NFL Receiving Lab

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Game logs through 2026-10-08 · 44 players

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs RB NYJ #1 in rec yds allowed to RBs · 46/g Quinshon Judkins · 13.4% target share Biggest role riser Jaylen Warren Target share +8.9 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 13.8% Steadiest over Rhamondre Stevenson Over 2.5 in 7 of last 10 Rec Red-zone magnet Braelon Allen 33% of NYJ red-zone targets (3 of 9) 0 end-zone targets this season
Player Rec line Target share Trend Air yds share WOPR aDOT Catch % YAC/rec RACR Snap %
RJ HarveyRB DEN vs LAC ▲ Role +6.8 pts 4.5DraftKings -7.0% 0.27 -2.8 95% 9.7 — 46%
Bijan RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL ▼ Role -6.2 pts 3.5DraftKings -10.5% 0.24 -1.8 78% 10.6 — 65%
Christian McCaffreyRB SF vs SEA â–¼ Role -3.5 pts 4.5DraftKings 5.2% 0.33 2.5 73% 5.8 2.22 66%
Jahmyr GibbsRB DET vs ARI 4.5DraftKings 3.7% 0.30 2.0 79% 6.3 3.34 78%
Ashton JeantyRB LV vs NE â–² Role +3.0 pts 4.5Underdog 3.9% 0.30 1.8 79% 7.2 3.84 76%
Chase BrownRB CIN vs MIA — -3.2% 0.20 -0.8 88% 5.5 — 73%
Jaylen WarrenRB PIT vs IND ▲ Role +8.9 pts 2.5DraftKings -1.5% 0.20 -0.8 65% 13.2 — 74%
Quinshon JudkinsRB CLE vs NYJ 2.5DraftKings -4.1% 0.17 -1.8 94% 8.1 — 62%
Rhamondre StevensonRB NE vs LV 2.5DraftKings -0.6% 0.19 -0.4 75% 8.3 — 60%
Aaron Jones Sr.RB MIN vs NO 2.5DraftKings 0.3% 0.20 -0.1 60% 8.0 — 70%
Jonathan TaylorRB IND vs PIT 2.5DraftKings -3.7% 0.16 -1.7 67% 7.9 — 85%
Ty JohnsonRB BUF vs LAR 2.5DraftKings -0.2% 0.15 0.0 100% 9.8 — 32%
Alvin KamaraRB NO vs MIN 3.5DraftKings -0.8% 0.15 0.4 79% 5.2 9.40 28%
Raheim SandersRB CLE vs NYJ ▲ Role +5.6 pts 2.5DraftKings -2.0% 0.13 -1.5 91% 8.8 — 33%
Tony PollardRB TEN vs HOU â–² Role +4.1 pts 1.5DraftKings 1.8% 0.16 1.5 73% 5.0 1.50 53%
Rachaad WhiteRB WAS vs NYG â–² Role +3.5 pts 1.5DraftKings -0.7% 0.13 0.4 100% 5.2 12.75 42%
James Cook IIIRB BUF vs LAR 1.5DraftKings -0.6% 0.13 -0.8 60% 4.5 — 68%
Jeremiyah LoveRB ARI vs DET 2.5DraftKings 0.4% 0.13 0.5 85% 2.7 5.14 48%
Cam SkatteboRB NYG vs WAS â–¼ Role -4.5 pts 2.5DraftKings 6.1% 0.17 3.6 89% 4.9 2.09 65%
Keaton MitchellRB LAC vs DEN ▲ Role +3.5 pts — -1.4% 0.11 -1.5 90% 4.9 — 33%
Tyjae SpearsRB TEN vs HOU ▼ Role -5.8 pts 1.5DraftKings -1.7% 0.10 -2.0 71% 10.6 — 42%
Braelon AllenRB NYJ vs CLE ▲ Role +4.6 pts 2.5DraftKings -0.1% 0.11 -0.3 86% 3.5 — 54%
Bhayshul TutenRB JAX vs PHI ▲ Role +6.1 pts 1.5DraftKings -2.5% 0.09 -3.1 100% 10.9 — 52%
Tyler AllgeierRB ARI vs DET ▲ Role +4.3 pts 1.5DraftKings -3.5% 0.08 -3.6 100% 7.1 — 54%
Derrick HenryRB BAL vs ATL ▲ Role +5.1 pts 1.5DraftKings -3.1% 0.08 -4.3 100% 10.6 — 59%
Ollie Gordon IIRB MIA vs CIN ▲ Role +6.1 pts 1.5DraftKings -3.6% 0.07 -3.2 100% 6.0 — 49%
Emanuel WilsonRB SEA vs SF 1.5DraftKings -2.1% 0.07 -2.6 60% 18.0 — 36%
George HolaniRB SEA vs SF 1.5DraftKings -0.0% 0.09 -0.8 88% 9.1 — 36%
Will ShipleyRB PHI vs JAX 2.5DraftKings 1.9% 0.10 2.2 67% 3.8 1.85 36%
Woody MarksRB HOU vs TEN 1.5DraftKings 1.1% 0.09 2.2 78% 4.3 1.55 45%
Samaje PerineRB CIN vs MIA — 1.9% 0.10 2.0 62% 7.8 3.19 34%
Justice HillRB BAL vs ATL 1.5DraftKings -1.4% 0.07 -2.5 83% 13.0 — 41%
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB WAS vs NYG ▲ Role +5.2 pts — 0.3% 0.08 0.6 71% 9.4 10.00 47%
David MontgomeryRB HOU vs TEN 1.5DraftKings 1.7% 0.09 3.6 100% 6.0 2.68 55%
Omarion HamptonRB LAC vs DEN ▼ Role -4.9 pts — -1.3% 0.06 -3.0 80% 8.8 — 50%
TreVeyon HendersonRB NE vs LV 1.5PrizePicks -0.4% 0.06 0.0 33% 2.0 — 43%
Kendre MillerRB NO vs MIN — -0.1% 0.05 0.2 67% 2.5 15.00 20%
Brian RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL 0.5Underdog -0.8% 0.04 -1.3 100% 8.3 — 36%
J.K. DobbinsRB DEN vs LAC 1.5Underdog -0.0% 0.04 0.0 75% 4.3 — 40%
Jaylen WrightRB MIA vs CIN ▼ Role -4.2 pts — -1.2% 0.02 — — — — 22%
Isaiah DavisRB NYJ vs CLE ▼ Role -3.7 pts 1.5Underdog -0.8% 0.01 — — — — 10%
Chris RodriguezRB JAX vs PHI ▼ Role -3.1 pts 1.5Underdog 0.0% 0.00 — — — — 27%
Dameon PierceRB PHI vs JAX ▼ Role -3.6 pts 0.5Underdog 0.0% 0.00 — — — — 16%
Najee HarrisRB NYG vs WAS ▼ Role -9.8 pts 1.5Underdog 0.0% 0.00 — — — — 17%

How to read this

  • L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
  • Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role â–²/â–¼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
  • Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
  • RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
  • Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
  • Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.