ARI	1.5	4	+167%
09-27	Jeremiyah Love ARI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	De'Von Achane MIA	4.5	3	-33%
09-10	Kyren Williams LA	1.5	3	+100%
09-10	Blake Corum LA	0.5	0	-100%

Efton Chism IIIWR NE vs LV

1.5DraftKings

33%1/3

1.3-0.2

3.2%

0.11

6.9

57%

0.0

0.85

30%

14%

-0.9

-6.22

#18136.0

#1810.4

#1917.0

#148.0

#271.5

#214.9

44%4/9

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

1vs PIT5% tgt
1@ JAX7% tgt
2@ BUF11% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: 6.9
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 30%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: -0.9

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1515%2/13
This season33%1/3
vs LVNo games

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

44% went over (4 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	3.5	4	+14%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	1.5	5	+233%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	4.5	3	-33%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	6.5	9	+38%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	3.5	1	-71%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	3.5	3	-14%

Elijah HigginsTE ARI vs DET

0.5Underdog

67%2/3

1.7+1.2

2.6%

0.10

2.0

100%

5.8

3.90

40%

+26.1

+1.44

#277.8

#17.5

#110.4

#127.5

#12.2

#77.7

67%6/9

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 3.9 ptsSoft matchup #1

Last 3 games · receptions vs 0.5

0vs SEA0% tgt
3@ SF6% tgt
2@ NYG6% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: 2.0
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 40%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +26.1

Over 0.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season67%2/3
vs DET100%1/1

TEs vs DET this season · against their closing line

67% went over (6 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tommy Tremble CAR	1.5	4	+167%
10-04	Mitchell Evans CAR	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Darren Waller CAR	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Kenyon Sadiq NYJ	3.5	7	+100%
09-27	Jeremy Ruckert NYJ	1.5	5	+233%
09-17	Dawson Knox BUF	1.5	2	+33%
09-17	Dalton Kincaid BUF	4.5	7	+56%
09-13	Noah Fant NO	1.5	4	+167%

Will ShipleyRB PHI vs JAX

2.5DraftKings

0%0/4

1.0-1.5

1.9%

0.10

2.2

67%

3.8

1.85

36%

-8.5

-1.98

#1234.7

—

#66.5

—

#280.2

#16-0.1

43%3/7

Under in 10 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 2.5

1vs WAS4% tgt
2@ TEN6% tgt
1@ CHI8% tgt
0vs LA4% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: 2.2
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -8.5

Over 2.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 100%0/10
Last 150%0/15
This season0%0/4
vs JAX0%0/1

RBs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Samaje Perine CIN	1.5	0	-100%
10-04	Chase Brown CIN	3.5	11	+214%
09-27	TreVeyon Henderson NE	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	J.K. Dobbins DEN	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Quinshon Judkins CLE	1.5	2	+33%
09-13	Dylan Sampson CLE	1.5	0	-100%

Woody MarksRB HOU vs TEN

1.5DraftKings

25%1/4

1.8+0.2

1.1%

0.09

2.2

78%

4.3

1.55

45%

-0.3

-2.94

#1432.8

—

#294.4

—

#270.2

#90.9

56%5/9

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

1vs BUF3% tgt
5vs CIN12% tgt
1@ IND4% tgt
0vs DAL4% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 2.2
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 45%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: -0.3

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season25%1/4
vs TEN50%1/2

RBs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Justice Hill BAL	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Derrick Henry BAL	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Najee Harris NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Cam Skattebo NYG	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	Will Shipley PHI	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Tank Bigsby PHI	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Saquon Barkley PHI	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Breece Hall NYJ	2.5	2	-20%

Samaje PerineRB CIN vs MIA

—

1.9%

0.10

2.0

62%

7.8

3.19

34%

14%

-4.9

+2.16

#836.8

—

#105.7

—

#13.0

#32.0

60%3/5

—

Last 4 games · receptions

3vs TB9% tgt
1@ HOU3% tgt
1@ PIT8% tgt
0vs JAX2% tgt

Target share: 5.5%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: 2.0
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 34%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -4.9

RBs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

60% went over (3 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Aaron Jones MIN	3.5	4	+14%
09-27	Kenneth Walker III KC	3.5	2	-43%
09-20	Kyle Juszczyk SF	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Christian McCaffrey SF	4.5	4	-11%
09-13	Ashton Jeanty LV	3.5	6	+71%

Justice HillRB BAL vs ATL

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

1.2-0.2

-1.4%

0.07

-2.5

83%

13.0

—

41%

10%

+1.2

+1.96

#3023.5

—

#115.7

—

#41.2

#17-0.2

67%6/9

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

1@ IND4% tgt
2vs NO7% tgt
0@ DAL0% tgt
2vs TEN10% tgt

Target share: 5.4%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: -2.5
Catch %: 83%
Snap %: 41%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +1.2

Over 1.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs ATLNo games

RBs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

67% went over (6 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Kendre Miller NO	1.5	2	+33%
10-05	Alvin Kamara NO	3.5	5	+43%
09-24	MarShawn Lloyd GB	1.5	2	+33%
09-24	Kaleb Johnson GB	0.5	1	+100%
09-24	Chris Brooks GB	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Jonathon Brooks CAR	1.5	1	-33%
09-20	Chuba Hubbard CAR	2.5	2	-20%
09-13	Rico Dowdle PIT	1.5	2	+33%

Dawson KnoxTE BUF vs LAR

1.5DraftKings

50%2/4

1.5+0.0

1.0%

0.09

1.8

100%

3.2

2.73

68%

+23.2

-1.84

#2738.5

#244.3

#177.3

#315.3

#230.8

#126.3

20%1/5

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 5.6 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

1@ HOU4% tgt
2vs DET7% tgt
1vs LAC4% tgt
2vs NE7% tgt

Target share: 5.3%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 1.8
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +23.2

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season50%2/4
vs LAR0%0/1

TEs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

20% went over (1 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Johnny Mundt PHI	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Evan Engram DEN	2.5	0	-100%
09-21	Theo Johnson NYG	1.5	0	-100%
09-21	Isaiah Likely NYG	4.5	5	+11%
09-10	George Kittle SF	3.5	2	-43%

Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB WAS vs NYG

—

0.3%

0.08

0.6

71%

9.4

10.00

47%

+1.1

+1.27

#2326.6

—

#234.8

—

#120.8

#29-1.5

57%4/7

Role ▲ 5.2 pts

Last 4 games · receptions

1@ PHI3% tgt
1@ DAL3% tgt
1vs SEA3% tgt
2vs IND11% tgt

Target share: 5.2%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.08
aDOT: 0.6
Catch %: 71%
Snap %: 47%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +1.1

RBs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

57% went over (4 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Allgeier ARI	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Jeremiyah Love ARI	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Tyjae Spears TEN	2.5	0	-100%
09-27	Tony Pollard TEN	1.5	4	+167%
09-21	Kyren Williams LA	2.5	2	-20%
09-21	Blake Corum LA	0.5	1	+100%
09-13	Javonte Williams DAL	2.5	5	+100%

David MontgomeryRB HOU vs TEN

1.5DraftKings

75%3/4

1.8+0.2

1.7%

0.09

3.6

100%

6.0

2.68

55%

+22.4

-1.16

#1432.8

—

#294.4

—

#270.2

#90.9

56%5/9

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

3vs BUF8% tgt
2vs CIN4% tgt
2@ IND8% tgt
0vs DAL0% tgt

Target share: 5.0%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 3.6
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 55%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: +22.4

Over 1.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season75%3/4
vs TEN0%0/1

RBs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Justice Hill BAL	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Derrick Henry BAL	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Najee Harris NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Cam Skattebo NYG	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	Will Shipley PHI	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Tank Bigsby PHI	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Saquon Barkley PHI	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Breece Hall NYJ	2.5	2	-20%

Ian ThomasTE LV vs NE

0.5BetMGM

100%2/2

1.5+1.0

2.4%

0.09

8.7

100%

5.7

1.65

46%

33%

+31.7

+0.70

#3035.2

#293.9

#295.5

#226.4

#310.5

#175.8

33%2/6

Over in 9 of last 10Tough matchup #29

Last 2 games · receptions vs 0.5

1@ LAC3% tgt
2vs KC4% tgt

Target share: 4.8%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 8.7
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 46%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +31.7

Over 0.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1090%9/10
Last 1579%11/14
This season100%2/2
vs NENo games

TEs vs NE this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Dawson Knox BUF	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Dalton Kincaid BUF	4.5	1	-78%
09-27	Brenton Strange JAX	3.5	3	-14%
09-20	Pat Freiermuth PIT	3.5	4	+14%
09-20	Darnell Washington PIT	1.5	1	-33%
09-09	AJ Barner SEA	2.5	2	-20%

Eli RaridonTE NE vs LV

1.5DraftKings

0%0/3

1.0-0.5

5.8%

0.11

10.2

75%

1.7

1.07

44%

25%

+21.9

-1.92

#2440.5

#185.1

#246.6

#246.1

#91.5

#283.9

62%5/8

—

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

1@ SEA3% tgt
1vs PIT5% tgt
1@ BUF6% tgt

Target share: 4.5%
Targets / game: 1.3
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: +21.9

Over 1.5 by window

Last 50%0/3
Last 100%0/3
Last 150%0/3
This season0%0/3
vs LVNo games

TEs vs LV this season · against their closing line

62% went over (5 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Travis Kelce KC	4.5	2	-56%
10-04	Noah Gray KC	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Noah Fant NO	1.5	4	+167%
09-27	Juwan Johnson NO	3.5	8	+129%
09-20	Oronde Gadsden II LAC	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	David Njoku LAC	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Charlie Kolar LAC	0.5	3	+500%
09-13	Greg Dulcich MIA	2.5	2	-20%

Troy FranklinWR DEN vs LAC

1.5DraftKings

0%0/3

0.7-0.8

20.3%

0.21

18.0

50%

7.0

0.67

28%

50%

+9.0

+2.80

#13147.7

#1510.9

#1617.2

#118.6

#172.2

#713.1

33%4/12

Role ▼ 8.3 pts

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

0@ KC4% tgt
1vs JAX7% tgt
1vs LA3% tgt

Target share: 4.5%
Targets / game: 1.2
WOPR: 0.21
aDOT: 18.0
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 28%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +9.0

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season0%0/3
vs LAC75%3/4

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

33% went over (4 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	0.5	1	+100%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	6.5	5	-23%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	3.5	6	+71%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	3.5	5	+43%

Omarion HamptonRB LAC vs DEN

—

-1.3%

0.06

-3.0

80%

8.8

—

50%

-3.6

-0.25

#2028.6

—

#135.6

—

#71.0

#41.8

57%4/7

Role ▼ 4.9 pts

Last 4 games · receptions

0vs ARI0% tgt
2vs LV8% tgt
0@ BUF3% tgt
2@ SEA6% tgt

Target share: 4.3%
Targets / game: 1.2
WOPR: 0.06
aDOT: -3.0
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 50%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -3.6

RBs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

57% went over (4 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Juszczyk SF	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Christian McCaffrey SF	4.5	3	-33%
09-27	Kyren Williams LA	2.5	6	+140%
09-27	Blake Corum LA	0.5	2	+300%
09-20	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	1.5	2	+33%
09-14	Kenneth Walker III KC	3.5	3	-14%

Tanner HudsonTE CIN vs MIA

0.5PrizePicks

100%3/3

1.3+0.8

1.8%

0.07

3.8

100%

1.0

1.27

25%

+23.0

-3.11

#470.7

#37.0

#48.5

#68.3

#32.0

#87.3

67%4/6

Over in 10 of last 10Soft matchup #3

Last 3 games · receptions vs 0.5

1vs TB3% tgt
2@ PIT5% tgt
1vs JAX2% tgt

Target share: 4.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: 3.8
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 25%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +23.0

Over 0.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 10100%10/10
Last 15100%15/15
This season100%3/3
vs MIA100%1/1

TEs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	T.J. Hockenson MIN	4.5	13	+189%
09-27	Travis Kelce KC	4.5	2	-56%
09-27	Noah Gray KC	0.5	3	+500%
09-20	Luke Farrell SF	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	George Kittle SF	3.5	4	+14%
09-13	Michael Mayer LV	4.5	6	+33%

TreVeyon HendersonRB NE vs LV

1.5Underdog

0%0/3

0.3-1.2

-0.4%

0.06

0.0

33%

2.0

—

43%

-51.6

-2.62

#2724.7

—

#195.2

—

#320.0

#24-1.1

17%1/6

Under in 9 of last 10

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

0vs PIT0% tgt
1@ JAX3% tgt
0@ BUF6% tgt

Target share: 4.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.06
aDOT: 0.0
Catch %: 33%
Snap %: 43%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -51.6

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season0%0/3
vs LV100%1/1

RBs vs LV this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kenneth Walker III KC	3.5	1	-71%
09-27	Travis Etienne NO	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Alvin Kamara NO	2.5	1	-60%
09-20	Omarion Hampton LAC	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Keaton Mitchell LAC	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	De'Von Achane MIA	4.5	4	-11%

Kendre MillerRB NO vs MIN

—

-0.1%

0.05

0.2

67%

2.5

15.00

20%

-14.2

-3.41

#3218.9

—

#323.9

—

#21.5

#100.8

50%4/8

—

Last 3 games · receptions

0@ DET0% tgt
2vs LV8% tgt
2vs ATL6% tgt

Target share: 3.5%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.05
aDOT: 0.2
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 20%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -14.2

RBs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ollie Gordon II MIA	1.5	2	+33%
10-04	Jaylen Wright MIA	1.5	0	-100%
09-27	Kenny Gainwell TB	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Bucky Irving TB	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Kyle Monangai CHI	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	D'Andre Swift CHI	1.5	5	+233%
09-13	MarShawn Lloyd GB	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Chris Brooks GB	1.5	0	-100%

Brian RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL

0.5Underdog

50%2/4

0.8+0.2

-0.8%

0.04

-1.3

100%

8.3

—

36%

17%

+15.3

+0.90

#1035.6

—

#27.2

—

#290.2

#30-1.6

67%4/6

—

Last 4 games · receptions vs 0.5

0@ PIT0% tgt
2vs CAR6% tgt
0@ GB0% tgt
1@ NO5% tgt

Target share: 2.9%
Targets / game: 0.8
WOPR: 0.04
aDOT: -1.3
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: +15.3

Over 0.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%2/4
vs BALNo games

RBs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyjae Spears TEN	2.5	1	-60%
10-04	Tony Pollard TEN	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Javonte Williams DAL	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Travis Etienne NO	1.5	2	+33%
09-20	Alvin Kamara NO	2.5	5	+100%
09-13	Jonathan Taylor IND	2.5	3	+20%

J.K. DobbinsRB DEN vs LAC

1.5Underdog

25%1/4

0.8-0.8

-0.0%

0.04

0.0

75%

4.3

—

40%

-2.4

-2.60

#1729.6

—

#214.9

—

#230.5

#15-0.1

57%4/7

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

0@ KC0% tgt
0vs JAX0% tgt
1vs LA6% tgt
2@ SF5% tgt

Target share: 2.9%
Targets / game: 1.0
WOPR: 0.04
aDOT: 0.0
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 40%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -2.4

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAC0%0/1

RBs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

57% went over (4 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	George Holani SEA	1.5	1	-33%
10-04	Emanuel Wilson SEA	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Ty Johnson BUF	1.5	4	+167%
09-27	James Cook BUF	1.5	0	-100%
09-20	Ashton Jeanty LV	3.5	4	+14%
09-13	Tyler Allgeier ARI	0.5	2	+300%
09-13	Jeremiyah Love ARI	2.5	2	-20%

Jaylen WrightRB MIA vs CIN

—

-1.2%

0.02

—

22%

—

#738.3

—

#175.3

—

#130.8

#21-0.6

67%4/6

Role ▼ 4.2 pts

Last 3 games · receptions

0@ LV0% tgt
0@ SF0% tgt
0@ MIN0% tgt

Target share: 2.1%
Targets / game: 0.5
WOPR: 0.02
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 22%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

RBs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	1.5	2	+33%
09-27	Jaylen Warren PIT	4.5	3	-33%
09-20	Woody Marks HOU	1.5	5	+233%
09-20	David Montgomery HOU	1.5	2	+33%
09-13	Bucky Irving TB	2.5	7	+180%

Isaiah DavisRB NYJ vs CLE

1.5Underdog

0%0/3

0.0-1.5

-0.8%

0.01

—

10%

—

#2923.8

—

#185.2

—

#81.0

#32-3.0

50%4/8

Under in 9 of last 10Role ▼ 3.7 pts

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

0vs GB0% tgt
0@ DET0% tgt
0@ CHI0% tgt

Target share: 0.8%
Targets / game: 0.2
WOPR: 0.01
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 10%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season0%0/3
vs CLE0%0/1

RBs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Travis Homer PIT	0.5	0	-100%
10-01	Jaylen Warren PIT	3.5	3	-14%
09-27	Chuba Hubbard CAR	2.5	4	+60%
09-27	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	1	+100%
09-20	Kenny Gainwell TB	1.5	3	+100%
09-20	Bucky Irving TB	2.5	4	+60%
09-13	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	1.5	1	-33%

Chris RodriguezRB JAX vs PHI

1.5Underdog

0%0/4

0.0-1.5

0.0%

0.00

—

27%

—

#539.0

—

#76.3

—

#220.5

#81.1

17%1/6

Under in 10 of last 10Role ▼ 3.1 pts

Last 4 games · receptions vs 1.5

0vs CLE0% tgt
0@ DEN0% tgt
0vs NE0% tgt
0@ CIN0% tgt

Target share: 0.0%
Targets / game: 0.0
WOPR: 0.00
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 27%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 1.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 100%0/10
Last 150%0/15
This season0%0/4
vs PHI0%0/3

RBs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyren Williams LA	2.5	10	+300%
09-28	Kyle Monangai CHI	1.5	0	-100%
09-28	D'Andre Swift CHI	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Tyjae Spears TEN	2.5	2	-20%
09-20	Tony Pollard TEN	1.5	1	-33%
09-13	Rachaad White WAS	2.5	2	-20%

Dameon PierceRB PHI vs JAX

0.5PrizePicks

—

0.0%

0.00

—

16%

—

#1234.7

—

#66.5

—

#280.2

#16-0.1

43%3/7

Under in 10 of last 10Role ▼ 3.6 pts

Last 0 games · receptions vs 0.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 0.0%
Targets / game: 0.0
WOPR: 0.00
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 16%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 0.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 100%0/10
Last 157%1/15
This seasonNo games
vs JAX50%1/2

RBs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Samaje Perine CIN	1.5	0	-100%
10-04	Chase Brown CIN	3.5	11	+214%
09-27	TreVeyon Henderson NE	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	J.K. Dobbins DEN	1.5	0	-100%
09-13	Quinshon Judkins CLE	1.5	2	+33%
09-13	Dylan Sampson CLE	1.5	0	-100%

Najee HarrisRB NYG vs WAS

1.5Underdog

0%0/3

0.0-1.5

0.0%

0.00

—

17%

—

#2426.6

—

#165.3

—

#300.2

#120.7

25%2/8

Role ▼ 9.8 pts

Last 3 games · receptions vs 1.5

0@ LA0% tgt
0vs TEN0% tgt
0vs ARI0% tgt

Target share: 0.0%
Targets / game: 0.0
WOPR: 0.00
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 17%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season0%0/3
vs WAS0%0/1

RBs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

25% went over (2 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Jonathan Taylor IND	2.5	1	-60%
09-27	Jadarian Price SEA	1.5	1	-33%
09-27	George Holani SEA	1.5	5	+233%
09-27	Emanuel Wilson SEA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Javonte Williams DAL	2.5	3	+20%
09-20	Hunter Luepke DAL	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Saquon Barkley PHI	2.5	1	-60%

Joshua PalmerWR BUF vs LAR

1.5DraftKings

—

#19134.4

#2310.0

#1717.2

#187.8

#33.8

#1611.2

45%5/11

—

Last 0 games · receptions vs 1.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: —
Targets / game: —
WOPR: —
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: —
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 1.5 by window

Last 5No games
Last 10No games
Last 15No games
This seasonNo games
vs LARNo games

WRs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Makai Lemon PHI	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	3.5	3	-14%
10-04	Darius Cooper PHI	1.5	3	+100%
09-27	Pat Bryant DEN	2.5	2	-20%
09-27	Jaylen Waddle DEN	4.5	2	-56%
09-27	Courtland Sutton DEN	3.5	3	-14%
09-21	Malik Nabers NYG	5.5	1	-82%
09-21	Darnell Mooney NYG	1.5	2	+33%

How to read this

L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role ▲/▼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.