NFL Receiving Lab

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Game logs through 2026-10-08 · 35 players

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs TE CIN #1 in rec yds allowed to TEs · 89/g Greg Dulcich · 14.3% target share Biggest role riser Isaiah Likely Target share +19.8 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 31.0% Steadiest over Sam LaPorta Over 4.5 in 7 of last 10 Rec Red-zone magnet Isaiah Likely 46% of NYG red-zone targets (6 of 13) 1 end-zone targets this season
Player Rec line L10 hit RZ share EZ tgts Deep % 3rd-down share CROE YACOE
Trey McBrideTE ARI vs DET 7.5DraftKings 60%6/10 3 4% 32% +2.8 -2.04
Isaiah LikelyTE NYG vs WAS â–² Role +19.8 pts 4.5DraftKings 40%4/10 1 6% 28% -6.6 -2.33
Brock BowersTE LV vs NE â–² Role +8.2 pts 6.5DraftKings 30%3/10 3 12% 59% +4.6 -0.97
T.J. HockensonTE MIN vs NO â–² Role +9.8 pts 4.5DraftKings 20%2/10 1 8% 24% +13.2 -1.87
Mark AndrewsTE BAL vs ATL â–² Role +4.3 pts 4.5DraftKings 20%2/10 2 4% 40% +5.9 -2.20
Tyler WarrenTE IND vs PIT 5.5DraftKings 20%2/10 1 0% 7% +8.1 -2.11
George KittleTE SF vs SEA 4.5DraftKings 50%5/10 1 9% 4% +5.5 +4.64
Harold FanninTE CLE vs NYJ â–¼ Role -6.6 pts 4.5DraftKings 40%4/10 3 4% 29% +10.0 +0.80
Sam LaPortaTE DET vs ARI 4.5DraftKings 70%7/10 5 3% 17% +3.2 -0.09
Brenton StrangeTE JAX vs PHI 3.5DraftKings 30%3/10 1 0% 14% +8.1 +1.57
Kenyon SadiqTE NYJ vs CLE 3.5DraftKings 25%1/4 1 11% 10% -2.5 +1.25
Mason TaylorTE NYJ vs CLE 1.5DraftKings 80%8/10 0 0% 0% -14.4 -8.00
Dalton SchultzTE HOU vs TEN â–² Role +5.7 pts 4.5DraftKings 30%3/10 0 7% 28% +7.2 -0.10
Michael MayerTE LV vs NE 3.5DraftKings 30%3/10 2 0% 10% +7.8 -0.32
Dalton KincaidTE BUF vs LAR â–² Role +5.6 pts 4.5DraftKings 30%3/10 1 16% 10% +13.8 +2.02
Juwan JohnsonTE NO vs MIN 4.5DraftKings 40%4/10 4 4% 22% +8.6 +1.02
Greg DulcichTE MIA vs CIN 2.5DraftKings 50%5/10 0 17% 4% +1.6 -1.86
Chig OkonkwoTE WAS vs NYG â–¼ Role -4.4 pts 3.5Underdog 30%3/10 0 29% 0% -9.9 -4.60
Hunter HenryTE NE vs LV 3.5DraftKings 20%2/10 0 7% 9% +11.3 +0.03
Pat FreiermuthTE PIT vs IND 3.5DraftKings 30%3/10 2 16% 16% +7.0 +0.40
Oronde Gadsden IITE LAC vs DEN 3.5Underdog 20%2/10 1 0% 19% -2.8 +0.02
AJ BarnerTE SEA vs SF â–² Role +3.9 pts 2.5DraftKings 40%4/10 2 0% 3% -13.3 +3.79
Gunnar HelmTE TEN vs HOU 2.5DraftKings 40%4/10 2 0% 16% +9.4 -1.10
Mike GesickiTE CIN vs MIA — — 2 13% 12% +15.1 -0.76
Evan EngramTE DEN vs LAC 2.5DraftKings 30%3/10 1 0% 11% -20.1 -1.15
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE ATL vs BAL â–¼ Role -15.5 pts 2.5DraftKings 60%6/10 0 11% 4% -15.3 +4.07
Darnell WashingtonTE PIT vs IND 2.5DraftKings 40%4/10 3 8% 6% -0.2 +4.43
Theo JohnsonTE NYG vs WAS â–¼ Role -9.5 pts 1.5Underdog 60%6/10 1 17% 3% -21.8 +1.44
Noah FantTE NO vs MIN 1.5DraftKings 40%4/10 2 0% 11% -5.9 +1.30
Drew SampleTE CIN vs MIA — — 0 0% 0% -2.8 -2.22
Elijah HigginsTE ARI vs DET â–¼ Role -3.9 pts 0.5Underdog 70%7/10 1 0% 0% +26.1 +1.44
Dawson KnoxTE BUF vs LAR â–¼ Role -5.6 pts 1.5DraftKings 70%7/10 1 0% 3% +23.2 -1.84
Ian ThomasTE LV vs NE 0.5BetMGM 90%9/10 0 33% 4% +31.7 +0.70
Eli RaridonTE NE vs LV 1.5DraftKings 0%0/3 2 25% 0% +21.9 -1.92
Tanner HudsonTE CIN vs MIA 0.5Underdog 100%10/10 0 0% 0% +23.0 -3.11

How to read this

  • L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
  • Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role â–²/â–¼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
  • Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
  • RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
  • Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
  • Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.