NFL Receiving Lab

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Game logs through 2026-10-08 · 35 players

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs TE CIN #1 in rec yds allowed to TEs · 89/g Greg Dulcich · 14.3% target share Biggest role riser Isaiah Likely Target share +19.8 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 31.0% Steadiest over Sam LaPorta Over 4.5 in 7 of last 10 Rec Red-zone magnet Isaiah Likely 46% of NYG red-zone targets (6 of 13) 1 end-zone targets this season
Player Rec line Target share Trend Air yds share WOPR aDOT Catch % YAC/rec RACR Snap %
Trey McBrideTE ARI vs DET 7.5DraftKings 28.1% 0.68 5.5 72% 2.5 0.96 89%
Isaiah LikelyTE NYG vs WAS â–² Role +19.8 pts 4.5DraftKings 22.3% 0.62 7.0 63% 2.3 0.78 67%
Brock BowersTE LV vs NE â–² Role +8.2 pts 6.5DraftKings 23.0% 0.61 10.6 67% 2.6 0.80 87%
T.J. HockensonTE MIN vs NO â–² Role +9.8 pts 4.5DraftKings 23.5% 0.53 6.8 85% 3.1 1.11 76%
Mark AndrewsTE BAL vs ATL â–² Role +4.3 pts 4.5DraftKings 18.3% 0.48 7.2 75% 1.8 0.87 63%
Tyler WarrenTE IND vs PIT 5.5DraftKings 7.4% 0.38 2.2 85% 4.3 2.20 90%
George KittleTE SF vs SEA 4.5DraftKings 22.0% 0.46 8.4 73% 8.9 1.33 68%
Harold FanninTE CLE vs NYJ â–¼ Role -6.6 pts 4.5DraftKings 20.6% 0.44 6.1 74% 5.2 1.09 86%
Sam LaPortaTE DET vs ARI 4.5DraftKings 13.6% 0.39 5.9 69% 4.5 1.21 88%
Brenton StrangeTE JAX vs PHI 3.5DraftKings 18.3% 0.41 7.8 78% 5.9 1.18 79%
Kenyon SadiqTE NYJ vs CLE 3.5DraftKings 9.8% 0.33 5.4 67% 6.9 1.47 51%
Mason TaylorTE NYJ vs CLE 1.5DraftKings 9.2% 0.32 0.3 67% 0.0 -2.00 76%
Dalton SchultzTE HOU vs TEN â–² Role +5.7 pts 4.5DraftKings 9.8% 0.33 6.0 78% 4.7 1.33 63%
Michael MayerTE LV vs NE 3.5DraftKings 9.0% 0.32 4.8 83% 4.7 1.46 85%
Dalton KincaidTE BUF vs LAR â–² Role +5.6 pts 4.5DraftKings 20.6% 0.40 12.6 79% 6.5 1.13 66%
Juwan JohnsonTE NO vs MIN 4.5DraftKings 9.6% 0.30 6.0 78% 5.5 1.43 69%
Greg DulcichTE MIA vs CIN 2.5DraftKings 7.5% 0.27 5.7 75% 6.0 1.32 65%
Chig OkonkwoTE WAS vs NYG â–¼ Role -4.4 pts 3.5Underdog 11.2% 0.29 8.6 57% 0.5 0.35 57%
Hunter HenryTE NE vs LV 3.5DraftKings 12.1% 0.29 7.9 80% 5.3 1.12 75%
Pat FreiermuthTE PIT vs IND 3.5DraftKings 12.1% 0.28 8.2 74% 4.5 0.81 68%
Oronde Gadsden IITE LAC vs DEN 3.5Underdog 9.3% 0.25 6.3 60% 4.1 0.91 44%
AJ BarnerTE SEA vs SF â–² Role +3.9 pts 2.5DraftKings 4.4% 0.21 2.3 60% 10.0 2.91 87%
Gunnar HelmTE TEN vs HOU 2.5DraftKings 5.2% 0.20 3.8 75% 4.9 1.33 79%
Mike GesickiTE CIN vs MIA — 14.4% 0.26 10.4 73% 2.5 0.99 46%
Evan EngramTE DEN vs LAC 2.5DraftKings 10.0% 0.23 4.7 46% 2.5 1.08 60%
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE ATL vs BAL â–¼ Role -15.5 pts 2.5DraftKings 15.4% 0.25 7.6 56% 8.6 0.99 53%
Darnell WashingtonTE PIT vs IND 2.5DraftKings 4.2% 0.17 5.1 69% 9.3 1.80 66%
Theo JohnsonTE NYG vs WAS â–¼ Role -9.5 pts 1.5Underdog 7.1% 0.18 11.3 33% 3.5 0.29 51%
Noah FantTE NO vs MIN 1.5DraftKings 3.4% 0.13 5.1 67% 4.4 1.08 41%
Drew SampleTE CIN vs MIA — -0.4% 0.09 0.6 80% 5.5 6.33 64%
Elijah HigginsTE ARI vs DET â–¼ Role -3.9 pts 0.5Underdog 2.6% 0.10 2.0 100% 5.8 3.90 40%
Dawson KnoxTE BUF vs LAR â–¼ Role -5.6 pts 1.5DraftKings 1.0% 0.09 1.8 100% 3.2 2.73 68%
Ian ThomasTE LV vs NE 0.5BetMGM 2.4% 0.09 8.7 100% 5.7 1.65 46%
Eli RaridonTE NE vs LV 1.5DraftKings 5.8% 0.11 10.2 75% 1.7 1.07 44%
Tanner HudsonTE CIN vs MIA 0.5PrizePicks 1.8% 0.07 3.8 100% 1.0 1.27 25%

How to read this

  • L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
  • Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role â–²/â–¼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
  • Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
  • RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
  • Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
  • Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.